PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dungannon Swifts win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portadown win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L03L20W13L01L21W05L11D02L02LA·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03H·LIN24/03A·GLE07/04A·CAR11/04A·BAL15/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.672.100.921.540.472.53
vs Stronger (8)0.253.500.003.000.403.80
vs Similar (22)0.821.591.201.100.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L31W31W13L43W22D15L10W01L31WA·CLI14/02H·GLE18/02H·DUN24/02H·CAR04/03A·NEW11/03H·CRU18/03A·GLE01/04H·BAL07/04H·NEW11/04H·CAR15/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.301.131.930.732.67
vs Stronger (6)0.333.830.254.000.503.50
vs Similar (24)1.081.921.451.180.772.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Dungannon Swifts goals ↓
Portadown goals →
01234
07.1%6.3%4.7%2.0%0.6%
18.1%13%7.4%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.1%5.8%2.4%0.8%
33.8%4.8%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dungannon Swifts goals (down), columns = Portadown goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Linfield
2.03
Glentoran
2.00
Cliftonville FC
1.77
Crusaders FC
1.76
Coleraine FC
1.59
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.33
Carrick Rangers
1.05
Ballymena United
1.03
Dungannon Swifts
0.82
Newry City AFC
0.71
Portadown
0.68
Dungannon Swifts is 0.14 points better than Portadown in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.68).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glentoran
2.10
Linfield
1.97
Crusaders FC
1.89
Cliftonville FC
1.70
Larne
1.68
Coleraine FC
1.54
Glenavon FC
1.49
Carrick Rangers
1.18
Annagh United
1.00
Ballymena United
0.97
Newry City AFC
0.92
Portadown
0.84
Dungannon Swifts
0.78
Dungannon Swifts is 0.07 goals worse than Portadown in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 0.84).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.58
Glentoran
0.70
Linfield
0.71
Coleraine FC
1.05
Crusaders FC
1.18
Cliftonville FC
1.40
Ballymena United
1.45
Annagh United
1.50
Glenavon FC
1.69
Carrick Rangers
1.95
Newry City AFC
1.95
Dungannon Swifts
2.15
Portadown
2.26
Dungannon Swifts is 0.11 goals better than Portadown in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 2.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L01L00D02L01L01L00DA·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03H·LIN24/03A·GLE07/04A·CAR11/04A·BAL15/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.870.460.690.181.00
vs Stronger (8)0.251.620.001.000.402.00
vs Similar (22)0.320.590.600.600.080.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W11D22D10W03L10W01L20WA·CLI14/02H·GLE18/02H·DUN24/02H·CAR04/03A·NEW11/03H·CRU18/03A·GLE01/04H·BAL07/04H·NEW11/04H·CAR15/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.670.470.271.27
vs Stronger (6)0.171.500.251.250.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.710.820.180.311.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L10W12L00D21W03L10W01L02LA·CRU11/02H·LAR14/02A·NEW17/02A·POR24/02H·CAR11/03A·CLI18/03H·LIN24/03A·GLE07/04A·CAR11/04A·BAL15/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.230.460.850.291.53
vs Stronger (8)0.001.880.002.000.001.80
vs Similar (22)0.501.000.600.500.421.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W21W02L21W12L12L00D00D11DA·CLI14/02H·GLE18/02H·DUN24/02H·CAR04/03A·NEW11/03H·CRU18/03A·GLE01/04H·BAL07/04H·NEW11/04H·CAR15/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.430.471.470.471.40
vs Stronger (6)0.172.330.002.750.501.50
vs Similar (24)0.541.210.641.000.461.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dungannon Swifts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dungannon Swifts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts's squad is €1m more valuable than Portadown's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Portadown have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
Dungannon Swifts and Portadown have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
Dungannon Swifts and Portadown have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
DS wins
1
Draws
1
POR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dungannon Swifts vs Portadown · H/A from DS
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/23APortadown Vs DS3-1
02/01/23APortadown Vs DS0-0
23/09/22HDS Vs Portadown2-0

Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23ABallymena United Vs DS2-0
11/04/23ACarrick Rangers Vs DS2-0
07/04/23AGlenavon FC Vs DS1-1
24/03/23HDS Vs Linfield0-5
18/03/23ACliftonville FC Vs DS1-2
11/03/23HDS Vs Carrick Rangers0-1
24/02/23APortadown Vs DS3-1
17/02/23ANewry City AFC Vs DS0-2
14/02/23HDS Vs Larne0-3
11/02/23ACrusaders FC Vs DS3-0

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23HPOR Vs Carrick Rangers3-1
11/04/23HPOR Vs Newry City AFC0-1
07/04/23HPOR Vs Ballymena United1-0
01/04/23AGlentoran Vs POR5-1
18/03/23HPOR Vs Crusaders FC2-2
11/03/23ANewry City AFC Vs POR3-4
04/03/23HPOR Vs Carrick Rangers1-3
24/02/23HPOR Vs Dungannon Swifts3-1
18/02/23HPOR Vs Glenavon FC3-1
14/02/23ACliftonville FC Vs POR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL0.67
HomeWLLLL1.00
AwayLWDLL0.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%31%10%
AVG goals2.892.503.20
Over 1.5 %83%75%90%
Over 2.5 %50%38%60%
Over 3.5 %31%19%40%
Scored0.640.750.55
Conceded2.251.752.65
BTTS28%19%35%
Clean Sheet14%19%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW0.69
HomeLDWLW0.95
AwayLDLWL0.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%26%12%
AVG goals3.142.893.41
Over 1.5 %83%74%94%
Over 2.5 %61%58%65%
Over 3.5 %44%42%47%
Scored0.830.950.71
Conceded2.311.952.71
BTTS44%47%41%
Clean Sheet11%16%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LarneLarne3883
66%
2.2
6422+42
2.3
68%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.6
-
2GlentoranGlentoran4080
62%
2.0
8428+56
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
3LinfieldLinfield3877
61%
2.0
7527+48
2.7
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.7
-
4Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4071
52%
1.8
6856+12
3.1
80%
68%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.4
-
5Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3867
50%
1.8
7245+27
3.1
84%
66%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.2
-
6Coleraine FCColeraine FC3962
46%
1.6
6041+19
2.6
74%
51%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.1
-
7Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3952
36%
1.3
5866-8
3.2
77%
64%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
8Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers3840
32%
1.1
4574-29
3.1
76%
55%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.9
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3839
29%
1.0
3755-18
2.4
68%
45%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.4
-
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts4033
25%
0.8
3186-55
2.9
85%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0110.82.1
-
11Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3827
21%
0.7
3574-39
2.9
79%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
12PortadownPortadown3826
18%
0.7
3286-54
3.1
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.82.3
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

← all matches