Edinburgh City vs Forfar Result & Analysis

The contest between Edinburgh City and Forfar is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. Home advantage offers Edinburgh a 35% chance, a draw sits at 28%, and Forfar’s 38% edge is the strongest. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a modestly high scoring affair, yet the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% chance. Edinburgh’s home form shows they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against similarly matched opposition, while Forfar, on the road, averages 1.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 86.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 79.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.9% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 72.9% (miss), Under 25.5 fouls at 71.1%, and Under 3.5 goals at 70.2% (miss). All figures are presented as percentages, and every pick is listed with its probability.

The match finished 0-4 in favour of Forfar, extending their recent run of wins and drawing on the win that capped the game. The model had picked an away win with a 38% probability, and its call was correct. The suggested selections were largely accurate: Under 11.5 corners hit at 86.9%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.7%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 79.0%, Over 1.5 hit at 77.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 71.1%, while Over 19.5 fouls missed at 75.9%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 72.9%, and Under 3.5 missed at 70.2%. The model’s predictions overall matched the outcome well.