The clash between Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum is a tight one, with the model pointing to a home win as the most likely outcome. The odds are evenly split: a 40% chance for Dresden, 29% for a draw, and 31% for Bochum. The expected goal count sits at 2.6, with the most probable total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 13.9% chance.
Dresden, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages two goals scored and one conceded. Bochum, on the road against a comparable side, scores and concedes roughly 1.23 goals each. The match is balanced, and neither side has a clear advantage.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (95.7% with a 7% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3% with a 6% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dynamo Dresden win
39.4%
Avg Implied 44.5% · @ 2.09
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Draw
29.1%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.58
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.73
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.65
VfL Bochum win
31.5%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.26
Dafabet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dynamo Dresden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.60
1.87
1.13
1.40
2.07
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.40
1.00
2.00
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.44
2.00
1.00
1.33
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.23
1.69
1.25
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.54
1.25
1.80
1.27
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.5%
@ 1.18-5.3%
Under 1.5
26.5%
@ 4.40+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.64
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.63-10.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 2.23+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.3%
@ 2.53-11.6%
Under 3.5
74.7%
@ 1.48+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
@ 1.53-7.6%
No
47.0%
@ 2.35+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
No
Betfair
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 6.84+7.3%
1-0
9.3%@ 9.15+4.4%
0-0
9.1%@ 13.09+5.6%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.11+3.1%
0-1
8.0%@ 11.58+4.2%
1-2
7.5%@ 10.21+3.1%
2-0
7.2%@ 11.08+3.2%
0-2
5.5%@ 16.80+2.9%
Dynamo Dresden goals ↓
VfL Bochum goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
8.0%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.3%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.6%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dynamo Dresden goals (down), columns = VfL Bochum goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
Dynamo Dresden is 0.09 points worse than VfL Bochum in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Dynamo Dresden is 0.15 goals better than VfL Bochum in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
Dynamo Dresden is 0.18 goals worse than VfL Bochum in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Dynamo Dresden is 4.4 percentage points better than VfL Bochum in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dynamo Dresden
For 6.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Bochum
For 4.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dynamo Dresden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.5
12.0
4.0
4.4
3.6
23.1
24.3
21.8
vs Stronger (9)
11.6
8.7
13.0
4.2
6.0
3.3
21.4
24.7
19.8
vs Similar (41)
10.6
9.6
11.7
4.0
4.2
3.7
23.4
24.2
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
52%
68%
60%
76%
44%
56%
72%
40%
% under line
40%
48%
32%
40%
24%
56%
44%
28%
60%
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.8
11.3
4.6
5.1
4.0
23.0
24.3
21.6
vs Stronger (7)
9.3
10.0
8.3
3.1
2.2
4.3
22.6
23.8
21.0
vs Similar (40)
10.9
9.9
11.9
4.8
5.5
4.0
22.6
23.8
21.4
vs Weaker (3)
8.7
8.5
9.0
5.7
6.5
4.0
30.0
30.5
29.0
% over line
62%
54%
71%
66%
69%
62%
56%
62%
50%
% under line
38%
46%
29%
34%
31%
38%
44%
38%
50%
This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
13.7
VfL Wolfsburg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
FC St. Pauli
9.6
1. FC Nürnberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
VfL Wolfsburg
3.6
Energie Cottbus
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.5
Energie Cottbus
26.3
Hannover 96
26.2
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.4
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
SV Darmstadt 98
23.6
Karlsruher SC
23.2
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.5
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.9%
@ 1.51+2.5%
Under 9.5
37.1%
@ 2.32-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.47
Under
Unibet
2.45
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.4%
Under 21.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dynamo Dresden or Draw
70.5%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.32
Edge
+0.0%
39%
29%
31%
covers Dynamo Dresden + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Dynamo Dresden or VfL Bochum
70.8%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
-3.9%
39%
29%
31%
covers Dynamo Dresden + VfL Bochum
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Draw or VfL Bochum
58.7%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.70
Edge
+3.9%
39%
29%
31%
covers Draw + VfL Bochum
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
SBO
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dynamo Dresden over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
@ 1.16-5.3%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.69+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.85
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Dynamo Dresden over/under 1.5
Over
40.2%
@ 1.84-10.2%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.88+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.88
Dynamo Dresden over/under 2.5
Over
16.2%
@ 3.64-9.2%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.25+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.96
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Dynamo Dresden over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
@ 7.84-6.7%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.06+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5
Over
67.9%
@ 1.28-4.4%
Under
32.1%
@ 3.34+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.58
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.35
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5
Over
31.4%
@ 2.39-7.6%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.53+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Unibet
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betfair
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5
Over
10.7%
@ 5.45-6.4%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.12+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
5.98
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
VfL Bochum over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
@ 12.38-4.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dynamo Dresden, so a minus line means Dynamo Dresden give that many goals of a start and VfL Bochum receive them. At -1, Dynamo Dresden must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dynamo Dresden win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dynamo Dresden)
Dynamo Dresden -2
7.4%
@ 7.58-4.4%
Draw -2
12.6%
@ 5.77-2.9%
VfL Bochum +2
79.9%
@ 1.23+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.25
Away
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Dynamo Dresden)
Dynamo Dresden -1
20.1%
@ 3.59-4.9%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 3.94-1.4%
VfL Bochum +1
58.7%
@ 1.71+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
Unibet
3.70
Away
Unibet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (Dynamo Dresden)
Dynamo Dresden +1
70.5%
@ 1.32+2.7%
Draw +1
17.2%
@ 4.98-0.8%
VfL Bochum -1
12.3%
@ 6.30-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.29
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Dynamo Dresden)
Dynamo Dresden +2
87.7%
@ 1.09+3.2%
Draw +2
8.5%
@ 9.50-1.2%
VfL Bochum -2
3.8%
@ 16.00-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dynamo Dresden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.07
0.40
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.56
1.08
0.38
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.61
0.87
0.60
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.29-3.6%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 3.33+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.30
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.7%
@ 2.36-7.7%
Under 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.53+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.46
William Hil
2.45
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.9%
@ 5.38-6.3%
Under 2.5
89.1%
@ 1.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dynamo Dresden over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.0%
@ 1.75-6.4%
Under
53.0%
@ 2.00+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.93
Dynamo Dresden over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.8%
@ 4.78-6.6%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.15+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Dynamo Dresden over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 11.75-5.7%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.5%
@ 2.10-4.9%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.67+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 6.31-5.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.09+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 19.00-3.5%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dynamo Dresden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.80
0.73
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.80
0.00
1.50
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.88
0.92
0.62
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.88
0.62
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.64
0.93
0.67
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dynamo Dresden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.17-3.6%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 4.61+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.65
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
William Hil
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 1.83-9.9%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.87+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 3.57-8.5%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.26+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dynamo Dresden over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.9%
@ 1.53-3.7%
Under
43.1%
@ 2.36+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Dynamo Dresden over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.1%
@ 3.47-8.5%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.26+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Dynamo Dresden over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
@ 8.90-5.7%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.7%
@ 1.74-8.8%
Under
55.3%
@ 2.00+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.7%
@ 4.60-8.4%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 10.88-6.2%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+4.8%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+6.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+6.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.09
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+6.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+6.3%
Under 4.5
88.9%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
+9.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
+8.4%
Home +2 handicap
87.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+6.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.8%
1.25
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+9.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+8.5%
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-
+8.5%
Away +2 handicap
79.9%
1.23
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+7.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.17
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-3.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
-5.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
1.48
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
+11.6%
Over 8.5 corners
74.3%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
+3.9%
Over 1.5
73.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
-5.3%
Home or Away
70.8%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-3.9%
Under 5.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.5%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
William Hil
1.33
+0.0%
Home +1 handicap
70.5%
1.32
10Bet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.29
+2.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dynamo Dresden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Sterner67%
Vincent Vermeij33%
Robert Wagner33%
Niklas Hauptmann0%
Alexander Rossipal0%
Nils Fröling0%
Thomas Keller0%
Tim Schreiber0%
Jakob Lemmer0%
Ben Bobzien0%
Kaan İnanoğlu0%
Friedrich Müller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thomas Keller100%
Ben Bobzien33%
Niklas Hauptmann0%
Alexander Rossipal0%
Vincent Vermeij0%
Nils Fröling0%
Tim Schreiber0%
Jakob Lemmer0%
Jonas Sterner0%
Robert Wagner0%
Kaan İnanoğlu0%
Friedrich Müller0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vincent Vermeij33%
Jonas Sterner33%
Ben Bobzien33%
Niklas Hauptmann0%
Alexander Rossipal0%
Nils Fröling0%
Thomas Keller0%
Tim Schreiber0%
Jakob Lemmer0%
Robert Wagner0%
Kaan İnanoğlu0%
Friedrich Müller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vincent Vermeij33%
Jakob Lemmer33%
Ben Bobzien33%
Niklas Hauptmann0%
Alexander Rossipal0%
Nils Fröling0%
Thomas Keller0%
Tim Schreiber0%
Jonas Sterner0%
Robert Wagner0%
Kaan İnanoğlu0%
Friedrich Müller0%
VfL Bochum
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Philipp Hofmann50%
Christian Rasmussen25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Çokaj67%
Philipp Hofmann50%
Mats Pannewig50%
Jean-Manuel Mbom33%
Daniel Hanslik33%
Tom Meyer33%
Maximilian Wittek25%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Philipp Hofmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philipp Hofmann25%
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum have a similar squad value (both €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98