East Kilbride’s attacking output, averaging 1.91 goals per game against weaker opposition, and their modest 1.18 goals conceded set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Clyde, playing away against stronger sides, has managed 1.58 goals per match while conceding just one on average, hinting at a more cautious approach. The model projects a 43% chance of a home win, a 25% draw, and a 31% away win, with the home side favoured as the most likely outcome. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5% probability. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 83.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.6%, and a miss on Over 19.5 fouls at 73.3%. East Kilbride’s recent form, coming off a 0-3 loss, contrasts with Clyde’s two-game winning streak, adding intrigue to the fixture.
Results analysis
East Kilbride’s win over Clyde was a fitting end to a rough patch, as the 5-0 result matched the model’s favourite and the final score. The Pythia model had tipped a home win with a 43% probability, and that call proved correct. The model’s other selections largely hit: Over 1.5 goals at 83.7% came through, as did Over 2.5 cards at 83.4% and Under 25.5 fouls at 73.9%. Under 11.5 corners, predicted at 70.6%, also materialised. Only the Over 19.5 fouls pick, at 73.3%, missed. The outcome confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
East Kilbride win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.62
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.90
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.07
Edge
+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
East Kilbride
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.33
1.93
1.36
1.94
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.14
1.71
2.00
2.00
2.25
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.87
1.22
1.91
1.18
1.83
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
1.94
1.12
1.43
1.07
vs Stronger (24)
1.79
1.17
2.00
1.33
1.58
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
1.75
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.50+0.5%
Under 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.36-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
East Kilbride goals ↓
Clyde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.0%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
1
6.1%
11%
7.6%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.2%
9.0%
6.5%
3.2%
1.1%
3
3.6%
5.2%
3.8%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.6%
2.3%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Kilbride goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
East Kilbride is 0.36 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
East Kilbride is 0.53 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (2.14 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
East Kilbride is 0.14 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
East Kilbride
For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Kilbride
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.2
3.8
4.6
26.7
25.0
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.5
8.2
10.8
2.9
2.9
3.0
24.6
23.8
25.5
vs Weaker (33)
10.7
11.1
10.3
4.7
4.1
5.3
27.3
25.4
29.0
% over line
57%
53%
61%
62%
54%
70%
83%
82%
83%
% under line
43%
47%
39%
38%
46%
30%
17%
18%
17%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.5
9.3
3.9
3.6
4.2
21.8
22.9
20.8
vs Stronger (41)
10.2
11.2
9.3
3.8
3.6
4.1
21.5
23.1
20.0
vs Similar (9)
8.4
7.0
9.6
4.1
3.8
4.4
23.0
22.0
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
55%
30%
60%
48%
72%
49%
59%
39%
% under line
58%
45%
70%
40%
52%
28%
51%
41%
61%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Dumbarton
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.7
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.1
Annan Athletic
22.0
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.5%
Under 21.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
East Kilbride
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.29
0.57
1.06
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.86
1.67
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (23)
1.17
0.57
1.18
0.45
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.69
0.50
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (24)
0.71
0.50
0.83
0.58
0.58
0.42
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
East Kilbride
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.64
0.79
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.86
0.33
1.00
1.50
0.75
vs Weaker (23)
0.70
0.65
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.58
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
1.25
0.62
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (24)
1.08
0.67
1.17
0.75
1.00
0.58
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →