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Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Date: 28/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Vs
25%
30%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dungannon Swifts win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC win✓ Hit
45.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L10W02L41W04L20W00D02L21W06LA·LAR18/11H·GLE26/11A·COL03/12H·CAR10/12A·LIN17/12H·NEW26/12A·POR02/01A·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.682.281.001.330.383.15
vs Stronger (7)0.293.000.001.000.403.80
vs Similar (18)0.832.001.201.400.382.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W20W20W20W00D21W41W22D10WA·GLE19/11A·LAR25/11H·DUN03/12H·CRU09/12H·BAL26/12A·LIN02/01A·NEW10/01H·POR14/01A·CLI21/01H·CAR24/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.720.841.850.851.580.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.810.812.000.891.570.71
vs Weaker (9)1.560.891.500.751.601.00
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
Dungannon Swifts goals ↓
Coleraine FC goals →
01234
011%12%9.3%4.3%1.5%
17.9%14%8.9%4.1%1.4%
24.4%6.1%4.2%2.0%0.7%
31.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dungannon Swifts goals (down), columns = Coleraine FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Linfield
2.03
Glentoran
2.00
Cliftonville FC
1.77
Crusaders FC
1.76
Coleraine FC
1.59
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.33
Carrick Rangers
1.05
Ballymena United
1.03
Dungannon Swifts
0.82
Newry City AFC
0.71
Portadown
0.68
Dungannon Swifts is 0.76 points worse than Coleraine FC in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glentoran
2.10
Linfield
1.97
Crusaders FC
1.89
Cliftonville FC
1.70
Larne
1.68
Coleraine FC
1.54
Glenavon FC
1.49
Carrick Rangers
1.18
Annagh United
1.00
Ballymena United
0.97
Newry City AFC
0.92
Portadown
0.84
Dungannon Swifts
0.78
Dungannon Swifts is 0.76 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.54).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.58
Glentoran
0.70
Linfield
0.71
Coleraine FC
1.05
Crusaders FC
1.18
Cliftonville FC
1.40
Ballymena United
1.45
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.69
Carrick Rangers
1.95
Newry City AFC
1.95
Dungannon Swifts
2.15
Portadown
2.26
Dungannon Swifts is 1.10 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 1.05).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D02L20W02L10W00D00D11D05LA·LAR18/11H·GLE26/11A·COL03/12H·CAR10/12A·LIN17/12H·NEW26/12A·POR02/01A·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.040.500.750.311.31
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.000.500.402.00
vs Similar (18)0.440.830.600.800.250.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W20W10W20W00D10W31W01L00DA·GLE19/11A·LAR25/11H·DUN03/12H·CRU09/12H·BAL26/12A·LIN02/01A·NEW10/01H·POR14/01A·CLI21/01H·CAR24/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.150.460.830.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.190.441.330.561.000.29
vs Weaker (9)0.670.330.750.250.600.40
Clean sheet %68% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D21W02L10W00D02L10W01LA·LAR18/11H·GLE26/11A·COL03/12H·CAR10/12A·LIN17/12H·NEW26/12A·POR02/01A·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.281.240.500.580.081.85
vs Stronger (7)0.001.430.000.500.001.80
vs Similar (18)0.391.170.600.600.121.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W00D00D11D10W21W10WA·GLE19/11A·LAR25/11H·DUN03/12H·CRU09/12H·BAL26/12A·LIN02/01A·NEW10/01H·POR14/01A·CLI21/01H·CAR24/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.720.440.690.380.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.380.670.330.570.43
vs Weaker (9)0.890.560.750.501.000.60
Clean sheet %64% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DS wins
0
Draws
2
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22AColeraine FC Vs DS2-0
02/09/22HDS Vs Coleraine FC0-5

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/23AGlentoran Vs DS6-0
21/01/23HDS Vs Glenavon FC2-1
14/01/23ABallymena United Vs DS2-0
02/01/23APortadown Vs DS0-0
26/12/22HDS Vs Newry City AFC2-0
17/12/22ALinfield Vs DS4-0
10/12/22HDS Vs Carrick Rangers4-1
03/12/22AColeraine FC Vs DS2-0
26/11/22HDS Vs Glenavon FC1-0
18/11/22ALarne Vs DS2-1

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/23HCF Vs Carrick Rangers1-0
21/01/23ACliftonville FC Vs CF2-2
14/01/23HCF Vs Portadown4-1
10/01/23ANewry City AFC Vs CF1-2
02/01/23ALinfield Vs CF0-0
26/12/22HCF Vs Ballymena United2-0
09/12/22HCF Vs Crusaders FC2-0
03/12/22HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts2-0
25/11/22ALarne Vs CF0-2
19/11/22AGlenavon FC Vs CF0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.68
HomeLWWWW1.33
AwayLLDLL0.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%42%0%
AVG goals2.962.333.54
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %48%25%69%
Over 3.5 %36%17%54%
Scored0.681.000.38
Conceded2.281.333.15
BTTS28%25%31%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.88
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayDWDWD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals2.562.692.42
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.721.851.58
Conceded0.840.850.83
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet56%62%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
6422+42
2.3
68%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.6
-
2GlentoranGlentoran4080
62%
2.0
8428+56
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
3LinfieldLinfield3877
61%
2.0
7527+48
2.7
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.7
-
4Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4071
52%
1.8
6856+12
3.1
80%
68%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.4
-
5Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3867
50%
1.8
7245+27
3.1
84%
66%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.2
-
6Coleraine FCColeraine FC3962
46%
1.6
6041+19
2.6
74%
51%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.1
-
7Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3952
36%
1.3
5866-8
3.2
77%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
8Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3840
32%
1.1
4574-29
3.1
76%
55%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.9
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
29%
1.0
3755-18
2.4
68%
45%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.4
-
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4033
25%
0.8
3186-55
2.9
85%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0110.82.1
-
11Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3827
21%
0.7
3574-39
2.9
79%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
12PortadownPortadown3826
18%
0.7
3286-54
3.1
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.82.3
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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