Edinburgh City vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Edinburgh City face Spartans in a match that the model deems most likely to end in an away win, with the Spartans holding a 53% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and Edinburgh a 21% chance of triumph. The expected total of goals is 2.8, with the single most probable scoreline a 1-1 draw at 12.4%. Edinburgh’s home form shows a modest 0.89 goals scored and 2.78 conceded against stronger opposition, while Spartans, on the road against weaker foes, average 0.62 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (80.1%), Over 2.5 cards (78.5%), Over 1.5 goals (77.5%), Under 10.5 corners (70.4%), and Over 19.5 fouls (72.9%); Under 5.5 cards (75.9%) and Under 25.5 fouls (74.4%) are expected to miss. Edinburgh’s recent draw against Forfar and Spartans’ draw after a 3-3 with Clyde suggest both sides are still finding rhythm.

Edinburgh City’s win over Spartans was a shock that upended the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away victory at 53% probability. The final score was 2-0, a home triumph that left the model’s call wrong. The match saw the model’s selection for Under 11.5 corners hit, with 80.1% confidence, and Over 2.5 cards also hit at 78.5%. Over 1.5 goals, hit at 77.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls, hit at 72.9% were all correct. Under 5.5 cards, Under 25.5 fouls, and Under 10.5 corners missed, with probabilities of 75.9%, 74.4%, and 70.4% respectively. Edinburgh’s recent form, coming off a draw, proved stronger than expected, while Spartans, also off a draw, failed to capitalize.