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Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Vs
29%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Dungannon Swifts are expected to lose to Coleraine FC, as the away win is the model's selection. This match is likely to be an open and high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.0 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.1%. Coleraine FC have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 against weaker opponents, while Dungannon Swifts have fared poorly at home, scoring 1.22 goals and conceding 1.89 to stronger teams. The model suggests Over 1.5 goals, which has an 81.2% chance of occurring, and an edge of 2%. The probabilities for the match are: home win 29%, draw 26%, and away win 45%. The model's selection is an Away win, which has a 45% chance, and Over 1.5 goals, which is the model's selection with an 81.2% chance.

Results analysis

The win extends Dungannon Swifts' recent woes, their home form a stark contrast to Coleraine FC's impressive away run. The final score of 1-3 reflected the model's prediction of an away win, with Coleraine FC ultimately securing a 3-goal margin. The model correctly identified the away win as the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 45%. The model's selection of Coleraine FC's away win proved correct. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with "Over 1.5" goals hitting at 81.2%.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dungannon Swifts win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.08
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.43
Marathonbet
5.25
Dafabet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.27
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
888Sport
4.33
William Hil
4.33
Coleraine FC win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.49
Edge
-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Dafabet
1.53

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-812L01L12L13L05L01L08L31W21W13LA·LAR13/03H·BAN21/03H·COL28/03H·LIN07/04A·GLE11/04A·CLI18/04A·LAR25/04H·CAR06/05A·CLI09/05A·LIN12/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.131.641.430.752.75
vs Stronger (10)0.603.500.752.750.504.00
vs Similar (20)1.451.452.000.900.902.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W13L10W11D21W41W62W30W62W03LH·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02H·CLI14/03A·GLE21/03A·DUN28/03A·LAR07/04H·CLI11/04A·LIN18/04H·GLE25/04H·HJK30/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.102.871.071.531.13
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (22)2.321.093.201.101.581.08
vs Weaker (7)2.140.862.750.501.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.16+1.9%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 4.44-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.64
888Sport
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.55-1.5%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.24+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
10Bet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
@ 2.39-3.2%
Under 3.5
64.7%
@ 1.50+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
10Bet
2.45
888Sport
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
@ 1.64+5.0%
No
39.3%
@ 2.06-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
No
888Sport
2.15
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 7.71+6.6%
1-2
9.3%@ 7.12+3.3%
0-1
7.3%@ 7.61+1.7%
2-1
7.2%@ 14.62+4.3%
0-2
7.1%@ 7.31+1.3%
2-2
6.1%@ 13.54+3.0%
0-0
6.1%@ 14.36+3.1%
1-0
5.4%@ 15.41+2.7%
Dungannon Swifts goals ↓
Coleraine FC goals →
01234
06.1%7.3%7.1%4.0%1.7%
15.4%12%9.3%5.2%2.2%
24.3%7.2%6.1%3.4%1.4%
31.9%3.2%2.7%1.5%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dungannon Swifts goals (down), columns = Coleraine FC goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.03
Ballymena United
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Limavady United
0.93
Dungannon Swifts is 0.84 points worse than Coleraine FC in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Glentoran
1.92
Larne
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Limavady United
0.99
Dungannon Swifts is 1.01 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 2.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Limavady United
2.29
Dungannon Swifts is 1.03 goals worse than Coleraine FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L11D11D03L00D03L11D11D01LA·LAR13/03H·BAN21/03H·COL28/03H·LIN07/04A·GLE11/04A·CLI18/04A·LAR25/04H·CAR06/05A·CLI09/05A·LIN12/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.931.070.570.191.25
vs Stronger (10)0.301.500.751.000.001.83
vs Similar (20)0.750.651.200.400.300.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L00D10W11D11D42W20W20W02LH·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02H·CLI14/03A·GLE21/03A·DUN28/03A·LAR07/04H·CLI11/04A·LIN18/04H·GLE25/04H·HJK30/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.870.730.730.53
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (22)0.820.641.000.800.670.50
vs Weaker (7)0.860.430.750.251.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D01L02L02L01L05L20W10W12LA·LAR13/03H·BAN21/03H·COL28/03H·LIN07/04A·GLE11/04A·CLI18/04A·LAR25/04H·CAR06/05A·CLI09/05A·LIN12/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.200.570.860.561.50
vs Stronger (10)0.302.000.001.750.502.17
vs Similar (20)0.700.800.800.500.601.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Coleraine FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W10W01L10W30W20W10W42W01LH·BAL20/02A·DUN28/02H·CLI14/03A·GLE21/03A·DUN28/03A·LAR07/04H·CLI11/04A·LIN18/04H·GLE25/04H·HJK30/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.472.000.330.800.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (22)1.500.452.200.300.920.58
vs Weaker (7)1.290.432.000.250.330.67
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coleraine FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%1.16
Pinnacle
1.19
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+1.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
LU (5)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
DS wins
2
Draws
5
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/26HDS Vs Coleraine FC1-2
28/02/26HDS Vs Coleraine FC3-1
18/10/25AColeraine FC Vs DS4-0
19/08/25AColeraine FC Vs DS2-0
05/04/25AColeraine FC Vs DS3-2
25/01/25HDS Vs Coleraine FC1-1
02/11/24AColeraine FC Vs DS4-1
10/08/24HDS Vs Coleraine FC1-1

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/26ALinfield Vs DS3-1
09/05/26ACliftonville FC Vs DS1-2
06/05/26HDS Vs Carrick Rangers3-1
25/04/26ALarne Vs DS8-0
18/04/26ACliftonville FC Vs DS1-0
11/04/26AGlentoran Vs DS5-0
07/04/26HDS Vs Linfield1-3
28/03/26HDS Vs Coleraine FC1-2
21/03/26HDS Vs Bangor0-1
13/03/26ALarne Vs DS2-1

Coleraine FCColeraine FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/26HCF Vs HJK Helsinki0-3
25/04/26HCF Vs Glentoran6-2
18/04/26ALinfield Vs CF0-3
11/04/26HCF Vs Cliftonville FC6-2
07/04/26ALarne Vs CF1-4
28/03/26ADungannon Swifts Vs CF1-2
21/03/26AGlentoran Vs CF1-1
14/03/26HCF Vs Cliftonville FC1-0
28/02/26ADungannon Swifts Vs CF3-1
20/02/26HCF Vs Ballymena United1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.26
HomeWLLLW1.60
AwayLLLWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals3.042.963.12
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.141.440.84
Conceded1.901.522.28
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.94
HomeWWWWL2.27
AwayLDWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%73%46%
AVG goals2.983.272.67
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.902.231.54
Conceded1.081.041.12
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Coleraine FCColeraine FC410
75%
2.5
81+7
2.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.8
-
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts49
75%
2.2
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.50.8
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC49
75%
2.2
86+2
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.01.5
-
5LinfieldLinfield49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
6GlentoranGlentoran46
50%
1.5
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
7Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena United33
33%
1.0
44+0
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.3
-
9LarneLarne11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
10Limavady UnitedLimavady United30
0%
0.0
16-5
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.0
-
11PortadownPortadown40
0%
0.0
28-6
2.5
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.52.0
-
12BangorBangor30
0%
0.0
09-9
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.03.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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