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Edinburgh City vs Falkirk Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-5
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Vs
13%
21%
66%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Falkirk win✓ Hit
65.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D41W03L03L01L03L02L04L04L50WH·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03A·STI28/03H·SPA04/04H·CLY11/04A·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.031.402.200.731.87
vs Stronger (12)0.502.000.502.330.501.67
vs Similar (12)1.581.752.401.801.001.71
vs Weaker (6)1.172.671.502.500.503.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D12L32W36L00D13L10W13L03L25LA·ABE14/03H·ST 21/03A·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.431.641.790.881.12
vs Stronger (6)1.002.831.674.000.331.67
vs Similar (23)1.351.131.641.181.081.08
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
0-4
4.3%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Falkirk goals →
01234
06.1%9.9%12%8.1%4.3%
13.4%10%9.8%6.9%3.7%
21.9%3.9%4.2%2.9%1.6%
30.5%1.1%1.2%0.8%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Falkirk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Edinburgh City is 1.75 points worse than Falkirk in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Edinburgh City is 2.75 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals scored per game (0.25 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Edinburgh City is 3.00 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 3.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

160281235511673322452446101281613649610A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

804221223142442313220634468544A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

31013815913841010101215208818815151621242114202728262331A·FORA·EASH·CLYH·SPAA·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FalkirkFalkirk

For 5.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

16074556525792126741045511101171638111410H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

90331145323432121133419575314H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

30011917610131213101616131515151461771020232325262930292317H·RANA·HEAH·HIBH·MOTA·CELH·RANA·MOTH·ST A·ABEH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.49.54.44.34.423.824.822.9
vs Stronger (21)10.19.510.84.24.53.924.425.123.8
vs Similar (18)9.08.59.44.54.24.824.125.023.3
vs Weaker (11)9.210.67.84.54.25.022.324.020.6
% over line51%38%64%68%68%68%67%71%64%
% under line49%62%36%32%32%32%33%29%36%
This opponent (Falkirk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.610.83.43.63.225.124.625.7
vs Stronger (9)10.18.511.83.44.03.023.824.523.0
vs Similar (36)9.58.510.63.83.93.725.524.626.4
vs Weaker (5)11.011.0-1.01.70.024.024.0-
% over line55%41%72%52%60%44%75%73%78%
% under line45%59%28%48%40%56%25%27%22%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.2%
Under 21.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Edinburgh City or Draw✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
13%
21%
66%
covers Edinburgh City + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City or Falkirk✓ Hit
78.7%
Avg Implied -
13%
21%
66%
covers Edinburgh City + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Falkirk✓ Hit
87.0%
Avg Implied -
13%
21%
66%
covers Draw + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.3%
Under
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.0%
Under
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Edinburgh City, so a minus line means Edinburgh City give that many goals of a start and Falkirk receive them. At -1, Edinburgh City must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Edinburgh City win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Falkirk
Edinburgh City -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.3%
Falkirk +2
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Falkirk
Edinburgh City -1
4.3%
Draw -1
8.8%
Falkirk +1
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Falkirk
Edinburgh City +1
34.4%
Draw +1
23.2%
Falkirk -1
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Falkirk
Edinburgh City +2
57.5%
Draw +2
20.2%
Falkirk -2
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W03L02L00D00D01L01L02L40WH·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03A·STI28/03H·SPA04/04H·CLY11/04A·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.831.000.730.330.93
vs Stronger (12)0.330.920.501.000.170.83
vs Similar (12)0.920.581.600.000.431.00
vs Weaker (6)0.831.171.001.250.501.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D21W21W00D02L00D03L02L23LA·ABE14/03H·ST 21/03A·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.930.930.380.62
vs Stronger (6)0.671.331.331.670.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.650.820.730.500.58
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D01L01L03L01L03L02L10WH·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03A·STI28/03H·SPA04/04H·CLY11/04A·EAS18/04A·FOR25/04H·DUM02/05← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.200.401.470.400.93
vs Stronger (12)0.171.080.001.330.330.83
vs Similar (12)0.671.170.801.800.570.71
vs Weaker (6)0.331.500.501.250.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L11D15L00D11D10W10W01L02LA·ABE14/03H·ST 21/03A·MOT04/04H·RAN12/04A·DUN18/04A·CEL25/04H·MOT02/05H·HIB09/05A·HEA13/05H·RAN16/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.710.860.500.50
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.332.330.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.700.480.820.450.580.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap95.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.591.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls89.8%--------
Away over 0.5 goals88.0%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away87.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap87.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals83.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards83.0%--------
Under 4.582.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls80.2%--------
Home under 1.5 goals79.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Falkirk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon McCann33%
Aodhan Doherty33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ross33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Edinburgh City's squad is €6m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City's attack is €2m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Falkirk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City's defence is €3m less valuable than Falkirk's (€0m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
EC wins
1
Draws
3
FAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Edinburgh City vs Falkirk · H/A from EC
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24AFalkirk Vs EC4-1
13/01/24HEC Vs Falkirk2-2
11/11/23AFalkirk Vs EC2-1
02/09/23HEC Vs Falkirk0-2

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HEC Vs Dumbarton5-0
25/04/26AForfar Vs EC4-0
18/04/26AEast Kilbride Vs EC4-0
11/04/26HEC Vs Clyde0-2
04/04/26HEC Vs Spartans0-3
28/03/26AStirling Vs EC1-0
21/03/26HEC Vs Elgin0-3
14/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs EC3-0
07/03/26HEC Vs Stranraer4-1
28/02/26HEC Vs Forfar0-0

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HFAL Vs Rangers2-5
13/05/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs FAL3-0
09/05/26HFAL Vs Hibernian1-3
02/05/26HFAL Vs Motherwell1-0
25/04/26ACeltic Vs FAL3-1
18/04/26ADunfermline Vs FAL0-0
12/04/26HFAL Vs Rangers3-6
04/04/26AMotherwell Vs FAL2-3
21/03/26HFAL Vs ST Mirren1-2
14/03/26AAberdeen Vs FAL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.06
HomeWLLLW1.12
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals3.223.363.08
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %66%68%64%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.181.480.88
Conceded2.041.882.20
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners9.479.389.55
Cards5.095.145.05
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.42
HomeLLWLL1.64
AwayDWDLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.963.442.48
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%52%24%
Scored1.501.921.08
Conceded1.461.521.40
BTTS54%72%36%
Clean Sheet28%20%36%
Corners9.628.6410.83
Cards4.204.144.26

🏆 17. League Table

Edinburgh City plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Falkirk plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

← all matches