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East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
49%
27%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied 54.9% · @ 1.67
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.77
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.41
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W15L24L20W21W40W51W12L20W10WH·BRE23/07A·ST 27/07A·ELG03/08H·EDI10/08H·FOR17/08A·STI24/08H·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.202.001.191.211.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.561.441.881.381.251.50
vs Weaker (14)1.710.932.121.001.170.83
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W01L02L22D21W20W12L20W01LA·STE27/04H·FOR04/05H·PET03/08A·SPA10/08A·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.131.001.201.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.141.211.001.291.291.14
vs Weaker (16)1.191.121.250.751.121.50
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.77-0.8%
Under 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.96+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
East Fife goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
07.6%5.9%3.9%1.4%0.4%
19.4%13%6.4%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.6%5.3%1.9%0.5%
34.8%5.2%2.9%1.1%0.3%
42.0%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
East Fife is 0.64 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
East Fife is 0.69 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
East Fife is 0.69 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

For 5.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

150459624844131669245915212441412119A·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STIH·FORH·EDIA·ELGH·SPAA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70232341342315312311215557564523A·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STIH·FORH·EDIA·ELGH·SPAA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

380211771071213127961696912127161138171925162215211927A·SPAH·PETA·STRH·CLYA·STIH·FORH·EDIA·ELGH·SPAA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

16034777255311561657474714778167111111H·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDIA·SPAH·PETH·FORA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100216422244354233131131046795441H·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDIA·SPAH·PETH·FORA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

32013112012161181210913914121510171312924322720192226253021H·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDIA·SPAH·PETH·FORA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.49.23.53.33.821.521.321.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)9.39.88.93.02.73.422.420.624.1
vs Weaker (26)9.39.29.44.03.94.120.821.819.9
% over line48%52%43%58%52%64%46%48%43%
% under line52%48%57%42%48%36%54%52%57%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.59.44.44.44.324.125.123.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)9.210.08.44.44.14.726.228.024.5
vs Weaker (30)9.69.210.14.34.64.122.623.222.1
% over line46%48%44%56%60%52%62%68%56%
% under line54%52%56%44%40%48%38%32%44%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.2
Edinburgh City
9.9
Stranraer
9.7
Forfar
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Clyde
9.3
Spartans
9.3
East Fife
9.2
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
East Fife
4.0
Stirling
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.8
Stranraer
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Elgin
3.5
Forfar
3.4
Spartans
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Forfar
24.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.1
Elgin
23.7
East Fife
21.5
Edinburgh City
21.2
Spartans
21.1
Clyde
20.9
Stirling
20.9
Stranraer
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W03L02L00D10W20W31W01L20W00DH·BRE23/07A·ST 27/07A·ELG03/08H·EDI10/08H·FOR17/08A·STI24/08H·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.120.500.500.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.691.380.380.381.00
vs Weaker (14)0.790.500.880.620.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D11D01L20W00D10W00DA·STE27/04H·FOR04/05H·PET03/08A·SPA10/08A·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.530.270.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.430.570.430.570.43
vs Weaker (16)0.380.500.500.120.250.88
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L22D20W11D20W20W11D00D10WH·BRE23/07A·ST 27/07A·ELG03/08H·EDI10/08H·FOR17/08A·STI24/08H·CLY31/08A·STR14/09H·PET21/09A·SPA28/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.880.690.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.750.501.000.880.50
vs Weaker (14)0.930.431.250.380.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W01L02L11D20W00D12L10W01LA·STE27/04H·FOR04/05H·PET03/08A·SPA10/08A·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.600.730.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.790.430.860.710.71
vs Weaker (16)0.810.620.750.620.880.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls75.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EF wins
2
Draws
4
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-4
17/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF0-2
22/12/23HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-3
21/11/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF4-2
18/03/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF1-1
10/12/22HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
15/10/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF1-4
06/08/22HEF Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-3

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ASpartans Vs EF0-1
21/09/24HEF Vs Peterhead2-0
14/09/24AStranraer Vs EF2-1
31/08/24HEF Vs Clyde5-1
24/08/24AStirling Vs EF0-4
17/08/24HEF Vs Forfar2-1
10/08/24HEF Vs Edinburgh City2-0
03/08/24AElgin Vs EF4-2
27/07/24AST Johnstone Vs EF5-1
23/07/24HEF Vs Brechin4-0

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HBR Vs Forfar0-1
21/09/24AStirling Vs BR0-2
14/09/24AElgin Vs BR2-1
31/08/24HBR Vs Stranraer2-0
24/08/24HBR Vs Clyde2-1
17/08/24AEdinburgh City Vs BR2-2
10/08/24ASpartans Vs BR2-0
03/08/24HBR Vs Peterhead0-1
04/05/24HBR Vs Forfar4-0
27/04/24AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.44
HomeWWWWW1.76
AwayLLWLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.743.002.48
Over 1.5 %80%96%64%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.501.801.20
Conceded1.241.201.28
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.309.439.17
Cards3.853.614.09
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.20
HomeWLWWL1.36
AwayDLDLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.402.482.32
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.221.401.04
Conceded1.181.081.28
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.469.529.40
Cards4.364.404.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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