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East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 22/12/2023
Time: 19:30
Final 0-3
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
56%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✗ Miss
55.8%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.81
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.63
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
17.8%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.81
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D11D40W02L01L40W24L40W12LH·CLY16/09A·SPA23/09H·FOR30/09H·STR21/10A·PET04/11H·DUM11/11A·CLY18/11A·BON21/11H·ELG09/12A·STE16/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.202.070.861.061.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.501.402.001.001.171.67
vs Weaker (20)1.551.102.100.801.001.40
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D32W04L02L02L42W01L11D13LH·STE23/09A·SPA30/09H·CLY21/10A·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.471.200.871.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.901.102.801.001.001.20
vs Weaker (20)0.801.200.801.300.801.10
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 1.72-7.4%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 2.02+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
East Fife goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
09.0%5.6%2.9%0.8%0.2%
112%13%4.9%1.4%0.3%
211%9.6%4.1%1.2%0.2%
36.3%5.4%2.3%0.7%0.1%
42.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
East Fife is 0.14 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
East Fife is 0.03 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
East Fife is 0.03 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1305582452549675743254101097131312774A·STEH·ELGA·BONA·CLYH·DUMA·PETH·STRH·FORA·SPAH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6042123311331211222226154443344A·STEH·ELGA·BONA·CLYH·DUMA·PETH·STRH·FORA·SPAH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

320127136189781011141110111517108101719192715212521321827A·STEH·ELGA·BONA·CLYH·DUMA·PETH·STRH·FORA·SPAH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150539435544461962746428138987159106A·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUMH·CLYA·SPAH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

902233332245131212532565294338A·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUMH·CLYA·SPAH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

34088191517119187119121087141115131516342827182118212628A·STRH·PETA·STEH·EASH·FORA·ELGA·DUMH·CLYA·SPAH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.110.04.44.83.921.722.420.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.17.110.94.64.84.622.824.921.0
vs Weaker (33)9.810.09.54.24.83.621.121.220.9
% over line42%44%40%68%76%60%44%56%32%
% under line58%56%60%32%24%40%56%44%68%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.98.94.44.24.623.123.822.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.811.28.14.13.74.523.823.823.8
vs Weaker (33)9.29.29.24.64.64.622.823.921.8
% over line42%48%36%62%60%64%58%60%56%
% under line58%52%64%38%40%36%42%40%44%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
11.0
Dumbarton
10.2
Stranraer
10.2
Forfar
10.2
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.5
Peterhead
9.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Elgin
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.5
Dumbarton
4.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
East Fife
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Elgin
4.1
Spartans
3.7
Stranraer
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.1
Peterhead
23.0
Forfar
23.0
Elgin
22.5
East Fife
21.7
Stranraer
21.2
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Clyde
20.7
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.7%
Under 3.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.5%
Under 21.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W20W01L01L20W11D20W02LH·CLY16/09A·SPA23/09H·FOR30/09H·STR21/10A·PET04/11H·DUM11/11A·CLY18/11A·BON21/11H·ELG09/12A·STE16/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.860.360.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.601.000.500.330.67
vs Weaker (20)0.550.500.800.300.300.70
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L02L00D01L11D01L10W01LH·STE23/09A·SPA30/09H·CLY21/10A·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.330.400.400.330.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.100.800.200.200.00
vs Weaker (20)0.300.450.200.500.400.40
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W01L20W01L00D20W13L20W10WH·CLY16/09A·SPA23/09H·FOR30/09H·STR21/10A·PET04/11H·DUM11/11A·CLY18/11A·BON21/11H·ELG09/12A·STE16/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.210.500.750.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.801.000.500.831.00
vs Weaker (20)1.000.601.300.500.700.70
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L20W02L02L01L31W00D01L12LH·STE23/09A·SPA30/09H·CLY21/10A·DUM04/11A·ELG11/11H·FOR18/11H·EAS21/11A·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.831.070.800.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.401.002.000.800.801.20
vs Weaker (20)0.500.750.600.800.400.70
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
EF wins
2
Draws
2
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF4-2
18/03/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF1-1
10/12/22HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
15/10/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF1-4
06/08/22HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-3

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs EF2-1
09/12/23HEF Vs Elgin4-0
21/11/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF4-2
18/11/23AClyde Vs EF0-4
11/11/23HEF Vs Dumbarton0-1
04/11/23APeterhead Vs EF2-0
21/10/23HEF Vs Stranraer4-0
30/09/23HEF Vs Forfar1-1
23/09/23ASpartans Vs EF2-2
16/09/23HEF Vs Clyde2-0

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
09/12/23HBR Vs Peterhead1-1
02/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-0
21/11/23HBR Vs East Fife4-2
18/11/23HBR Vs Forfar0-2
11/11/23AElgin Vs BR2-0
04/11/23ADumbarton Vs BR4-0
21/10/23HBR Vs Clyde3-2
30/09/23ASpartans Vs BR2-2
23/09/23HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.26
HomeWDWLW1.36
AwayDLWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.842.802.88
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.381.241.52
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners9.549.0810.00
Cards4.364.803.92
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.10
HomeLWLWD1.20
AwayDLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.543.002.08
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.081.400.76
Conceded1.461.601.32
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet24%16%32%
Corners9.409.928.88
Cards4.424.244.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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