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Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Trakai Prediction & Stats

Date: 13/09/2026
Time: 16:30
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Vs
40%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Džiugas Telšiai and FK Trakai is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. The odds for a Džiugas victory sit at 39 %, a draw at 30 %, and a Trakai win at 31 %. The expected goal tally is 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals (28 %). The single scoreline the model deems most likely is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 14.4 % probability. Džiugas, playing at home, averages one goal scored and one conceded against similar opposition, while Trakai, on the road, averages 0.64 goals scored and 2.64 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4 %), Under 5.5 (96.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.0 %), Under 4.5 (90.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (90.0 %) and Home +2 handicap (87.3 %). Both sides have recently struggled, with Džiugas coming off two defeats and Trakai off a win, adding to the match’s uncertainty.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai win
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai win
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D12L10W01L11D43W02L02L22DA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.370.931.361.441.38
vs Stronger (14)0.861.791.002.000.751.62
vs Similar (16)1.501.000.880.882.121.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W10W22D14L11D00D21W10W04LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.772.030.932.000.602.07
vs Stronger (6)0.503.500.333.670.673.33
vs Similar (22)0.821.771.001.640.641.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
Džiugas Telšiai goals ↓
FK Trakai goals →
01234
09.5%8.1%5.4%2.1%0.6%
19.8%14%7.3%2.8%0.8%
27.5%8.6%4.9%1.9%0.5%
33.4%3.9%2.2%0.9%0.2%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Džiugas Telšiai goals (down), columns = FK Trakai goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Džiugas Telšiai or Draw
69.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai or FK Trakai
70.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + FK Trakai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Trakai
59.8%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Draw + FK Trakai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5
Over
74.1%
Under
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5
Over
39.2%
Under
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5
Over
68.3%
Under
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Džiugas Telšiai, so a minus line means Džiugas Telšiai give that many goals of a start and FK Trakai receive them. At -1, Džiugas Telšiai must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Džiugas Telšiai win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai -2
7.0%
Draw -2
12.2%
FK Trakai +2
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai -1
19.2%
Draw -1
21.0%
FK Trakai +1
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai +1
69.6%
Draw +1
17.6%
FK Trakai -1
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai +2
87.2%
Draw +2
8.8%
FK Trakai -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D10W00D01L31W00D00D10WA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.360.570.810.50
vs Stronger (14)0.360.790.331.000.380.62
vs Similar (16)0.810.310.380.251.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D12L01L00D00D11D10W03LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.100.401.200.201.00
vs Stronger (6)0.172.000.002.330.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.320.910.450.910.180.91
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D01L10W12L02L02L12LA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.570.790.620.88
vs Stronger (14)0.501.000.671.000.381.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.500.620.880.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W10W13L11D00D10W00D01LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.530.800.401.07
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.331.330.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.500.860.550.730.451.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.1%-------
Under 5.595.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%-------
Under 4.589.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.1%-------
Home +2 handicap87.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.5%-------
Away +2 handicap80.8%-------
Under 3.575.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.1%-------
Over 1.572.6%-------
Home or Away70.6%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
DT wins
4
Draws
0
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Džiugas Telšiai vs FK Trakai · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25HDT Vs FK Trakai4-1
22/08/25AFK Trakai Vs DT0-2
25/06/25HDT Vs FK Trakai2-1
19/04/25AFK Trakai Vs DT0-1
30/09/23AFK Trakai Vs DT0-0
23/07/23HDT Vs FK Trakai2-2
21/05/23AFK Trakai Vs DT1-1
01/04/23HDT Vs FK Trakai1-1

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-2
23/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs DT2-0
17/08/26HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-2
09/08/26AŠiauliai Vs DT3-4
03/08/26APanevėžys Vs DT1-1
26/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-0
19/07/26HDT Vs Banga1-0
24/06/26AŠiauliai Vs DT2-1
20/05/26HDT Vs Banga0-0
22/04/26ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs DT0-2

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26HFT Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-4
28/04/26AVilnius FA Vs FT0-1
22/11/25HFT Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-1
15/11/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs FT0-0
08/11/25ADainava Vs FT1-1
02/11/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FT4-1
26/10/25HFT Vs Banga2-2
22/10/25APanevėžys Vs FT0-1
18/10/25HFT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/10/25HFT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.36
HomeWDWLD0.91
AwayLLDWL1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%17%56%
AVG goals2.342.092.56
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %36%30%41%
Over 3.5 %20%17%22%
Scored1.100.871.30
Conceded1.241.221.26
BTTS46%52%41%
Clean Sheet30%22%37%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.14
HomeDWDWL1.24
AwayWLDDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.963.162.76
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.261.481.04
Conceded1.701.681.72
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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