Edinburgh City are poised for a high-scoring outing, with the model projecting 3.5 goals on average and the most likely total of three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1 % chance. Edinburgh’s home form shows a modest 1.0 goal per game scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly ranked sides, while Stirling’s away numbers are slightly stronger, averaging 1.75 goals for and 1.75 against. The model favours a home win, with 42 % probability, a draw at 24 %, and an away win at 34 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.3 %), Under 6.5 (93.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (91.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (88.1 %), Over 1.5 (87.5 %), Under 5.5 (85.6 %), Home over 0.5 goals (84.5 %), and Home +2 handicap (83.0 %). Edinburgh’s recent five-game run of WWDLW, currently on a two-game winning streak after a 1-0 win over Annan Athletic, contrasts with Stirling’s DLLWL run, fresh from a 2-2 draw with Stranraer.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Edinburgh City win
46.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Edinburgh City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.10
1.12
2.19
0.93
2.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
2.67
0.43
3.00
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (12)
1.50
1.50
1.67
1.17
1.33
1.83
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
2.17
1.67
2.33
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.67
1.07
1.43
1.38
1.88
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.92
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.14
vs Similar (14)
1.50
1.29
1.29
1.00
1.71
1.57
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.0%
No
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
Edinburgh City goals ↓
Stirling goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
3.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
1
5.1%
10%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
2
5.9%
9.0%
6.8%
3.5%
1.3%
3
3.8%
5.8%
4.4%
2.3%
0.9%
4
1.9%
2.8%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Edinburgh City goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Edinburgh City is 0.80 points better than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Edinburgh City is 0.20 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Edinburgh City is 0.80 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Edinburgh City
For 3.1 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stirling
For 3.2 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Edinburgh City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.7
3.6
3.6
3.7
23.8
24.2
23.3
vs Stronger (20)
10.2
9.2
11.3
3.2
3.4
3.1
24.5
24.5
24.5
vs Similar (19)
9.0
8.7
9.2
3.9
3.4
4.4
23.8
24.4
23.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.1
10.0
8.2
3.9
4.2
3.7
22.6
23.5
21.8
% over line
51%
35%
67%
56%
52%
60%
66%
65%
67%
% under line
49%
65%
33%
44%
48%
40%
34%
35%
33%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.0
11.4
3.0
2.7
3.3
20.8
19.5
22.0
vs Stronger (23)
10.6
11.0
10.3
2.7
2.3
2.9
21.2
19.8
22.3
vs Similar (23)
11.8
11.9
11.8
3.4
3.0
3.9
20.8
19.8
21.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
6.5
13.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
19.8
17.0
22.5
% over line
57%
61%
53%
42%
38%
46%
38%
22%
53%
% under line
43%
39%
47%
58%
62%
54%
62%
78%
47%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.5%
Under 9.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.8%
Under 21.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Edinburgh City or Draw
70.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Edinburgh City + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City or Stirling
76.2%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Edinburgh City + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stirling
53.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Draw + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 3.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
Under
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Edinburgh City, so a minus line means Edinburgh City give that many goals of a start and Stirling receive them. At -1, Edinburgh City must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Edinburgh City win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Edinburgh City)
Edinburgh City -2
12.5%
Draw -2
14.3%
Stirling +2
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Edinburgh City)
Edinburgh City -1
26.8%
Draw -1
19.8%
Stirling +1
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Edinburgh City)
Edinburgh City +1
70.4%
Draw +1
15.4%
Stirling -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Edinburgh City)
Edinburgh City +2
85.8%
Draw +2
8.8%
Stirling -2
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Edinburgh City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.69
1.00
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.42
0.43
1.86
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.58
0.83
0.00
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.36
0.93
0.31
1.06
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
1.08
0.17
1.00
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.86
0.57
0.71
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.2%
Under 0.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.6%
Under 1.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.3%
Under 2.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.1%
Under
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.0%
Under
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Edinburgh City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.13
0.44
1.19
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
1.25
0.00
1.14
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
0.83
1.17
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stirling
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.71
0.50
1.06
0.81
vs Stronger (13)
0.85
0.85
0.83
0.67
0.86
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.43
0.71
0.29
1.43
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
Under 0.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.0%
Under 1.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.7%
Under 2.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.8%
Under
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.4%
Under
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.4%
-
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No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Edinburgh City and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
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Elgin
Clyde
Forfar
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Dumbarton