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Edinburgh City vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 10/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-4
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Vs
36%
23%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.68
Edge
-17.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.83
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 3.90
Edge
+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L11D11D12L43W14L32W13L11DA·STI01/11H·ELG08/11A·ANN15/11A·EAS22/11A·CAM29/11H·DUM06/12H·CLY13/12A·FOR20/12H·SPA27/12A·STR03/01
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.931.331.871.272.00
vs Stronger (13)1.232.461.332.001.142.86
vs Similar (9)1.671.331.601.601.751.00
vs Weaker (8)1.001.751.002.001.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D01L02L04L11D22D23L11D21W21WA·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11A·ELG29/11A·STR06/12H·SPA13/12A·CLY20/12A·DUM27/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.831.072.001.311.69
vs Stronger (13)1.082.000.802.201.251.88
vs Similar (14)1.211.431.141.291.291.57
vs Weaker (3)1.673.001.504.002.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.6%
@ 1.51+9.8%
Under 2.5
29.4%
@ 2.34-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.2%
No
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
03.5%4.0%4.6%2.8%1.3%
13.8%9.5%8.1%5.1%2.4%
24.1%7.7%7.2%4.5%2.1%
32.4%4.6%4.3%2.7%1.2%
41.1%2.0%1.9%1.2%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Edinburgh City is 0.03 points better than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Edinburgh City is 0.03 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Edinburgh City is 0.25 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.75).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 4.3 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403912663638682656569512312911148111114A·STRH·SPAA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·EASA·ANNH·ELGA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8012344242213221222431586444347A·STRH·SPAA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·EASA·ANNH·ELGA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801371361391012121213151315136118151020192222242828191925A·STRH·SPAA·FORH·CLYH·DUMA·EASA·ANNH·ELGA·STIH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 5.6 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

180996533962143510865276918116151681811915A·DUMA·CLYH·SPAA·STRH·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7023414312142222122357136423A·DUMA·CLYH·SPAA·STRH·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.0 · Total 19.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3207812121461258516820128111477615242017132432192113A·DUMA·CLYH·SPAA·STRH·ELGH·FORA·EASH·EDIA·ANNH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.39.14.54.54.524.025.023.2
vs Stronger (26)9.29.29.14.44.24.624.625.124.0
vs Similar (13)8.88.29.45.25.55.024.125.023.3
vs Weaker (11)9.911.58.83.94.03.822.924.821.7
% over line44%45%43%72%71%73%70%75%65%
% under line56%55%57%28%29%27%30%25%35%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.010.83.84.03.621.120.322.0
vs Stronger (25)11.110.711.53.83.83.721.219.822.5
vs Similar (21)11.211.710.63.73.93.521.421.421.4
vs Weaker (4)8.89.58.04.25.03.519.217.021.5
% over line63%76%50%54%52%56%44%38%50%
% under line37%24%50%46%48%44%56%62%50%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
11.6
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.6
Elgin
10.2
Stranraer
10.1
Annan Athletic
9.7
Clyde
9.4
Forfar
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.9
Edinburgh City
5.2
Forfar
5.0
Elgin
4.9
Clyde
4.6
Stranraer
4.5
Stirling
4.4
Spartans
4.3
Annan Athletic
3.9
Dumbarton
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.4
Forfar
24.4
Edinburgh City
24.1
Elgin
23.6
Clyde
22.6
Stranraer
21.8
Stirling
21.5
Spartans
21.2
Annan Athletic
21.2
Dumbarton
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.1%
Under 3.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D11D00D30W11D11D12L10WA·STI01/11H·ELG08/11A·ANN15/11A·EAS22/11A·CAM29/11H·DUM06/12H·CLY13/12A·FOR20/12H·SPA27/12A·STR03/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.801.070.600.60
vs Stronger (13)0.691.081.001.330.430.86
vs Similar (9)0.780.670.601.001.000.25
vs Weaker (8)0.620.620.750.750.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L02L00D01L13L00D10W10WA·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11A·ELG29/11A·STR06/12H·SPA13/12A·CLY20/12A·DUM27/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.900.211.070.620.75
vs Stronger (13)0.380.920.201.200.500.75
vs Similar (14)0.500.790.290.710.710.86
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L11D00D12L13L03L21W01L01LA·STI01/11H·ELG08/11A·ANN15/11A·EAS22/11A·CAM29/11H·DUM06/12H·CLY13/12A·FOR20/12H·SPA27/12A·STR03/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.530.800.671.40
vs Stronger (13)0.541.380.330.670.712.00
vs Similar (9)0.890.671.000.600.750.75
vs Weaker (8)0.381.120.251.250.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D01L02L11D21W10W11D11D11DA·CAL25/10H·EDI01/11A·EAS08/11H·FOR15/11H·ELG22/11A·ELG29/11A·STR06/12H·SPA13/12A·CLY20/12A·DUM27/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.860.930.690.94
vs Stronger (13)0.691.080.601.000.751.12
vs Similar (14)0.710.640.860.570.570.71
vs Weaker (3)1.331.671.502.001.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls77.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners73.5%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.6%1.51-----+9.8%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
EC wins
0
Draws
5
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Edinburgh City vs Stirling · H/A from EC
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25AStirling Vs EC0-1
02/08/25HEC Vs Stirling1-2
29/03/25AStirling Vs EC2-1
01/02/25HEC Vs Stirling4-3
07/12/24AStirling Vs EC0-3
03/08/24HEC Vs Stirling1-2
27/04/24HEC Vs Stirling1-3
24/02/24AStirling Vs EC4-0

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26AStranraer Vs EC1-1
27/12/25HEC Vs Spartans1-3
20/12/25AForfar Vs EC2-3
13/12/25HEC Vs Clyde1-4
06/12/25HEC Vs Dumbarton4-3
29/11/25ACamelon Juniors Vs EC2-1
22/11/25AEast Kilbride Vs EC1-1
15/11/25AAnnan Athletic Vs EC1-1
08/11/25HEC Vs Elgin1-3
01/11/25AStirling Vs EC0-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/12/25ADumbarton Vs STI1-2
20/12/25AClyde Vs STI1-2
13/12/25HSTI Vs Spartans1-1
06/12/25AStranraer Vs STI3-2
29/11/25AElgin Vs STI2-2
22/11/25HSTI Vs Elgin1-1
15/11/25HSTI Vs Forfar0-4
08/11/25AEast Kilbride Vs STI2-0
01/11/25HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-1
25/10/25ACaledonian Braves Vs STI3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.44
HomeWLWLL1.33
AwayDDLWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals3.123.382.88
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %38%50%27%
Scored1.461.671.27
Conceded1.661.711.62
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners9.239.359.13
Cards5.235.355.13
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.04
HomeDLLDD1.13
AwayLDLWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.183.133.22
Over 1.5 %86%83%89%
Over 2.5 %64%65%63%
Over 3.5 %42%48%37%
Scored1.321.301.33
Conceded1.861.831.89
BTTS60%61%59%
Clean Sheet14%17%11%
Corners10.9111.0510.77
Cards4.404.334.45

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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