Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

The match between Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win but the margins are razor-thin. Home win odds sit at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%. The predicted total goals average 2.6, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, with a 13.9% chance. Edinburgh City, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Annan Athletic, on the road, averages 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 83.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.0%, Under 3.5 goals at 74.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.1% (miss), and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.4%. The home side’s recent form shows a draw, while the away side comes off a win.

The upset came early as Annan Athletic snatched a 0-1 away win, ending Edinburgh City’s brief run of draws. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 37% probability, but the model’s pick proved wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 11.5 corners hit at 83.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.0%, Under 3.5 at 74.1%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.4%. Only the Over 1.5 selection missed, with a 74.1% chance. The match finished with a single away goal, confirming the unexpected result.