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East Kilbride vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Vs
43%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

East Kilbride’s attacking output, averaging 1.91 goals per game against weaker opposition, and their modest 1.18 goals conceded set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Clyde, playing away against stronger sides, has managed 1.58 goals per match while conceding just one on average, hinting at a more cautious approach. The model projects a 43% chance of a home win, a 25% draw, and a 31% away win, with the home side favoured as the most likely outcome. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5% probability. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 83.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.6%, and a miss on Over 19.5 fouls at 73.3%. East Kilbride’s recent form, coming off a 0-3 loss, contrasts with Clyde’s two-game winning streak, adding intrigue to the fixture.

Results analysis

East Kilbride’s win over Clyde was a fitting end to a rough patch, as the 5-0 result matched the model’s favourite and the final score. The Pythia model had tipped a home win with a 43% probability, and that call proved correct. The model’s other selections largely hit: Over 1.5 goals at 83.7% came through, as did Over 2.5 cards at 83.4% and Under 25.5 fouls at 73.9%. Under 11.5 corners, predicted at 70.6%, also materialised. Only the Over 19.5 fouls pick, at 73.3%, missed. The outcome confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Kilbride win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.62
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.90
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.07
Edge
+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W31W30W12L32W11D21W01L40W10WH·DUM21/02A·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.331.931.361.941.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.141.712.002.002.251.50
vs Weaker (23)1.871.221.911.181.831.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D12L21W13L02L31W20W20W31WH·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04H·DUM18/04H·ANN25/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.101.941.121.431.07
vs Stronger (24)1.791.172.001.331.581.00
vs Similar (6)1.330.831.750.500.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.50+0.5%
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.36-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
East Kilbride goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
05.2%5.0%4.4%2.1%0.8%
16.1%11%7.6%3.7%1.3%
26.2%9.0%6.5%3.2%1.1%
33.6%5.2%3.8%1.8%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Kilbride goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
East Kilbride is 0.36 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
East Kilbride is 0.53 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (2.14 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
East Kilbride is 0.14 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1202312345546813744364351271010910897A·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

8022244124444331232234656486355A·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

36014139151758179151762115716121791627242225242336232925A·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLYH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150743153105941925348663114815131077149H·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

8011121222211214413232332423845H·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

290135610813813101011111488131010171218162121202222212029H·ANNH·DUMA·EDIH·STIA·ELGA·STRH·STRA·SPAA·FORH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)10.410.410.44.23.84.626.725.028.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)9.58.210.82.92.93.024.623.825.5
vs Weaker (33)10.711.110.34.74.15.327.325.429.0
% over line57%53%61%62%54%70%83%82%83%
% under line43%47%39%38%46%30%17%18%17%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.59.33.93.64.221.822.920.8
vs Stronger (41)10.211.29.33.83.64.121.523.120.0
vs Similar (9)8.47.09.64.13.84.423.022.023.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%55%30%60%48%72%49%59%39%
% under line58%45%70%40%52%28%51%41%61%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Dumbarton
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.7
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.1
Annan Athletic
22.0
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.5%
Under 21.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W11D20W00D00D01L10W10WH·DUM21/02A·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.290.571.060.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.140.861.671.000.750.75
vs Weaker (23)1.170.571.180.451.170.67
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D11D01L21W10W00D20WH·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04H·DUM18/04H·ANN25/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.690.500.570.43
vs Stronger (24)0.710.500.830.580.580.42
vs Similar (6)0.330.330.250.250.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W01L12L11D21W00D30W00DH·DUM21/02A·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.640.790.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.860.331.001.500.75
vs Weaker (23)0.700.650.730.730.670.58
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D12L21W02L01L10W10W20W11DH·EAS28/02A·FOR07/03A·SPA14/03H·STR21/03A·STR24/03A·ELG28/03H·STI04/04A·EDI11/04H·DUM18/04H·ANN25/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.250.620.860.64
vs Stronger (24)1.080.671.170.751.000.58
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.500.250.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
EK wins
2
Draws
0
CLY wins

Head-to-head

East Kilbride vs Clyde · H/A from EK
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AClyde Vs EK1-3
27/12/25HEK Vs Clyde1-1
04/10/25AClyde Vs EK2-2

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26ADumbarton Vs EK0-1
18/04/26HEK Vs Edinburgh City4-0
11/04/26AForfar Vs EK1-0
04/04/26HEK Vs Annan Athletic2-1
28/03/26ASpartans Vs EK1-1
21/03/26HEK Vs Stirling3-2
14/03/26AStranraer Vs EK2-1
07/03/26HEK Vs Elgin3-0
28/02/26AClyde Vs EK1-3
21/02/26HEK Vs Dumbarton3-1

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HCLY Vs Annan Athletic3-1
18/04/26HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
11/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs CLY0-2
04/04/26HCLY Vs Stirling3-1
28/03/26AElgin Vs CLY2-0
24/03/26AStranraer Vs CLY3-1
21/03/26HCLY Vs Stranraer2-1
14/03/26ASpartans Vs CLY2-1
07/03/26AForfar Vs CLY1-1
28/02/26HCLY Vs East Kilbride1-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.68
HomeWWWWW1.62
AwayWLDLW1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%50%52%
AVG goals3.663.713.61
Over 1.5 %94%100%87%
Over 2.5 %72%75%70%
Over 3.5 %55%62%48%
Scored1.961.922.00
Conceded1.701.791.61
BTTS66%62%70%
Clean Sheet21%25%17%
Corners10.4010.4110.39
Cards5.605.295.89
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.54
HomeLWWWW1.68
AwayDLLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.903.082.72
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %34%48%20%
Scored1.701.881.52
Conceded1.201.201.20
BTTS68%76%60%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.8910.459.35
Cards4.314.094.52

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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