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Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 14:30
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Vs
30%
28%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 42% chance, followed closely by a home win at 30% and a draw at 28%. The expected total goals hover around 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Džiugas Telšių, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. TransINVEST Vilnius, on the road against a weaker side, averages 3.6 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Under 5.5 (94.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.1%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.3%), Away +2 handicap (87.4%) and Under 4.5 (87.3%). Džiugas Telšių’s recent form shows a dip after two straight defeats, while TransINVEST Vilnius comes off a win, adding nuance to the prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai win
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius win
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D12L10W01L11D43W02L02L22DA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.370.931.361.441.38
vs Stronger (14)0.861.791.002.000.751.62
vs Similar (16)1.501.000.880.882.121.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D13L13L10W21W02L11D30WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.570.872.140.932.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.700.901.500.751.831.00
vs Weaker (20)3.000.852.401.003.600.70
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
Džiugas Telšiai goals ↓
TransINVEST Vilnius goals →
01234
07.6%8.5%7.3%3.7%1.4%
16.7%13%9.1%4.6%1.7%
24.9%7.4%5.6%2.8%1.1%
32.0%3.0%2.3%1.2%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Džiugas Telšiai goals (down), columns = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.23 points worse than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.02 goals better than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Džiugas Telšiai is 0.32 goals worse than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Džiugas Telšiai or Draw
57.5%
Avg Implied -
30%
28%
42%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai or TransINVEST Vilnius
72.3%
Avg Implied -
30%
28%
42%
covers Džiugas Telšiai + TransINVEST Vilnius
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TransINVEST Vilnius
70.1%
Avg Implied -
30%
28%
42%
covers Draw + TransINVEST Vilnius
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5
Over
78.0%
Under
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Džiugas Telšiai, so a minus line means Džiugas Telšiai give that many goals of a start and TransINVEST Vilnius receive them. At -1, Džiugas Telšiai must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Džiugas Telšiai win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai -2
4.3%
Draw -2
8.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius +2
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai -1
13.1%
Draw -1
16.8%
TransINVEST Vilnius +1
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai +1
57.5%
Draw +1
20.8%
TransINVEST Vilnius -1
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Džiugas Telšiai)
Džiugas Telšiai +2
78.4%
Draw +2
13.1%
TransINVEST Vilnius -2
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D10W00D01L31W00D00D10WA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.360.570.810.50
vs Stronger (14)0.360.790.331.000.380.62
vs Similar (16)0.810.310.380.251.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D11D02L00D10W01L01L10WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.431.000.431.380.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.500.250.500.50
vs Weaker (20)1.550.451.200.501.900.40
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L00D01L10W12L02L02L12LA·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08A·FK 23/08H·HEG31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.570.790.620.88
vs Stronger (14)0.501.000.671.000.381.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.500.620.880.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D02L11D10W11D01L10W20WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.431.140.501.560.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.000.501.330.50
vs Weaker (20)1.450.401.200.501.700.30
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Under 5.593.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.1%-------
Away +2 handicap86.9%-------
Under 4.585.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals80.5%-------
Home +2 handicap78.4%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.0%-------
Over 1.577.2%-------
Home or Away72.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.0%-------
Under 3.570.3%-------
Draw or Away70.1%-------
Away +1 handicap70.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Džiugas Telšiai and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Džiugas Telšiai's attack is €1m less valuable than TransINVEST Vilnius's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Džiugas Telšiai and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Džiugas Telšiai and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
DT wins
0
Draws
3
TV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-0
27/08/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-2
23/08/24HDT Vs TransINVEST Vilnius0-3
22/06/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT3-0
27/04/24HDT Vs TransINVEST Vilnius2-0
09/03/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT0-1

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HDT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-2
23/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs DT2-0
17/08/26HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-2
09/08/26AŠiauliai Vs DT3-4
03/08/26APanevėžys Vs DT1-1
26/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-0
19/07/26HDT Vs Banga1-0
24/06/26AŠiauliai Vs DT2-1
20/05/26HDT Vs Banga0-0
22/04/26ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs DT0-2

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/26HTV Vs Šiauliai3-0
16/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV1-1
10/08/26HTV Vs Panevėžys0-2
02/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs TV1-2
26/07/26HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-0
19/07/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs TV3-1
12/07/26HTV Vs Banga1-3
06/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-0
24/06/26ADainava Vs TV1-1
20/05/26HTV Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.36
HomeWDWLD0.91
AwayLLDWL1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%17%56%
AVG goals2.342.092.56
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %36%30%41%
Over 3.5 %20%17%22%
Scored1.100.871.30
Conceded1.241.221.26
BTTS46%52%41%
Clean Sheet30%22%37%
Corners---
Cards---
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW2.12
HomeWLWLW2.08
AwayDDLWD2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%67%65%
AVG goals3.302.793.77
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored2.402.042.73
Conceded0.900.751.04
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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