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Egaleo vs Ilioupoli Result & Analysis

Date: 07/12/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Egaleo
Egaleo
Vs
42%
34%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egaleo win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EgaleoEgaleo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W11D01L00D13L10W11D00D03L06LA·ILI04/10A·KAL11/10H·PAN19/10A·ELL25/10H·ARI29/10H·KIS02/11A·KAL16/11H·PAN23/11A·MAR29/11A·VOL02/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.500.621.120.501.93
vs Stronger (9)0.441.670.401.200.502.25
vs Similar (17)0.591.650.751.380.441.89
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L12L02L01L32W01L20W12L03L05LA·PAN12/10H·ELL18/10H·KIS25/10H·AEK29/10A·OLY01/11H·KAL10/11A·PAN16/11H·MAR23/11H·KAL29/11A·AST03/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.930.561.880.572.00
vs Stronger (11)0.092.550.202.400.002.67
vs Similar (16)0.751.750.671.780.861.71
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-28pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.5%
Under 1.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.2%
Under 2.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.9%
Under 3.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.4%
No
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.0%
1-0
15.1%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
Egaleo goals ↓
Ilioupoli goals →
01234
016%10%4.7%1.2%0.2%
115%14%5.2%1.4%0.3%
29.2%7.4%2.9%0.8%0.2%
33.5%2.8%1.1%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egaleo goals (down), columns = Ilioupoli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kalamata
2.64
Iraklis 1908
2.40
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Egaleo
1.32
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Kavala
1.25
Kissamikos
0.89
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.82
PAS Giannina
0.75
Ilioupoli
0.71
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Panargiakos
0.36
Egaleo is 0.61 points better than Ilioupoli in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kalamata
2.08
Niki Volos
1.92
Iraklis 1908
1.72
PAOK II
1.57
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Kavala
1.07
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Egaleo
0.96
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.89
PAS Giannina
0.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.68
Kissamikos
0.64
Ilioupoli
0.64
Panargiakos
0.50
Egaleo is 0.32 goals better than Ilioupoli in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalamata
0.48
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Egaleo
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Kissamikos
1.29
Kavala
1.32
PAS Giannina
1.46
Ilioupoli
1.54
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panargiakos
1.86
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.14
Egaleo is 0.43 goals better than Ilioupoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EgaleoEgaleo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L00D01L00D11D00D03L02LA·ILI04/10A·KAL11/10H·PAN19/10A·ELL25/10H·ARI29/10H·KIS02/11A·KAL16/11H·PAN23/11A·MAR29/11A·VOL02/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.700.120.380.211.07
vs Stronger (9)0.000.780.000.600.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.240.760.250.380.221.11
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L02L00D22D00D10W01L02L02LA·PAN12/10H·ELL18/10H·KIS25/10H·AEK29/10A·OLY01/11H·KAL10/11A·PAN16/11H·MAR23/11H·KAL29/11A·AST03/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.000.311.060.290.93
vs Stronger (11)0.091.360.201.600.001.17
vs Similar (16)0.310.880.220.890.430.86
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egaleo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EgaleoEgaleo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W00D00D12L10W00D00D00D04LA·ILI04/10A·KAL11/10H·PAN19/10A·ELL25/10H·ARI29/10H·KIS02/11A·KAL16/11H·PAN23/11A·MAR29/11A·VOL02/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.500.750.290.86
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.400.600.501.25
vs Similar (17)0.350.880.501.000.220.78
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.670.330.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D01L10W01L10W11D01L03LA·PAN12/10H·ELL18/10H·KIS25/10H·AEK29/10A·OLY01/11H·KAL10/11A·PAN16/11H·MAR23/11H·KAL29/11A·AST03/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.250.810.291.07
vs Stronger (11)0.001.180.000.800.001.50
vs Similar (16)0.440.880.440.890.430.86
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egaleo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
KAV (28)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Egaleo's squad is €3m more valuable than Ilioupoli's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (8)
€4m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Egaleo's attack is €2m more valuable than Ilioupoli's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Egaleo and Ilioupoli have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Egaleo and Ilioupoli have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
EGA wins
0
Draws
2
ILI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egaleo vs Ilioupoli · H/A from EGA
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25AIlioupoli Vs EGA1-2
05/04/25AIlioupoli Vs EGA1-0
02/03/25HEGA Vs Ilioupoli1-0
25/11/24HEGA Vs Ilioupoli2-0
22/09/24AIlioupoli Vs EGA1-3
03/03/24HEGA Vs Ilioupoli1-0
03/12/23AIlioupoli Vs EGA2-0
19/05/23AIlioupoli Vs EGA2-3

EgaleoEgaleo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/25AVolos NFC Vs EGA6-0
29/11/25AMarko Vs EGA3-0
23/11/25HEGA Vs Panargiakos0-0
16/11/25AKallithea Vs EGA1-1
02/11/25HEGA Vs Kissamikos1-0
29/10/25HEGA Vs Aris Thessalonikis1-3
25/10/25AEllas Syros Vs EGA0-0
19/10/25HEGA Vs Panionios0-1
11/10/25AKalamata Vs EGA1-1
04/10/25AIlioupoli Vs EGA1-2

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/25AAsteras Tripolis Vs ILI5-0
29/11/25HILI Vs Kalamata0-3
23/11/25HILI Vs Marko1-2
16/11/25APanargiakos Vs ILI0-2
10/11/25HILI Vs Kallithea0-1
01/11/25AOlympiakos Piraeus II Vs ILI2-3
29/10/25HILI Vs AEK Athens FC0-1
25/10/25HILI Vs Kissamikos0-2
18/10/25HILI Vs Ellas Syros1-2
12/10/25APanionios Vs ILI2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egaleo
Egaleo
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.00
HomeLLLWD1.31
AwayDDDLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%35%12%
AVG goals2.201.812.62
Over 1.5 %60%46%75%
Over 2.5 %36%27%46%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored0.700.810.58
Conceded1.501.002.04
BTTS38%35%42%
Clean Sheet26%38%12%
Corners14.0014.00-
Cards3.003.00-
Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.82
HomeLLLLL0.92
AwayLLWWL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.722.602.84
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored0.840.920.76
Conceded1.881.682.08
BTTS38%52%24%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KalamataKalamata2566
84%
2.6
5212+40
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4252.10.5
-
2Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082560
72%
2.4
4315+28
2.3
64%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.70.6
-
3PanioniosPanionios2450
62%
2.1
3513+22
2.0
62%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.50.5
-
4Niki VolosNiki Volos2448
54%
2.0
4612+34
2.4
58%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.90.5
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II2846
50%
1.6
4431+13
2.7
75%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
6Ellas SyrosEllas Syros2845
43%
1.6
4024+16
2.3
75%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
7KallitheaKallithea2845
43%
1.6
3222+10
1.9
64%
21%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.10.8
-
8Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas2441
50%
1.7
2818+10
1.9
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.8
-
9MarkoMarko2440
46%
1.7
2717+10
1.8
62%
21%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2021.10.7
-
10Nestos ChrisoupolisNestos Chrisoupolis2840
39%
1.4
3026+4
2.0
57%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.9
-
11Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2437
42%
1.5
2927+2
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.1
-
12EgaleoEgaleo2837
36%
1.3
2731-4
2.1
64%
39%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.01.1
-
13KavalaKavala2835
32%
1.2
3037-7
2.4
64%
43%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
14Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II2431
38%
1.3
2638-12
2.7
71%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.11.6
-
15KissamikosKissamikos2825
25%
0.9
1836-18
1.9
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
16Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2823
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.8
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.9
-
17PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2821
18%
0.8
2441-17
2.3
57%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.5
-
18IlioupoliIlioupoli2820
18%
0.7
1843-25
2.2
71%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.61.5
-
19Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2814
11%
0.5
1960-41
2.8
64%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.72.1
-
20PanargiakosPanargiakos2810
4%
0.4
1452-38
2.4
68%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.51.9
-
Greece: Super League 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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