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Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 2-2
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Vs
33%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home chances sit at 33%, a draw at 30% and the visitors at 37%. The average goal tally for the match is 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability.

Džiugas, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Hegelmann, on the road to a weaker opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. Recent form shows Džiugas after two straight defeats, while Hegelmann comes off a draw.

The model’s selections are overwhelmingly defensive: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (96.4%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%).

Results analysis

The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite, Hegelmann Litauen, was tipped to win with a 37% chance, yet the match finished 2-2. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was a stalemate. The home side, Džiugas Telšiai, entered the game on a draw-heavy run, while Hegelmann came off a draw as well, both teams finishing 2-2. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%), Under 5.5 (96.4%), and Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%). The predicted most likely total of 2 goals came true, with the 1-1 score also a strong possibility.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.93
Edge
-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.02
Dafabet
2.01
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Draw✓ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.27
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Dafabet
3.30
Hegelmann Litauen win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.43
Edge
+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Betano
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D20W00D12L10W01L11D43W02L02LA·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.470.851.311.351.59
vs Stronger (13)0.771.770.802.000.751.62
vs Similar (17)1.411.240.880.881.891.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W41W02L11D15L20W23L12L02L11DH·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08H·BAN23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.271.691.231.061.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.241.571.891.440.751.67
vs Weaker (9)1.560.561.250.751.800.40
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
@ 1.27-1.2%
Under 1.5
29.3%
@ 3.25+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.87-5.8%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.81+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.91
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.88
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
@ 3.10-6.9%
Under 3.5
77.6%
@ 1.28+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.14
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.71-2.8%
No
49.6%
@ 1.94+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
No
Betfair
2.05
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.94+7.1%
0-0
10.3%@ 8.87+5.4%
0-1
9.9%@ 9.64+5.4%
1-0
9.1%@ 6.73+2.8%
1-2
8.1%@ 11.00+4.2%
2-1
7.6%@ 7.62+2.0%
0-2
7.0%@ 17.24+4.5%
2-0
6.1%@ 8.64+1.1%
Džiugas Telšiai goals ↓
Hegelmann Litauen goals →
01234
010%9.9%7.0%2.9%0.9%
19.1%14%8.1%3.4%1.0%
26.1%7.6%4.7%2.0%0.6%
32.4%3.0%1.8%0.8%0.2%
40.7%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Džiugas Telšiai goals (down), columns = Hegelmann Litauen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.39 points better than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.11 goals worse than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.43 goals better than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Džiugas Telšiai or Draw✓ Hit
63.2%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
-10.8%
33%
30%
37%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai or Hegelmann Litauen✗ Miss
69.8%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.24
Edge
-3.2%
33%
30%
37%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + Hegelmann Litauen
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Hegelmann Litauen✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.71
Edge
+14.0%
33%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Hegelmann Litauen
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.90
10Bet
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.9%
@ 1.19-8.4%
Under
31.1%
@ 4.04+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.05
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.5%
@ 1.99-13.7%
Under
67.5%
@ 1.72+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 4.03-11.4%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.18+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 8.90-7.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.2%
@ 1.41+6.0%
Under
28.8%
@ 2.65-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
@ 2.93+3.9%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.35-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
2.93
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 7.33+0.6%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.05-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.00-3.4%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Džiugas Telšiai, so a minus line means Džiugas Telšiai give that many goals of a start and Hegelmann Litauen receive them. At -1, Džiugas Telšiai must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Džiugas Telšiai win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Džiugas Telšiai)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Džiugas Telšiai -2
4.5%
@ 8.30-6.4%
Draw -2
9.6%
@ 5.88-5.8%
Hegelmann Litauen +2
85.8%
@ 1.23+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.60
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap -1 (Džiugas Telšiai)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Džiugas Telšiai -1
14.2%
@ 3.50-10.8%
Draw -1
18.8%
@ 3.55-5.8%
Hegelmann Litauen +1
67.0%
@ 1.73+16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.10
Away
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.60
Handicap +1 (Džiugas Telšiai)Actual: Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai +1
63.2%
@ 1.27-6.6%
Draw +1
20.2%
@ 4.90+2.0%
Hegelmann Litauen -1
16.7%
@ 7.35+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.00
Handicap +2 (Džiugas Telšiai)Actual: Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai +2
83.4%
@ 1.10-2.3%
Draw +2
11.0%
@ 10.00+1.6%
Hegelmann Litauen -2
5.7%
@ 19.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
19.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D00D11D10W00D01L31W00D00DA·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.310.620.760.59
vs Stronger (13)0.310.850.201.200.380.62
vs Similar (17)0.760.410.380.251.110.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D00D03L20W11D01L02L01LH·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08H·BAN23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.850.380.590.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.620.571.000.440.330.67
vs Weaker (9)0.890.110.500.251.200.00
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.35+0.7%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.75-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.89
William Hil
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.6%
@ 2.64-1.9%
Under 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.39+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.67
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.11-3.8%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.75
Under
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 1.83-6.5%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.85+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.45-6.5%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.09+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.35+5.9%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.51-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 8.60+1.5%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.02-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D01L00D01L10W12L02L02LA·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.540.690.591.00
vs Stronger (13)0.460.920.600.800.381.00
vs Similar (17)0.650.820.500.620.781.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D02L11D12L00D12L11D00D10WH·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08H·BAN23/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.850.850.470.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.621.000.891.000.421.00
vs Weaker (9)0.670.440.750.500.600.40
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.7%
@ 1.23+1.0%
Under 0.5
24.3%
@ 3.64-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.2%
@ 2.10-4.8%
Under 1.5
60.8%
@ 1.66+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Under
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 4.35-3.8%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.17+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.0%
@ 1.59-7.6%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.17+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.13
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 3.88-9.7%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.20+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.96
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.99+3.2%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.71-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 6.25+0.6%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.07-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.9%1.03
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
---+7.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.4%1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
--+4.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.2%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+6.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
---+6.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.8%1.07
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.7%1.18
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-+11.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.9%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
----1.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.9%1.05
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
--0.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals86.1%1.20
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
---+9.7%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap85.8%1.23
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
---+12.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.8%1.07
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
----0.6%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap83.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----2.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.6%1.17
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-+3.8%✗ Miss
Under 3.577.6%1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
+6.9%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals75.7%1.23
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
-+1.0%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals71.2%1.41
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
+6.0%✓ Hit
Over 1.570.7%1.27
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
-1.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
DT wins
1
Draws
7
HL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/25AHegelmann Litauen Vs DT4-1
17/09/25HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-1
04/08/25HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-1
17/05/25AHegelmann Litauen Vs DT1-0
06/04/25HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-2
06/10/24AHegelmann Litauen Vs DT1-0
18/09/24HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-2
19/07/24HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-2

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs DT2-0
17/08/26HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-2
09/08/26AŠiauliai Vs DT3-4
03/08/26APanevėžys Vs DT1-1
26/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-0
19/07/26HDT Vs Banga1-0
24/06/26AŠiauliai Vs DT2-1
20/05/26HDT Vs Banga0-0
22/04/26ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs DT0-2
08/11/25AŠiauliai Vs DT2-2

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HHL Vs Banga1-1
08/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs HL2-0
02/08/26HHL Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-2
27/07/26HHL Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3
24/07/26AŠiauliai Vs HL0-2
20/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs HL5-1
04/07/26APanevėžys Vs HL1-1
20/05/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs HL2-0
21/04/26ATauras Vs HL1-4
08/11/25HHL Vs Suduva Marijampole2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.40
HomeLWDWL1.00
AwayLLDWL1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%22%56%
AVG goals2.281.962.56
Over 1.5 %64%61%67%
Over 2.5 %34%26%41%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.080.831.30
Conceded1.201.131.26
BTTS44%48%41%
Clean Sheet32%26%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.64
HomeWWLLD1.82
AwayLDLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%55%46%
AVG goals2.802.952.68
Over 1.5 %76%82%71%
Over 2.5 %50%59%43%
Over 3.5 %30%32%29%
Scored1.541.771.36
Conceded1.261.181.32
BTTS48%64%36%
Clean Sheet32%23%39%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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