East Fife face Hamilton Academical in a Scotland: League One match on August 22nd. Hamilton's recent 4-game winning run is a significant storyline, having defeated Airdrie United 4-0 last time out. In contrast, East Fife come off a defeat, losing 1-2 to Peterhead.
The model predicts a 56% chance of Hamilton winning, with the draw probability at 24%, and East Fife winning at 20%. The most likely match result is an away win for Hamilton. An average of 3.0 goals are expected, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 11.3% of the time.
East Fife score an average of 1 goal at home, conceding 1.8. Hamilton score 1.36 goals away from home, conceding 1.82. The model's selection is Over 1.5, occurring 81.6% of the time, with a 10% edge. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, which is the model's selection, occurring 81.6% of the time, with a 10% edge. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, which has a 81.6% chance of occurring. Hamilton win 56%, East Fife win 20%, and the draw is 24%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Hamilton Academical, did not come through, as the game finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had assigned a 56 % chance to the away side, but the result was a draw, so its pick was wrong. The match also saw several of the model’s selections hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 at 98.7 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.5 %, Under 6.5 at 96.5 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 95.4 %, Away +2 handicap at 92.1 %, and Home under 1.5 2H goals at 92.1 %. East Fife had been coming off a draw, while Hamilton had gone unbeaten in their last five, yet neither side managed to break the deadlock.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
East Fife win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.66
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.85
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.70
Draw✓ Hit
24.0%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.28
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Hamilton Academical win✗ Miss
55.9%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.92
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.00
Dafabet
1.96
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
East Fife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.60
1.00
1.60
0.60
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.83
1.48
1.00
1.73
0.67
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
2.00
1.00
1.25
0.33
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.37
1.43
1.43
1.31
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.67
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.33
1.38
1.12
0.90
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.17
2.00
1.67
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.29+9.7%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.28-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
888Sport
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.93+10.0%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 1.81-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Under
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.81
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 3.25+7.5%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.29-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
@ 1.78+6.2%
No
42.0%
@ 1.91-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
888Sport
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
No
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 6.18+4.0%
1-2
9.9%@ 8.09+4.4%
0-2
9.0%@ 8.78+3.9%
0-1
8.3%@ 6.79+1.7%
1-3
6.4%@ 14.80+3.4%
0-0 ✓
5.9%@ 8.92+0.8%
0-3
5.8%@ 15.40+2.9%
2-1
5.6%@ 12.06+1.9%
East Fife goals ↓
Hamilton Academical goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
8.3%
9.0%
5.8%
2.8%
1
4.3%
11%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
2
2.9%
5.6%
5.4%
3.5%
1.7%
3
1.1%
2.0%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Hamilton Academical goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
East Fife is 1.50 points worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
East Fife is 1.56 goals worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
East Fife is 0.19 goals worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
East Fife
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamilton Academical
For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 16.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Fife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.1
9.2
2.8
3.1
2.5
22.6
23.2
22.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.2
9.4
9.1
2.9
3.2
2.6
22.6
23.3
21.9
vs Weaker (10)
11.0
12.0
9.8
2.5
2.8
2.2
22.8
23.0
22.5
% over line
51%
55%
48%
40%
42%
38%
54%
65%
43%
% under line
49%
45%
52%
60%
58%
62%
46%
35%
57%
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
12.0
9.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
16.0
23.0
9.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.0
-
9.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (34)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.1
0.3
23.0
23.0
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
2%
0%
4%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
98%
100%
96%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.4%
@ 1.92+2.1%
Under 9.5
49.6%
@ 1.80-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
East Fife or Draw✓ Hit
44.1%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.79
Edge
-7.3%
20%
24%
56%
covers East Fife + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
East Fife or Hamilton Academical✗ Miss
76.0%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
+2.7%
20%
24%
56%
covers East Fife + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Draw or Hamilton Academical✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
+4.6%
20%
24%
56%
covers Draw + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
East Fife over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.5%
@ 1.46+3.3%
Under
33.5%
@ 2.52-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.56
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
888Sport
2.63
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
East Fife over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.9%
@ 3.17+0.8%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.30-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
BetVictor
3.20
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
East Fife over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 7.95-1.7%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
888Sport
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
East Fife over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 18.67-2.6%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.6%
@ 1.19+8.2%
Under
14.4%
@ 4.07-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.05
888Sport
4.00
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
57.6%
@ 1.99+11.1%
Under
42.4%
@ 1.73-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.6%
@ 4.07+7.9%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.19-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
888Sport
4.33
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Under
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Hamilton Academical over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 9.00+2.7%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.05-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
8.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to East Fife, so a minus line means East Fife give that many goals of a start and Hamilton Academical receive them. At -1, East Fife must win by two or more to land; a one-goal East Fife win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (East Fife)Actual: Hamilton Academical
East Fife -2
2.3%
@ 21.00-2.2%
Draw -2
5.6%
@ 13.00-1.6%
Hamilton Academical +2
92.1%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (East Fife)Actual: Hamilton Academical
East Fife -1
7.9%
@ 8.23-2.9%
Draw -1
12.2%
@ 5.35-4.3%
Hamilton Academical +1
79.9%
@ 1.22+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.70
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap +1 (East Fife)Actual: East Fife
East Fife +1
44.1%
@ 1.79-5.4%
Draw +1
22.4%
@ 3.64-2.0%
Hamilton Academical -1
33.5%
@ 3.39+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Handicap +2 (East Fife)Actual: East Fife
East Fife +2
66.5%
@ 1.26-4.3%
Draw +2
17.4%
@ 5.53+1.2%
Hamilton Academical -2
16.1%
@ 6.92+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
East Fife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.83
0.36
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.57
0.00
0.25
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.39
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.30
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.38+8.1%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 2.78-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.83
Superbet
2.72
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.8%
@ 2.76+9.4%
Under 1.5
57.2%
@ 1.39-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
Pinnacle
2.78
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 6.97+4.0%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.07-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.0%
@ 2.50-6.0%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.47+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.13-5.5%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.80
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.85+17.7%
Under
32.2%
@ 1.85-17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.84
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.5%
@ 5.33+16.2%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.11-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 11.25+3.0%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.02-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
East Fife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.73
0.80
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.65
0.64
0.73
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.43
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.79
0.71
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.94
0.88
0.62
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
85.7%
Under 0.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.9%
Under 1.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.7%
Under 2.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.7%
Under
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.1%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
86.9%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.04
-
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
85.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+8.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
81.0%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.07
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
79.9%
1.22
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.9%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.0%
1.26
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.38
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
1.26
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-
-0.0%
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.30
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
East Fife and Hamilton Academical have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Fife and Hamilton Academical have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Fife and Hamilton Academical have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
East Fife and Hamilton Academical have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ross County
Alloa Athletic
East Kilbride
Peterhead
Montrose
Cove Rangers
Airdrie United
Queen of the South