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Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Analysis

Date: 02/06/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Vs
19%
27%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai win✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris win✗ Miss
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L02L03L02L22D20W12L11D01LA·KAU05/04H·SUD09/04A·ŠIA15/04H·PAN19/04H·FK 23/04A·DAI29/04H·HEG02/05H·BAN14/05A·FK 21/05A·SUD26/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.900.711.360.942.38
vs Stronger (14)0.712.570.431.431.003.71
vs Similar (16)0.941.311.001.290.891.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W31W23L30W01L01L12L10W00DH·DŽI05/04A·BAN09/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG19/04H·SUD23/04A·ŠIA29/04H·PAN04/05A·FK 14/05H·DAI20/05H·BAN28/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.831.530.601.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.140.430.711.571.57
vs Weaker (16)2.120.562.500.501.750.62
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-0 ✓
9.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
Džiugas Telšiai goals ↓
Kauno Žalgiris goals →
01234
09.5%12%11%5.9%2.4%
16.0%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
23.1%5.1%4.1%2.2%0.9%
30.9%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.3%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Džiugas Telšiai goals (down), columns = Kauno Žalgiris goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Panevėžys
2.42
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.08
Hegelmann Litauen
1.64
Šiauliai
1.64
Kauno Žalgiris
1.64
Banga
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
0.97
Dainava
0.86
Džiugas Telšiai
0.84
FK Trakai
0.69
Be1 NFA
0.50
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.80 points worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.86
Panevėžys
1.78
Hegelmann Litauen
1.72
Kauno Žalgiris
1.69
Šiauliai
1.33
Suduva Marijampole
0.78
Džiugas Telšiai
0.74
FK Trakai
0.72
Dainava
0.69
Banga
0.61
Be1 NFA
0.50
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.96 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Panevėžys
0.39
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0.78
Be1 NFA
1.00
Šiauliai
1.00
Dainava
1.11
Kauno Žalgiris
1.11
Hegelmann Litauen
1.19
Banga
1.44
Džiugas Telšiai
1.45
Suduva Marijampole
1.67
FK Trakai
1.72
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.34 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L01L00D11D10W01L00D00DA·KAU05/04H·SUD09/04A·ŠIA15/04H·PAN19/04H·FK 23/04A·DAI29/04H·HEG02/05H·BAN14/05A·FK 21/05A·SUD26/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.770.360.570.440.94
vs Stronger (14)0.291.000.140.570.431.43
vs Similar (16)0.500.560.570.570.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W20W10W00D00D00D01L10W00DH·DŽI05/04A·BAN09/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG19/04H·SUD23/04A·ŠIA29/04H·PAN04/05A·FK 14/05H·DAI20/05H·BAN28/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.270.530.270.800.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.290.290.290.710.29
vs Weaker (16)0.810.250.750.250.880.25
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D01L02L02L11D10W11D11D01LA·KAU05/04H·SUD09/04A·ŠIA15/04H·PAN19/04H·FK 23/04A·DAI29/04H·HEG02/05H·BAN14/05A·FK 21/05A·SUD26/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.360.790.501.44
vs Stronger (14)0.431.570.290.860.572.29
vs Similar (16)0.440.750.430.710.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D11D13L30W01L01L11D00D00DH·DŽI05/04A·BAN09/04H·FK 15/04A·HEG19/04H·SUD23/04A·ŠIA29/04H·PAN04/05A·FK 14/05H·DAI20/05H·BAN28/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.000.330.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.860.140.430.861.29
vs Weaker (16)1.310.311.750.250.880.38
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
DT (22)
€5m
DAI (1)
€0m
Džiugas Telšiai's squad is €5m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€5m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
DAI (0)
€0m
Džiugas Telšiai's attack is €3m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
Džiugas Telšiai and Kauno Žalgiris have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
DAI (0)
€0m
Džiugas Telšiai's defence is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
DT wins
0
Draws
5
KŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/23AKauno Žalgiris Vs DT3-1
13/11/22HDT Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-3
07/09/22AKauno Žalgiris Vs DT5-1
04/05/22HDT Vs Kauno Žalgiris1-2
15/03/22AKauno Žalgiris Vs DT2-1

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23ASuduva Marijampole Vs DT1-0
21/05/23AFK Trakai Vs DT1-1
14/05/23HDT Vs Banga1-2
02/05/23HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
29/04/23ADainava Vs DT2-2
23/04/23HDT Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-2
19/04/23HDT Vs Panevėžys0-3
15/04/23AŠiauliai Vs DT2-0
09/04/23HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-2
05/04/23AKauno Žalgiris Vs DT3-1

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HKŽ Vs Banga0-0
20/05/23HKŽ Vs Dainava1-0
14/05/23AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs KŽ2-1
04/05/23HKŽ Vs Panevėžys0-1
29/04/23AŠiauliai Vs KŽ1-0
23/04/23HKŽ Vs Suduva Marijampole3-0
19/04/23AHegelmann Litauen Vs KŽ3-2
15/04/23HKŽ Vs FK Trakai3-1
09/04/23ABanga Vs KŽ0-2
05/04/23HKŽ Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL0.72
HomeLLLWL0.83
AwayLLDDL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%17%12%
AVG goals2.742.293.15
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %28%17%38%
Scored0.900.830.96
Conceded1.841.462.19
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.66
HomeWWLWD1.65
AwayDWLLL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.442.272.62
Over 1.5 %74%65%83%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.461.421.50
Conceded0.980.851.12
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards3.003.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PanevėžysPanevėžys3687
72%
2.4
6414+50
2.2
67%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.80.4
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3675
64%
2.1
6728+39
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2331.90.8
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3659
42%
1.6
6140+21
2.8
78%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.71.1
-
4Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3659
50%
1.6
6243+19
2.9
72%
53%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.71.2
-
5ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3659
42%
1.6
4836+12
2.3
69%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.31.0
-
6BangaBanga3636
28%
1.0
2252-30
2.1
58%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2120.61.4
-
7Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3635
28%
1.0
2860-32
2.4
72%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2120.81.7
-
8Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3832
16%
0.8
2855-27
2.2
68%
34%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.71.4
-
9DainavaDainava3631
19%
0.9
2540-15
1.8
56%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai3625
14%
0.7
2662-36
2.4
64%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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