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East Kilbride vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Vs
17%
22%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Kilbride win✓ Hit
16.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline win✗ Miss
61.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W30W12L32W11D21W01L40W10W50WA·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.302.211.291.941.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.141.712.002.002.251.50
vs Weaker (23)2.041.172.271.091.831.25
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L20W20W00D10W00D11D12L13LH·FAL18/04H·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.871.500.501.501.29
vs Stronger (3)1.671.002.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.480.851.430.571.541.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
East Kilbride goals ↓
Dunfermline goals →
01234
05.4%8.4%9.8%6.8%3.6%
13.6%10%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.3%4.8%5.1%3.5%1.8%
30.8%1.6%1.7%1.2%0.6%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Kilbride goals (down), columns = Dunfermline goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
East Kilbride is 0.75 points worse than Dunfermline in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
East Kilbride is 0.50 goals better than Dunfermline in terms of goals scored per game (2.75 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
East Kilbride is 1.75 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

12055231234554681374436105127101091089H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

8022222441244443312324465648635H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

36071214139151758179151762115716121719272422252423362329H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 4.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.2

🚩 Corners

130236665137176235126638135A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

70113423221424111127545622A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

3007811121111711111361381614161523221824192430A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)10.410.410.44.23.84.626.424.728.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.58.210.82.72.92.624.623.825.5
vs Weaker (33)10.611.010.34.84.15.727.024.929.0
% over line58%56%61%62%56%70%81%78%83%
% under line42%44%39%38%44%30%19%22%17%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.67.47.71.31.01.523.124.022.1
vs Stronger (3)9.013.05.01.31.02.019.524.015.0
vs Similar (46)7.36.58.21.31.11.523.724.023.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line21%14%29%20%14%27%64%71%57%
% under line79%86%71%80%86%73%36%29%43%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.6%
Under 3.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
East Kilbride or Draw✓ Hit
38.8%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers East Kilbride + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride or Dunfermline✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers East Kilbride + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dunfermline✗ Miss
83.4%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers Draw + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
87.7%
Under
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
Under
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to East Kilbride, so a minus line means East Kilbride give that many goals of a start and Dunfermline receive them. At -1, East Kilbride must win by two or more to land; a one-goal East Kilbride win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (East Kilbride)Actual: East Kilbride
East Kilbride -2
1.7%
Draw -2
4.4%
Dunfermline +2
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (East Kilbride)Actual: East Kilbride
East Kilbride -1
6.1%
Draw -1
10.5%
Dunfermline +1
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (East Kilbride)Actual: East Kilbride
East Kilbride +1
38.8%
Draw +1
22.5%
Dunfermline -1
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (East Kilbride)Actual: East Kilbride
East Kilbride +2
61.4%
Draw +2
18.8%
Dunfermline -2
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W11D20W00D00D01L10W10W30WA·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.631.430.571.060.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.140.861.671.000.750.75
vs Weaker (23)1.260.571.360.451.170.67
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W00D10W00D11D10W02LH·FAL18/04H·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.620.250.640.64
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.410.570.290.690.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W01L12L11D21W00D30W00D20WA·CLY28/02H·ELG07/03A·STR14/03H·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.790.710.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.000.860.331.001.500.75
vs Weaker (23)0.780.610.910.640.670.58
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W10W00D00D00D00D02L11DH·FAL18/04H·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.430.880.250.860.64
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.850.440.860.290.850.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap93.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals91.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.590.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals87.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls86.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards85.1%--------
Away under 3.5 goals84.0%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away83.4%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap83.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.1%--------
Home or Away77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.1%--------
Home under 1.5 goals73.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
East Kilbride's squad is €4m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€0m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Kilbride's attack is €1m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Kilbride and Dunfermline have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
East Kilbride's defence is €2m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
EK wins
0
Draws
0
DUN wins

Head-to-head

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline · H/A from EK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HEK Vs Clyde5-0
25/04/26ADumbarton Vs EK0-1
18/04/26HEK Vs Edinburgh City4-0
11/04/26AForfar Vs EK1-0
04/04/26HEK Vs Annan Athletic2-1
28/03/26ASpartans Vs EK1-1
21/03/26HEK Vs Stirling3-2
14/03/26AStranraer Vs EK2-1
07/03/26HEK Vs Elgin3-0
28/02/26AClyde Vs EK1-3

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ACeltic Vs DUN3-1
15/05/26APartick Vs DUN2-1
12/05/26HDUN Vs Partick1-1
08/05/26AArbroath Vs DUN0-0
05/05/26HDUN Vs Arbroath1-0
01/05/26HDUN Vs Arbroath0-0
25/04/26AQueens Park Vs DUN0-2
25/04/26AQueen's Park Vs DUN0-2
21/04/26HDUN Vs ST Johnstone0-2
18/04/26HDUN Vs Falkirk0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.71
HomeWWWWW1.68
AwayWLDLW1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals3.693.763.61
Over 1.5 %94%100%87%
Over 2.5 %73%76%70%
Over 3.5 %56%64%48%
Scored2.022.042.00
Conceded1.671.721.61
BTTS65%60%70%
Clean Sheet23%28%17%
Corners10.3910.3910.39
Cards5.565.225.89
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.68
HomeDLDWD1.75
AwayWWDLL1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%45%
AVG goals2.362.142.64
Over 1.5 %70%64%77%
Over 2.5 %44%39%50%
Over 3.5 %22%18%27%
Scored1.421.361.50
Conceded0.940.791.14
BTTS36%29%45%
Clean Sheet50%57%41%
Corners7.577.437.71
Cards4.504.144.86

🏆 17. League Table

East Kilbride plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
Dunfermline plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches