East Kilbride’s recent form has been a blur of losses, with a 0-4 defeat to Ross County after two straight defeats, while Hamilton Academical have gone unbeaten in five, keeping a 1-0 win over Cove Rangers. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 55% probability, followed by a 23% chance of a draw and 22% for a home win. The expected total is 3.3 goals, centring on a 3-goal total at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% probability.
East Kilbride, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Hamilton, away against a stronger opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on low-scoring outcomes: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5% with a 9% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.2% with a 9% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.2% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.0% with a 4% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.1%, and an Away +2 handicap at 90.7%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
East Kilbride win
22.1%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.17
Edge
-20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Dafabet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Draw
23.2%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.65
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Bet365
3.70
Betano
3.65
Hamilton Academical win
54.7%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.77
Edge
+21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
Dafabet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
East Kilbride
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.57
2.73
1.40
1.73
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
2.00
2.09
2.25
1.50
1.86
2.43
vs Weaker (19)
2.37
1.26
2.91
1.36
1.62
1.12
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.27
1.40
1.33
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.43
1.00
1.50
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.24
1.38
1.12
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.17
2.00
1.67
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.0%
@ 1.18+7.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
@ 4.17-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.05
Unibet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.9%
@ 1.63+6.7%
Under 2.5
36.1%
@ 2.18-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.60
Under
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.8%
@ 2.56+6.0%
Under 3.5
58.2%
@ 1.43-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Unibet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
63.0%
@ 1.54+3.3%
No
37.0%
@ 2.29-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Unibet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
No
1xBet
2.34
William Hil
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 6.99+3.8%
1-2
9.7%@ 10.13+5.1%
0-2
7.8%@ 15.46+4.8%
0-1
6.6%@ 10.93+2.4%
1-3
6.6%@ 20.25+4.3%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.71+2.1%
2-1
5.9%@ 8.74+0.6%
0-3
5.3%@ 30.17+3.7%
East Kilbride goals ↓
Hamilton Academical goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
6.6%
7.8%
5.3%
2.7%
1
3.7%
10%
9.7%
6.6%
3.4%
2
2.9%
5.9%
6.1%
4.1%
2.1%
3
1.2%
2.5%
2.5%
1.7%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Kilbride goals (down), columns = Hamilton Academical goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
East Kilbride is 1.22 points worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
East Kilbride is 1.14 goals worse than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
East Kilbride is 0.06 goals better than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
East Kilbride
For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamilton Academical
For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 16.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Kilbride
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
4.0
3.9
4.1
26.4
24.7
28.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.5
8.2
10.8
2.2
2.9
1.8
24.6
23.8
25.5
vs Weaker (31)
10.6
11.0
10.3
5.1
4.4
6.1
27.0
24.9
29.0
% over line
58%
56%
61%
60%
58%
62%
81%
78%
83%
% under line
42%
44%
39%
40%
42%
38%
19%
22%
17%
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
12.0
9.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
16.0
23.0
9.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.0
-
9.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (33)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.1
0.3
23.0
23.0
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
2%
0%
4%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
98%
100%
96%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.4%
@ 1.68-7.1%
Under 9.5
51.6%
@ 2.08+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.3%
Under 3.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
East Kilbride or Draw
45.3%
Avg Implied 67.2% · @ 1.37
Edge
-21.9%
22%
23%
55%
covers East Kilbride + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
East Kilbride or Hamilton Academical
76.8%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
+1.9%
22%
23%
55%
covers East Kilbride + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Draw or Hamilton Academical
77.9%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.59
Edge
+20.0%
22%
23%
55%
covers Draw + Hamilton Academical
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.55
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
@ 1.19-6.7%
Under
28.7%
@ 4.24+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.00
East Kilbride over/under 1.5
Over
35.5%
@ 1.93-12.3%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.77+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Unibet
1.74
East Kilbride over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
@ 4.04-9.7%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.20+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
East Kilbride over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 7.60-8.4%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.06+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.60
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
@ 1.26+13.5%
Under
13.0%
@ 3.50-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
@ 2.23+19.2%
Under
39.5%
@ 1.57-19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Unibet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5
Over
33.5%
@ 4.92+14.7%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.14-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Hamilton Academical over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
@ 9.00+4.7%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.04-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to East Kilbride, so a minus line means East Kilbride give that many goals of a start and Hamilton Academical receive them. At -1, East Kilbride must win by two or more to land; a one-goal East Kilbride win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (East Kilbride)
East Kilbride -2
3.0%
@ 8.60-7.3%
Draw -2
6.3%
@ 6.38-7.6%
Hamilton Academical +2
90.7%
@ 1.18+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
9.20
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (East Kilbride)
East Kilbride -1
9.3%
@ 3.89-13.0%
Draw -1
12.8%
@ 3.97-9.1%
Hamilton Academical +1
77.9%
@ 1.55+22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
3.30
Away
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.52
Handicap +1 (East Kilbride)
East Kilbride +1
45.3%
@ 1.34-18.3%
Draw +1
21.5%
@ 4.35+1.8%
Hamilton Academical -1
33.3%
@ 5.07+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.50
Handicap +2 (East Kilbride)
East Kilbride +2
66.7%
@ 1.11-13.9%
Draw +2
16.8%
@ 8.00+5.7%
Hamilton Academical -2
16.4%
@ 11.00+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
East Kilbride
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.47
0.60
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.75
0.75
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
1.47
0.63
1.73
0.55
1.12
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.35
0.50
0.50
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.28+0.4%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 3.37-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 2.38+1.8%
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.51-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Under
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 5.40-0.4%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.12+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.8%
@ 1.83-15.6%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.86+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.5%
@ 5.37-8.8%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.12+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 10.75-7.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.9%
@ 1.98+8.4%
Under
45.1%
@ 1.72-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HT
Over
29.5%
@ 6.37+15.0%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.08-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.65
Marathonbet
6.65
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.8%
@ 11.75-0.2%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.02+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
East Kilbride
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.93
1.27
0.80
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
1.45
1.50
0.75
1.29
1.86
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.63
1.18
0.82
0.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hamilton Academical
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.00
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.88
0.88
0.62
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.17-2.7%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 4.58+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.85-7.8%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.85+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.1%
@ 3.60-4.9%
Under 2.5
78.9%
@ 1.26+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.7%
@ 1.57-18.4%
Under
59.3%
@ 2.26+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Under
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.19
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.0%
@ 3.68-13.0%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.23+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.95
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 9.07-7.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2H
Over
67.5%
@ 1.71+13.5%
Under
32.5%
@ 2.01-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.6%
@ 4.50+5.0%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.16-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.1%
@ 9.50-3.8%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+7.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+8.4%
Under 6.5
95.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+8.8%
Away +2 handicap
90.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
+15.0%
Under 5.5
88.4%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-0.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.0%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+13.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
87.0%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.23
-
-
+13.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+9.7%
Over 1.5
85.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+7.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
85.0%
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-4.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.2%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+0.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+4.9%
Under 5.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-2.7%
Home or Away
76.8%
1.23
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+1.9%
Over 2.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-3.5%
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
1.39
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
-
-
-
+8.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-5.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-6.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-15.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (11)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (7)
€1m
QOT (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical have a similar defence value (both €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
EK wins
0
Draws
0
HA wins
Head-to-head
East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical · H/A from EK
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
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Ross County
Alloa Athletic
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
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Airdrie United
Queen of the South