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Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Vs
35%
26%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This Scotland: League Two match between Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic is finely balanced, with the home team coming off a win against Dumbarton and the away team coming off a defeat against Clyde. Edinburgh City has averaged 1 goal scored and 2 conceded at home, while Annan Athletic has averaged 1 goal scored and 2 conceded away against similar opponents. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 12.2% of the time.

The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 39%. The home team has a 35% chance of winning, while the draw has a 26% chance. The model also suggests the over 1.5 selection, which has an 81.7% probability. Annan Athletic has a slight edge in this selection, with a 5% edge percentage.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Edinburgh City edged Annan Athletic 1-0, extending their two-game winning streak after a 1-0 victory over the same opponents. The pre-match favourite was the model’s pick for an away win, with a 39 % probability, but the call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 %, Under 6.5 at 96.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.7 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.7 %. The match stayed low-scoring, with the model’s total-goals prediction of 2 goals being correct.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Edinburgh City win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied 40.2% · @ 2.25
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
Dafabet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.45
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
1xBet
3.48
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.70
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.80
Betano
2.77
Dafabet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L04L50W05L20W02L20W05L22D30WA·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05H·FAL11/07H·ALL14/07A·AYR18/07A·STR21/07H·ELG01/08A·SPA08/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.231.332.470.932.00
vs Stronger (13)0.462.620.433.000.502.17
vs Similar (11)1.821.822.401.801.331.83
vs Weaker (6)1.332.171.672.331.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L13L11D14L05L03L14L24L10W12LH·SPA18/04A·CLY25/04H·FOR02/05H·ROS11/07H·DUN14/07A·AIR18/07A·CLY21/07H·SPA01/08A·STR08/08H·CLY15/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.031.501.941.002.14
vs Stronger (13)1.152.771.143.001.172.50
vs Similar (9)1.671.442.201.001.002.00
vs Weaker (8)1.001.501.251.250.751.75
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.7%
@ 1.21+5.6%
Under 1.5
18.3%
@ 3.85-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.72+4.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.03-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
@ 2.78+2.9%
Under 3.5
64.0%
@ 1.38-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.0%
@ 1.60+4.1%
No
38.0%
@ 2.20-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.19

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.44+5.2%
1-2
8.6%@ 9.53+3.9%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.53+2.9%
0-1
6.4%@ 9.77+1.8%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.65+2.5%
1-0 ✓
6.0%@ 8.76+0.8%
0-0
5.9%@ 11.59+2.0%
0-2
5.8%@ 14.05+2.6%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
01234
05.9%6.4%5.8%3.0%1.2%
16.0%12%8.6%4.5%1.7%
25.3%8.2%6.4%3.3%1.3%
32.6%4.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Edinburgh City is 0.40 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Edinburgh City is 0.20 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Edinburgh City is 0.20 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 3.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

160281235511673322452446101281613649610A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

804221223142442313220634468544A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

31013815913841010101215208818815151621242114202728262331A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1305847382555663622337131111710129467H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

802111233423324412532236662838H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

290101351313119151781213815820910141523182424252523281929H·FORA·CLYH·SPAA·ELGA·EASH·STRA·DUMH·EDIH·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.29.83.73.73.823.524.222.8
vs Stronger (23)10.49.211.43.03.13.023.724.523.0
vs Similar (17)9.08.79.24.44.24.423.824.423.2
vs Weaker (10)9.110.08.24.34.24.422.623.521.8
% over line53%35%68%58%54%62%64%65%63%
% under line47%65%32%42%46%38%36%35%37%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.810.13.23.13.323.823.823.8
vs Stronger (21)9.69.89.33.02.73.424.524.824.2
vs Similar (17)9.18.49.93.83.64.124.523.925.1
vs Weaker (12)12.112.511.82.63.02.321.422.020.8
% over line50%50%50%46%44%48%72%67%78%
% under line50%50%50%54%56%52%28%33%22%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
@ 1.85+0.4%
Under 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.83-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.1%
Under 3.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.4%
Under 21.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Edinburgh City or Draw✓ Hit
61.4%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.38
Edge
-5.2%
35%
26%
39%
covers Edinburgh City + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Edinburgh City or Annan Athletic✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.1%
35%
26%
39%
covers Edinburgh City + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Annan Athletic✗ Miss
64.9%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.54
Edge
+5.3%
35%
26%
39%
covers Draw + Annan Athletic
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.55
William Hil
1.55

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.2%
@ 1.21+0.9%
Under
22.8%
@ 3.88-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.5%
@ 2.07-1.3%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.68+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Under
BetVictor
1.70
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 4.36-2.6%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.17+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Edinburgh City over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 8.33-4.8%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Bet365
8.50
1xBet
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.9%
@ 1.27+6.4%
Under
21.1%
@ 3.35-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.1%
@ 2.34+6.5%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.53-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 5.15+2.8%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.11-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Annan Athletic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 9.75-2.3%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Edinburgh City, so a minus line means Edinburgh City give that many goals of a start and Annan Athletic receive them. At -1, Edinburgh City must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Edinburgh City win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Annan Athletic
Edinburgh City -2
6.5%
@ 7.28-5.2%
Draw -2
10.6%
@ 5.50-4.8%
Annan Athletic +2
82.9%
@ 1.16+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Draw
Edinburgh City -1
17.1%
@ 4.36-3.4%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.07-3.9%
Annan Athletic +1
64.9%
@ 1.55+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
10Bet
3.95
Away
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Handicap +1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City +1
61.4%
@ 1.42-0.9%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.37-1.3%
Annan Athletic -1
19.6%
@ 5.13+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.20
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City +2
80.4%
@ 1.11+0.4%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 7.50-0.0%
Annan Athletic -2
7.8%
@ 11.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
11.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L40W04L20W00D20W03L10W20WA·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05H·FAL11/07H·ALL14/07A·AYR18/07A·STR21/07H·ELG01/08A·SPA08/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.970.931.070.530.87
vs Stronger (13)0.311.310.431.860.170.67
vs Similar (11)1.090.641.600.000.671.17
vs Weaker (6)1.000.831.001.001.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L11D01L00D01L14L10W00D11DH·SPA18/04A·CLY25/04H·FOR02/05H·ROS11/07H·DUN14/07A·AIR18/07A·CLY21/07H·SPA01/08A·STR08/08H·CLY15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.801.000.690.290.93
vs Stronger (13)0.540.850.570.860.500.83
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.400.400.000.50
vs Weaker (8)0.751.121.250.750.251.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.31-2.2%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 3.10+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.12
Marathonbet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.49-4.7%
Under 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.46+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 6.01-3.6%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.3%
@ 1.90-2.3%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.80+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 5.60-3.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.10+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 10.25-6.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.9%
@ 2.04-2.4%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.69+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 6.33-3.7%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.07+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 10.75-6.9%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L10W01L00D02L00D02L12L10WA·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05H·FAL11/07H·ALL14/07A·AYR18/07A·STR21/07H·ELG01/08A·SPA08/08A·DUM15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.270.401.400.401.13
vs Stronger (13)0.151.310.001.140.331.50
vs Similar (11)0.731.180.801.800.670.67
vs Weaker (6)0.331.330.671.330.001.33
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D00D13L05L02L00D14L10W01LH·SPA18/04A·CLY25/04H·FOR02/05H·ROS11/07H·DUN14/07A·AIR18/07A·CLY21/07H·SPA01/08A·STR08/08H·CLY15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.230.501.250.711.21
vs Stronger (13)0.621.920.572.140.671.67
vs Similar (9)0.891.000.800.601.001.50
vs Weaker (8)0.250.380.000.500.500.25
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.6%
Under 0.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.6%
Under 1.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.2%
Under 2.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+4.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.7%1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
--+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.7%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
---+2.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.3%1.04
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
-+1.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.2%1.07
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
--+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.2%1.09
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.5%1.10
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
--+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals83.9%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.9%1.16
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
---+9.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.2%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.7%1.21
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+5.6%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals81.5%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+2.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.0%1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-0.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+0.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals79.4%1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-2.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.9%1.27
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+6.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals77.6%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.2%1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
+0.9%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.5%--------
Home or Away73.7%1.25
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.1%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.3%1.26
1xBet
1.26
----+1.3%-
Under 5.5 cards70.9%--------
Under 25.5 fouls70.5%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Annan Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
EC wins
3
Draws
4
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic · H/A from EC
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs EC3-0
24/01/26HEC Vs Annan Athletic2-2
15/11/25AAnnan Athletic Vs EC1-1
16/08/25HEC Vs Annan Athletic2-2
20/04/24HEC Vs Annan Athletic1-2
27/01/24AAnnan Athletic Vs EC3-0
28/10/23HEC Vs Annan Athletic3-2
26/08/23AAnnan Athletic Vs EC3-2

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ADumbarton Vs EC0-3
08/08/26ASpartans Vs EC2-2
01/08/26HEC Vs Elgin0-5
21/07/26AStranraer Vs EC0-2
18/07/26AAyr Utd Vs EC2-0
14/07/26HEC Vs Alloa Athletic2-0
11/07/26HEC Vs Falkirk0-5
02/05/26HEC Vs Dumbarton5-0
25/04/26AForfar Vs EC4-0
18/04/26AEast Kilbride Vs EC4-0

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HAA Vs Clyde1-2
08/08/26AStranraer Vs AA0-1
01/08/26HAA Vs Spartans2-4
21/07/26AClyde Vs AA4-1
18/07/26AAirdrie United Vs AA3-0
14/07/26HAA Vs Dundee0-5
11/07/26HAA Vs Ross County1-4
02/05/26HAA Vs Forfar1-1
25/04/26AClyde Vs AA3-1
18/04/26HAA Vs Spartans0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.06
HomeLWLWL0.88
AwayLLWDW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%21%35%
AVG goals3.303.503.12
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %68%71%65%
Over 3.5 %46%58%35%
Scored1.161.251.08
Conceded2.142.252.04
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.539.189.84
Cards5.195.245.16
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.02
HomeDLLLL1.28
AwayWLLLW0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals3.443.763.12
Over 1.5 %82%92%72%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.281.640.92
Conceded2.162.122.20
BTTS58%72%44%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.949.7810.11
Cards4.444.284.61

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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