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Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield Result & Analysis

Date: 24/03/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 0-5
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Vs
15%
24%
62%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dungannon Swifts win✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Linfield win✓ Hit
61.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L21W06L03L03L03L20W13L01L21WA·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01H·COL28/01A·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.130.861.500.562.69
vs Stronger (8)0.253.000.001.670.403.80
vs Similar (22)0.861.821.091.450.642.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-761W30W02L61W10W03L20W20W00D70WA·GLE14/01H·BAL21/01A·CRU24/01A·POR28/01H·CLI11/02A·GLE14/02H·CAR18/02H·COL25/02A·LAR07/03H·NEW18/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.802.000.731.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.000.861.000.401.00
vs Weaker (18)2.780.673.000.502.600.80
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.4%
Dungannon Swifts goals ↓
Linfield goals →
01234
07.6%11%12%7.5%3.6%
14.4%11%9.8%6.2%3.0%
22.2%4.2%4.0%2.6%1.2%
30.6%1.2%1.1%0.7%0.3%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dungannon Swifts goals (down), columns = Linfield goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Linfield
2.03
Glentoran
2.00
Cliftonville FC
1.77
Crusaders FC
1.76
Coleraine FC
1.59
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.33
Carrick Rangers
1.05
Ballymena United
1.03
Dungannon Swifts
0.82
Newry City AFC
0.71
Portadown
0.68
Dungannon Swifts is 1.20 points worse than Linfield in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glentoran
2.10
Linfield
1.97
Crusaders FC
1.89
Cliftonville FC
1.70
Larne
1.68
Coleraine FC
1.54
Glenavon FC
1.49
Carrick Rangers
1.18
Annagh United
1.00
Ballymena United
0.97
Newry City AFC
0.92
Portadown
0.84
Dungannon Swifts
0.78
Dungannon Swifts is 1.20 goals worse than Linfield in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.58
Glentoran
0.70
Linfield
0.71
Coleraine FC
1.05
Crusaders FC
1.18
Cliftonville FC
1.40
Ballymena United
1.45
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.69
Carrick Rangers
1.95
Newry City AFC
1.95
Dungannon Swifts
2.15
Portadown
2.26
Dungannon Swifts is 1.44 goals worse than Linfield in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 0.71).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D05L01L01L00D10W01L01L00DA·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01H·COL28/01A·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.930.430.790.251.06
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.000.330.402.00
vs Similar (22)0.360.770.550.910.180.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L21W00D01L00D10W00D40WA·GLE14/01H·BAL21/01A·CRU24/01A·POR28/01H·CLI11/02A·GLE14/02H·CAR18/02H·COL25/02A·LAR07/03H·NEW18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.870.200.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.330.290.290.200.40
vs Weaker (18)1.060.281.380.120.800.40
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W01L02L02L03L10W12L00D21WA·BAL14/01H·GLE21/01A·GLE24/01H·COL28/01A·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.200.430.710.311.62
vs Stronger (8)0.001.620.001.330.001.80
vs Similar (22)0.501.050.550.550.451.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Linfield) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LinfieldLinfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W01L40W10W02L20W10W00D30WA·GLE14/01H·BAL21/01A·CRU24/01A·POR28/01H·CLI11/02A·GLE14/02H·CAR18/02H·COL25/02A·LAR07/03H·NEW18/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.501.130.531.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.670.570.710.200.60
vs Weaker (18)1.720.391.620.381.800.40
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Linfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts and Linfield have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Linfield have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Linfield have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts and Linfield have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DS wins
0
Draws
2
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
17/12/22ALinfield Vs DS4-0
01/10/22HDS Vs Linfield0-1

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23ACliftonville FC Vs DS1-2
11/03/23HDS Vs Carrick Rangers0-1
24/02/23APortadown Vs DS3-1
17/02/23ANewry City AFC Vs DS0-2
14/02/23HDS Vs Larne0-3
11/02/23ACrusaders FC Vs DS3-0
28/01/23HDS Vs Coleraine FC0-3
24/01/23AGlentoran Vs DS6-0
21/01/23HDS Vs Glenavon FC2-1
14/01/23ABallymena United Vs DS2-0

LinfieldLinfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HLIN Vs Newry City AFC7-0
07/03/23ALarne Vs LIN0-0
25/02/23HLIN Vs Coleraine FC2-0
18/02/23HLIN Vs Carrick Rangers2-0
14/02/23AGlentoran Vs LIN3-0
11/02/23HLIN Vs Cliftonville FC1-0
28/01/23APortadown Vs LIN1-6
24/01/23ACrusaders FC Vs LIN2-0
21/01/23HLIN Vs Ballymena United3-0
14/01/23AGlenavon FC Vs LIN1-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW0.72
HomeWWLLL1.07
AwayLLWLW0.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals2.912.333.41
Over 1.5 %81%73%88%
Over 2.5 %53%33%71%
Over 3.5 %31%13%47%
Scored0.690.800.59
Conceded2.221.532.82
BTTS28%20%35%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Linfield
Linfield
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.82
HomeWWWWW2.15
AwayWLWLD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%65%45%
AVG goals2.752.453.05
Over 1.5 %68%60%75%
Over 2.5 %52%45%60%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.731.801.65
Conceded1.020.651.40
BTTS28%20%35%
Clean Sheet52%70%35%
Corners8.1710.336.00
Cards5.006.333.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
6422+42
2.3
68%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.6
-
2GlentoranGlentoran4080
62%
2.0
8428+56
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
3LinfieldLinfield3877
61%
2.0
7527+48
2.7
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.7
-
4Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4071
52%
1.8
6856+12
3.1
80%
68%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.4
-
5Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3867
50%
1.8
7245+27
3.1
84%
66%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.2
-
6Coleraine FCColeraine FC3962
46%
1.6
6041+19
2.6
74%
51%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.1
-
7Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3952
36%
1.3
5866-8
3.2
77%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
8Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3840
32%
1.1
4574-29
3.1
76%
55%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.9
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
29%
1.0
3755-18
2.4
68%
45%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.4
-
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4033
25%
0.8
3186-55
2.9
85%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0110.82.1
-
11Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3827
21%
0.7
3574-39
2.9
79%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
12PortadownPortadown3826
18%
0.7
3286-54
3.1
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.82.3
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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