Dunfermline vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

The clash between Dunfermline and Queen’s Park is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 39%. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.9% chance. Dunfermline, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.15 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Queen’s Park, on the road, has a stronger attack, scoring 1.92 on average, while conceding 1.17. The probabilities for the match result are 32% home win, 29% draw, and 39% away win. Suggested picks from the model include Under 25.5 fouls (85.6%), Over 2.5 cards (79.3%), Under 5.5 cards (74.9%), Under 3.5 (74.9%), Under 23.5 fouls (74.2%), Over 1.5 (73.3%), and Under 11.5 corners (70.3%). Each pick carries its own probability, with no overlap of outcome percentages. The game promises a balanced contest, but the edge lies with Queen’s Park.

The win for Queen’s Park extends their recent run, while Dunfermline’s win streak has ended. The final score was 1-2, an away victory that matched the model’s pick and its 39% probability. The model’s selection of an away win was correct. The suggested picks also proved accurate: “Under 3.5” hit at 74.9% and “Over 1.5” hit at 73.3%. Queen’s Park’s 1-2 triumph was the most likely 2-goal outcome, with a 27% chance, and the match’s 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0 possibilities were 13.9%, 9.4% and 9.2% respectively. The game delivered on the model’s expectations.