The model favours a Dunkerque victory, with a 44% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw and 28% for a Clermont win. The expected total is 2.7 goals, most likely a 2-goal match at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability. Dunkerque, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Clermont, on the road versus a similar tier side, averages 1.23 scored and 1.69 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.2% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (94.2% with a 3% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.2% with a 4% edge). Dunkerque’s recent form shows a 5-game record of LLDWL after two straight defeats, last losing 0-2 to Nancy, while Clermont’s recent five games are DDLDW, coming off a 0-0 draw with Sochaux.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dunkerque win
43.8%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.77
Edge
-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Dafabet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.62
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.83
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Betfair
3.70
Clermont Foot win
28.4%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.27
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Superbet
4.45
10Bet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dunkerque
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.43
1.00
1.00
1.89
1.72
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.36
1.00
1.00
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.00
0.94
1.21
1.64
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.19
1.35
1.15
1.00
1.23
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.25+1.9%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 3.69-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.90
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.83-0.6%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.95+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Under
Betano
2.02
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 3.05-1.8%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.35+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
55.6%
@ 1.74+2.3%
No
44.4%
@ 1.99-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.73
No
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
BetVictor
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.53+6.4%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.54+3.2%
1-0
8.9%@ 6.82+2.3%
0-0
7.8%@ 10.54+3.6%
2-0
7.7%@ 8.09+2.2%
1-2
7.1%@ 12.92+3.7%
0-1
6.7%@ 11.78+2.9%
2-2
5.4%@ 13.71+2.2%
Dunkerque goals ↓
Clermont Foot goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
6.7%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.9%
13%
7.1%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.7%
9.2%
5.4%
2.2%
0.6%
3
3.9%
4.7%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunkerque goals (down), columns = Clermont Foot goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Dunkerque is 0.22 points better than Clermont Foot in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Dunkerque is 0.44 goals better than Clermont Foot in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Dunkerque is 0.03 goals better than Clermont Foot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Dunkerque is 6.9 percentage points better than Clermont Foot in terms of average possession (57% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunkerque
For 5.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clermont Foot
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.2
7.4
3.6
3.9
3.3
26.2
25.5
26.8
vs Stronger (4)
6.8
8.0
6.3
4.2
4.0
4.3
26.0
25.0
26.3
vs Similar (40)
8.7
9.4
7.9
3.6
3.8
3.4
26.1
25.0
27.2
vs Weaker (6)
6.2
8.0
5.0
3.2
5.0
2.2
27.0
30.5
24.7
% over line
33%
50%
17%
52%
70%
37%
85%
82%
88%
% under line
67%
50%
83%
48%
30%
63%
15%
18%
12%
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.9
9.4
3.6
3.8
3.5
26.7
26.2
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
6.0
8.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
26.0
27.0
25.0
vs Similar (44)
9.3
9.1
9.5
3.7
3.9
3.6
26.8
26.1
27.4
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
9.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
43%
33%
52%
52%
54%
50%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
57%
67%
48%
48%
46%
50%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Nantes
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
Nantes
4.4
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
RED Star FC 93
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Annecy
28.3
Guingamp
27.6
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.3
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.6
Metz
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.4%
@ 1.86-4.6%
Under 9.5
54.6%
@ 1.86+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.94
Unibet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.4%
Under 21.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dunkerque or Draw
71.6%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.20
Edge
-6.3%
44%
28%
28%
covers Dunkerque + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Dunkerque or Clermont Foot
72.3%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.7%
44%
28%
28%
covers Dunkerque + Clermont Foot
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Clermont Foot
56.2%
Avg Implied 47.2% · @ 1.98
Edge
+9.0%
44%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Clermont Foot
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
@ 1.15-2.4%
Under
21.8%
@ 4.79+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Dunkerque over/under 1.5
Over
45.1%
@ 1.80-6.6%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.93+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Dunkerque over/under 2.5
Over
19.8%
@ 3.51-6.6%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.26+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.93
BetVictor
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Dunkerque over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
@ 7.52-5.5%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5
Over
69.5%
@ 1.47+6.4%
Under
30.5%
@ 2.52-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5
Over
33.3%
@ 3.27+4.8%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.30-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.47
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Under
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5
Over
11.8%
@ 8.41+0.7%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.05-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.60
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Clermont Foot over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
@ 22.00-1.1%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dunkerque, so a minus line means Dunkerque give that many goals of a start and Clermont Foot receive them. At -1, Dunkerque must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dunkerque win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dunkerque)
Dunkerque -2
9.0%
@ 6.00-6.0%
Draw -2
13.6%
@ 4.89-4.8%
Clermont Foot +2
77.5%
@ 1.34+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Dunkerque)
Dunkerque -1
22.5%
@ 2.97-7.4%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 3.52-4.0%
Clermont Foot +1
56.2%
@ 1.99+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Away
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Handicap +1 (Dunkerque)
Dunkerque +1
71.6%
@ 1.20-3.8%
Draw +1
16.3%
@ 5.93+1.1%
Clermont Foot -1
12.1%
@ 9.57+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.90
Handicap +2 (Dunkerque)
Dunkerque +2
87.9%
@ 1.04-1.8%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 13.33+1.2%
Clermont Foot -2
3.9%
@ 28.33+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Betfair
34.00
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
22.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.42
0.42
0.89
0.83
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.59
0.40
0.50
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.25
0.31
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.62
0.31
0.38
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.35-0.3%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 2.99+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Pinnacle
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.0%
@ 2.64-2.2%
Under 1.5
67.0%
@ 1.43+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Under
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 6.50-1.5%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.2%
@ 1.73-0.3%
Under
46.8%
@ 1.99+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
Under
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.9%
@ 4.58-5.3%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.16+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
@ 12.08-4.0%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.4%
@ 2.51-0.4%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.47+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 8.88-2.5%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Marathonbet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 38.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.58
0.58
1.00
0.89
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.77
0.60
0.50
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clermont Foot
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.75
0.62
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.73
0.85
0.62
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.22+1.1%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 3.93-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Betano
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.3%
@ 2.02-1.8%
Under 1.5
55.7%
@ 1.73+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 4.23-2.2%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.20+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.8%
@ 1.51-3.8%
Under
42.2%
@ 2.42+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.3%
@ 3.37-4.1%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.27+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.3%
@ 8.70-4.4%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
9.10
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.6%
@ 2.07+0.9%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.68-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.63
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
@ 6.48-1.5%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 19.25-2.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+4.0%
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+5.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+2.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-0.7%
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-1.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+1.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+1.5%
Under 4.5
86.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
+2.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.16
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+6.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+2.2%
Under 5.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.2%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
-2.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
+1.1%
Away +2 handicap
77.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+10.7%
Under 11.5 corners
77.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Unibet
1.16
+5.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.27
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
+4.1%
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
+1.9%
Over 2.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-2.7%
Home or Draw
71.6%
1.20
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-6.3%
Home +1 handicap
71.6%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
-3.8%
Under 3.5
71.1%
1.35
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
+1.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mayela33%
Souleymane Keita33%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Marco Decherf25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Souleymane Keita67%
Khalil Ayari50%
Opa Sangante25%
Allan Linguet25%
Thomas Robinet25%
Adrien Lebeau25%
Alex Daho25%
Enzo Mayilla25%
Marco Decherf25%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Egor Prutsev0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Théna Massock0%
Jordan Morel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Robinet50%
Marco Decherf50%
Egor Prutsev25%
Alex Daho25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Robinet25%
Egor Prutsev25%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Adrien Lebeau0%
Victor Mayela0%
Bram Lagae0%
Alex Daho0%
Enzo Mayilla0%
Souleymane Keita0%
Théna Massock0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Jordan Morel0%
Marco Decherf0%
Clermont Foot
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Diop25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan M'Bahia33%
Yoann Salmier25%
Jean Grillot25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Hunou25%
Junior Sambia25%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Dunkerque's squad is €4m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€11m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Dunkerque's attack is €2m more valuable than Clermont Foot's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Dunkerque's midfield is €1m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Dunkerque's defence is €5m less valuable than Clermont Foot's (€5m vs €10m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Dijon
Nantes