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Eastleigh vs Altrincham Result & Analysis

Date: 23/10/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Eastleigh
Eastleigh
Vs
46%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Altrincham
Altrincham
England: National League
Referee: A Jackson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastleigh win✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.36
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.35
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Altrincham win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.81
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L03L33D11D41W02L32W11D01L21WH·WRE28/08A·BRO30/08H·KIN04/09A·BAR11/09H·DOV14/09A·GRI18/09H·WOK25/09H·BOR02/10A·SOU05/10A·WEA09/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.231.540.920.761.47
vs Stronger (17)0.821.351.140.860.601.70
vs Similar (13)1.461.082.001.001.001.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AltrinchamAltrincham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W02L32W01L10W41W32W23L20W11DA·TOR21/08A·HAL30/08H·DOV04/09A·WEA11/09H·NOT25/09H·KIN28/09A·DAG02/10H·GRI05/10H·MAI09/10A·YEO12/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.591.410.921.69
vs Stronger (17)1.531.351.701.201.291.57
vs Similar (13)1.001.771.431.710.501.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.87-9.3%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.89+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
Eastleigh goals ↓
Altrincham goals →
01234
011%7.9%4.3%1.3%0.3%
112%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
29.5%8.8%4.1%1.3%0.3%
34.4%4.1%1.9%0.6%0.1%
41.5%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eastleigh goals (down), columns = Altrincham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stockport
2.14
Wrexham
2.00
Solihull
1.98
Halifax
1.91
Notts County
1.86
Grimsby
1.75
Chesterfield
1.68
Dag and Red
1.66
Bromley
1.52
Boreham Wood
1.52
Torquay
1.50
Yeovil
1.34
Southend
1.32
Altrincham
1.25
Woking
1.20
Wealdstone
1.20
Maidenhead
1.16
Barnet
1.14
Eastleigh
1.05
Aldershot
0.98
King’s Lynn
0.77
Weymouth
0.64
Dover Athletic
0.30
Eastleigh is 0.20 points worse than Altrincham in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wrexham
2.07
Stockport
1.98
Solihull
1.89
Notts County
1.84
Dag and Red
1.82
Chesterfield
1.57
Grimsby
1.55
Torquay
1.50
Halifax
1.41
Altrincham
1.41
Bromley
1.39
Woking
1.34
Barnet
1.34
Eastleigh
1.18
Wealdstone
1.16
Boreham Wood
1.11
Maidenhead
1.09
King’s Lynn
1.07
Aldershot
1.05
Southend
1.02
Yeovil
0.98
Weymouth
0.91
Dover Athletic
0.84
Eastleigh is 0.23 goals worse than Altrincham in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Halifax
0.80
Stockport
0.86
Boreham Wood
0.91
Solihull
1.02
Grimsby
1.05
Wrexham
1.05
Yeovil
1.05
Chesterfield
1.16
Notts County
1.18
Bromley
1.20
Dag and Red
1.20
Torquay
1.23
Woking
1.39
Southend
1.39
Wealdstone
1.48
Maidenhead
1.52
Altrincham
1.57
Aldershot
1.66
Eastleigh
1.68
King’s Lynn
1.80
Weymouth
2.00
Barnet
2.02
Dover Athletic
2.30
Eastleigh is 0.11 goals worse than Altrincham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L20W01L40W01L12L11D00D10WH·WRE28/08A·BRO30/08H·KIN04/09A·BAR11/09H·DOV14/09A·GRI18/09H·WOK25/09H·BOR02/10A·SOU05/10A·WEA09/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.770.380.290.53
vs Stronger (17)0.240.590.290.430.200.70
vs Similar (13)0.850.311.330.330.430.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AltrinchamAltrincham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D00D10W10W12L01L00D00DA·TOR21/08A·HAL30/08H·DOV04/09A·WEA11/09H·NOT25/09H·KIN28/09A·DAG02/10H·GRI05/10H·MAI09/10A·YEO12/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.590.590.310.69
vs Stronger (17)0.590.650.600.500.570.86
vs Similar (13)0.310.620.570.710.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EastleighEastleigh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L13L10W01L01L20W00D01L11DH·WRE28/08A·BRO30/08H·KIN04/09A·BAR11/09H·DOV14/09A·GRI18/09H·WOK25/09H·BOR02/10A·SOU05/10A·WEA09/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.770.540.470.94
vs Stronger (17)0.590.760.860.430.401.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.770.670.670.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AltrinchamAltrincham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L21W01L00D31W20W22D20W11DA·TOR21/08A·HAL30/08H·DOV04/09A·WEA11/09H·NOT25/09H·KIN28/09A·DAG02/10H·GRI05/10H·MAI09/10A·YEO12/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.901.000.820.621.00
vs Stronger (17)0.940.711.100.700.710.71
vs Similar (13)0.691.150.861.000.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altrincham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
STO (25)
€10m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
Eastleigh and Altrincham have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
STO (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
GRI (8)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Altrincham have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
STO (6)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Eastleigh and Altrincham have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
EAS (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
Eastleigh and Altrincham have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
EAS wins
2
Draws
0
ALT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Eastleigh vs Altrincham · H/A from EAS
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/21AAltrincham Vs EAS1-1
10/10/20HEAS Vs Altrincham1-1

EastleighEastleigh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/21AWealdstone Vs EAS1-2
05/10/21ASouthend Vs EAS1-0
02/10/21HEAS Vs Boreham Wood1-1
25/09/21HEAS Vs Woking3-2
18/09/21AGrimsby Vs EAS2-0
14/09/21HEAS Vs Dover Athletic4-1
11/09/21ABarnet Vs EAS1-1
04/09/21HEAS Vs King’s Lynn3-3
30/08/21ABromley Vs EAS3-0
28/08/21HEAS Vs Wrexham0-2

AltrinchamAltrincham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/21AYeovil Vs ALT1-1
09/10/21HALT Vs Maidenhead2-0
05/10/21HALT Vs Grimsby2-3
02/10/21ADag and Red Vs ALT2-3
28/09/21HALT Vs King’s Lynn4-1
25/09/21HALT Vs Notts County1-0
11/09/21AWealdstone Vs ALT1-0
04/09/21HALT Vs Dover Athletic3-2
30/08/21AHalifax Vs ALT2-0
21/08/21ATorquay Vs ALT1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Eastleigh
Eastleigh
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.42
HomeLDWWD1.79
AwayLDLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals2.282.172.38
Over 1.5 %66%58%73%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.141.380.92
Conceded1.140.791.46
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners---
Cards3.824.123.54
Altrincham
Altrincham
England: National League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.34
HomeWWWLW1.40
AwayWLLWD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.662.842.48
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.281.481.08
Conceded1.381.361.40
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards3.623.523.72

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StockportStockport4494
68%
2.1
8738+49
2.8
75%
61%
25%
-
0%
3.6
50%
-
0%
10
3342.00.9
-
2WrexhamWrexham4488
59%
2.0
9146+45
3.1
80%
52%
34%
-
0%
3.2
39%
-
0%
77
1523392.11.0
-
3SolihullSolihull4487
57%
2.0
8345+38
2.9
77%
55%
34%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
4HalifaxHalifax4484
57%
1.9
6235+27
2.2
66%
34%
20%
-
0%
3.3
45%
-
0%
0
0001.40.8
-
5Notts CountyNotts County4482
55%
1.9
8152+29
3.0
82%
52%
34%
-
0%
4.3
61%
-
0%
6
2221.81.2
-
6GrimsbyGrimsby4477
52%
1.8
6846+22
2.6
64%
48%
30%
-
0%
3.0
45%
-
0%
4
1021.51.0
-
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4474
45%
1.7
6951+18
2.7
75%
45%
39%
-
0%
3.7
45%
-
0%
6
3121.61.2
-
8
DA
Dag and Red
4473
50%
1.7
8053+27
3.0
80%
61%
32%
-
0%
2.9
41%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4467
41%
1.5
4940+9
2.0
61%
30%
16%
-
0%
3.1
32%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
10BromleyBromley4467
41%
1.5
6153+8
2.6
75%
43%
27%
-
0%
3.4
48%
-
0%
4
1121.41.2
-
11
T
Torquay
4466
41%
1.5
6654+12
2.7
80%
55%
30%
-
0%
3.4
50%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12YeovilYeovil4459
34%
1.3
4346-3
2.0
70%
39%
7%
-
0%
4.3
66%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13SouthendSouthend4458
36%
1.3
4561-16
2.4
68%
41%
23%
-
0%
3.7
48%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
14AltrinchamAltrincham4455
34%
1.2
6269-7
3.0
80%
52%
39%
-
0%
3.3
41%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
15WokingWoking4453
36%
1.2
5961-2
2.7
73%
48%
32%
-
0%
4.3
57%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
16WealdstoneWealdstone4453
32%
1.2
5165-14
2.6
70%
52%
30%
-
0%
3.4
48%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
17
M
Maidenhead
4451
30%
1.2
4867-19
2.6
73%
45%
32%
-
0%
3.2
32%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
18BarnetBarnet4450
30%
1.1
5989-30
3.4
84%
64%
41%
-
0%
3.5
48%
-
0%
4
0131.32.0
-
19EastleighEastleigh4446
27%
1.0
5274-22
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
3.9
59%
-
0%
1
0001.21.7
-
20AldershotAldershot4443
25%
1.0
4673-27
2.7
77%
52%
32%
-
0%
4.2
61%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
21
KL
King’s Lynn
4434
18%
0.8
4779-32
2.9
70%
52%
32%
-
0%
3.4
45%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
22
W
Weymouth
4428
14%
0.6
4088-48
2.9
80%
50%
32%
-
0%
2.7
41%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
23
DA
Dover Athletic
4413
5%
0.3
37101-64
3.1
73%
59%
39%
-
0%
3.2
48%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
England: National League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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