Edinburgh City’s recent five games show a 2-game winning streak, yet they have struggled to score, averaging one goal and conceding 1.5 against similar opposition. Forfar, after a defeat, has been more efficient on the road, scoring 1.17 and conceding only 0.83 against comparable teams. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 37 % probability, a draw at 27 % and a home win at 35 %. The expected total is 2.9 goals, but the most likely total is two goals, a 24 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8 % probability. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.2 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9 % with a 9 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.4 % with a 5 % edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (93.8 % with a 3 % edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Forfar, fell short in a 1-1 draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. Edinburgh City’s recent form, a draw after a string of mixed results, and Forfar’s similar pattern of draws set the stage for a tight contest. The model had given Forfar a 37% chance of victory, but the match ended in a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8% and Under 5.5 at 92.7%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, confirming the model’s low-scoring expectation.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied 53.9% · @ 1.70
Edge
-18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.96
SBO
1.93
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.61
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.87
Betano
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Forfar win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.41
Edge
+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.92
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Edinburgh City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.17
1.31
2.31
0.93
2.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
2.67
0.43
3.00
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (12)
1.75
1.67
2.17
1.50
1.33
1.83
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
2.17
1.67
2.33
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.53
1.81
1.25
0.79
1.86
vs Stronger (14)
1.14
2.07
1.62
1.50
0.50
2.83
vs Similar (13)
1.69
0.92
2.14
1.00
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.25+5.8%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 3.49-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.83+4.3%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.89-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.93
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Unibet
1.93
Betfair
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
@ 3.05+2.5%
Under 3.5
67.3%
@ 1.32-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Under
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
@ 1.80+8.3%
No
40.5%
@ 1.89-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
No
William Hil
2.00
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%@ 6.71+6.1%
1-2
8.5%@ 13.76+5.3%
2-1
8.2%@ 7.62+2.4%
0-1
7.0%@ 11.81+3.2%
1-0
6.8%@ 6.48-0.2%
0-0
6.7%@ 10.06+2.3%
2-2
6.0%@ 14.75+3.0%
0-2
6.0%@ 23.92+4.1%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Forfar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
7.0%
6.0%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.8%
13%
8.5%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.6%
8.2%
6.0%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.7%
3.9%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Edinburgh City and Forfar are level in average points per game (both 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Edinburgh City is 0.20 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Edinburgh City is 0.60 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Edinburgh City
For 3.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Edinburgh City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.7
3.6
3.6
3.7
23.8
24.2
23.3
vs Stronger (22)
10.2
9.2
11.3
3.0
3.1
2.8
24.5
24.5
24.5
vs Similar (18)
9.0
8.7
9.2
4.1
3.8
4.4
23.8
24.4
23.2
vs Weaker (10)
9.1
10.0
8.2
4.3
4.2
4.4
22.6
23.5
21.8
% over line
51%
35%
67%
56%
52%
60%
66%
65%
67%
% under line
49%
65%
33%
44%
48%
40%
34%
35%
33%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.8
8.6
3.0
3.1
3.0
23.8
23.4
24.3
vs Stronger (23)
9.5
10.1
8.8
2.7
3.0
2.3
24.9
23.1
27.0
vs Similar (22)
8.8
9.5
8.1
3.2
3.0
3.5
23.6
24.0
23.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.5
10.5
10.5
4.0
4.5
3.7
21.2
21.0
21.5
% over line
51%
58%
44%
44%
48%
40%
68%
63%
72%
% under line
49%
42%
56%
56%
52%
60%
32%
37%
28%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.2%
@ 2.09+1.8%
Under 9.5
53.8%
@ 1.67-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Under
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.2%
Under 21.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Edinburgh City or Draw✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.15
Edge
-17.0%
35%
27%
37%
covers Edinburgh City + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Edinburgh City or Forfar✗ Miss
72.8%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.1%
35%
27%
37%
covers Edinburgh City + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Draw or Forfar✓ Hit
64.6%
Avg Implied 44.5% · @ 2.06
Edge
+20.1%
35%
27%
37%
covers Draw + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.22
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
@ 1.15-4.5%
Under
24.2%
@ 4.69+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.5%
@ 1.77-10.9%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.95+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 3.27-11.1%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.29+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Edinburgh City over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 6.47-8.8%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.09+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.30
1xBet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.9%
@ 1.54+16.9%
Under
23.1%
@ 2.31-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Under
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 3.46+16.3%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.26-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 8.45+7.3%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.04-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Marathonbet
9.20
Betano
8.50
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Under
BetVictor
1.07
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.01
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 14.25-0.5%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Edinburgh City, so a minus line means Edinburgh City give that many goals of a start and Forfar receive them. At -1, Edinburgh City must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Edinburgh City win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Forfar
Edinburgh City -2
6.3%
@ 5.10-11.3%
Draw -2
10.7%
@ 4.75-8.1%
Forfar +2
83.0%
@ 1.41+19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.37
Handicap -1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Forfar
Edinburgh City -1
17.0%
@ 2.86-14.1%
Draw -1
18.4%
@ 3.48-7.1%
Forfar +1
64.6%
@ 2.05+21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Draw
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Away
Bet365
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City +1
62.5%
@ 1.11-12.9%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 5.53+3.8%
Forfar -1
18.4%
@ 9.05+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Edinburgh City)Actual: Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City +2
81.6%
@ 1.04-8.9%
Draw +2
11.4%
@ 15.00+5.1%
Forfar -2
7.0%
@ 29.00+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Edinburgh City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.88
1.00
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.42
0.43
1.86
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.58
1.33
0.00
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
1.00
0.56
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
1.07
1.12
0.88
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.23
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.7%
@ 1.35+3.5%
Under 0.5
28.3%
@ 2.90-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.64+1.2%
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.42-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Under
William Hil
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 6.39+0.8%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.08-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.10
Under
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 1.69-12.8%
Under
58.2%
@ 2.04+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 4.37-9.9%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.17+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 9.00-8.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.03+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.1%
@ 2.67+15.7%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.41-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 9.50+8.7%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.02-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 11.00+1.0%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.01-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Edinburgh City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.20
0.44
1.31
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
1.25
0.00
1.14
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (12)
0.75
1.08
0.83
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.81
0.69
0.21
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
1.14
0.71
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.22+3.6%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 3.80-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.05-5.5%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.69+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 4.22-2.9%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.2%
@ 1.48-9.3%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.46+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.37
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.17-12.2%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.30+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 7.70-8.6%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.05+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.8%
@ 2.19+15.9%
Under
42.2%
@ 1.59-15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.56
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 7.23+5.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.05-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 11.00-2.6%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.09
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.02
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.30
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+12.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
1.41
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.37
-
-
-
+19.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.29
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.7%
1.04
BetVictor
1.07
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.01
-
-7.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.15
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.25
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.9%
1.54
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
+16.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-3.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.7%
1.35
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
+3.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Forfar have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Forfar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Forfar have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Stirling
Dumbarton