Egersund vs Asane Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 15:00

Final 2-2

Egersund

51%

24%

25%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Asane

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Egersund’s recent slump of two straight losses is tempered by a strong home form against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding only 0.33. Asane, on the road, has struggled against stronger teams, netting just 0.6 goals while conceding 2.2. The model’s most confident outcome is a home win, with a 51% chance, followed by a draw at 24% and an away win at 25%. The expected goal total sits at 3.3, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. The model’s edge lies in the under-2.5-goals selections, where the market overestimates scoring; for example, “Away under 2.5 HT goals” has a 99% probability, and “Under 7.5” offers a 98% chance with a 2% edge. Other suggested picks include “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 97.6% (7% edge), “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 95.8% (8% edge), “Away under 3.5 goals” at 95.3% (1% edge), “Under 6.5” at 94.8% (4% edge), “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 93.3% (11% edge), and “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 92.9% (5% edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Home win, did not materialise as Egersund and Asane finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The match saw both sides score twice, matching the model’s most likely 3-goal total, yet the final tally of four goals exceeded the 3.3 expected average. The model’s selection of Home win, with a 51% probability, proved incorrect. Every suggested pick turned out to be a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3%, Under 6.5 at 94.8%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.6%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 91.0%. The game was a surprise, with neither side securing the expected win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egersund win✗ Miss

51.3%

Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.45

Edge

-11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

1.51

Pinnacle

1.48

1xBet

1.47

Betano

1.47

Dafabet

1.47

Draw✓ Hit

23.8%

Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.60

Edge

+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.90

Dafabet

4.80

Bet365

4.75

BetVictor

4.75

1xBet

4.65

Asane win✗ Miss

24.9%

Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.42

Edge

+8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

5.81

BetVictor

5.75

1xBet

5.63

10Bet

5.60

Marathonbet

5.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egersund

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

1.9

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.67	1.30	1.62	1.38	1.71	1.21
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (25)	1.52	1.40	1.46	1.62	1.58	1.17
vs Weaker (5)	2.40	0.80	2.33	0.33	2.50	1.50
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Asane

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.5

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	1.97	1.53	1.73	1.27	2.20
vs Stronger (10)	1.00	2.00	1.40	1.80	0.60	2.20
vs Similar (19)	1.53	1.95	1.60	1.70	1.44	2.22
vs Weaker (1)	3.00	2.00	-	-	3.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	3% (-19pp vs league)

This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

85.3%

@ 1.10+0.5%

Under 1.5

14.7%

@ 6.07-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.12

Pinnacle

1.12

Bet365

1.11

Superbet

1.10

Betfair

1.10

Under

BetVictor

7.00

Bet365

6.50

Betfair

6.50

Pinnacle

6.44

Superbet

5.80

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

64.3%

@ 1.37-3.2%

Under 2.5

35.7%

@ 2.84+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Pinnacle

1.39

Betano

1.39

Superbet

1.38

10Bet

1.38

Under

Pinnacle

3.00

Unibet

2.90

BetVictor

2.90

Betfair

2.88

Bet365

2.88

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

42.2%

@ 1.98-5.1%

Under 3.5

57.8%

@ 1.78+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

SBO

2.12

Pinnacle

2.00

Bet365

2.00

Marathonbet

2.00

Betfair

2.00

Under

Pinnacle

1.84

1xBet

1.80

Betfair

1.80

Unibet

1.80

Betano

1.78

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

64.5%

@ 1.48+2.2%

35.5%

@ 2.44-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.53

Betfair

1.50

Marathonbet

1.50

Betano

1.50

Superbet

1.49

William Hil

2.50

BetVictor

2.50

Betfair

2.50

10Bet

2.45

1xBet

2.44

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.6%@ 8.75+5.5%

2-1

9.5%@ 7.42+3.5%

2-0

7.1%@ 8.92+2.1%

1-2

6.4%@ 15.28+3.5%

2-2 ✓

6.4%@ 12.22+2.7%

3-1

6.3%@ 9.39+1.5%

1-0

6.2%@ 9.99+1.8%

3-0

4.7%@ 11.03+0.7%

Egersund goals ↓

	Asane goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	3.9%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
1	6.2%	11%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.5%	6.4%	2.8%	0.9%
3	4.7%	6.3%	4.2%	1.9%	0.6%
4	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egersund goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Raufoss

0.50

Ranheim

0.50

Moss

0.29

Egersund is 0.74 points better than Asane in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Egersund is 0.05 goals better than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Egersund is 0.62 goals better than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 2.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Egersund or Draw✓ Hit

75.1%

Avg Implied 83.0% · @ 1.12

Edge

-7.9%

51%

24%

25%

covers Egersund + Draw

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.15

Betano

1.15

BetVictor

1.14

Superbet

1.14

Bet365

1.14

Egersund or Asane✗ Miss

76.2%

Avg Implied 80.3% · @ 1.16

Edge

-4.1%

51%

24%

25%

covers Egersund + Asane

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.20

Betano

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.16

1xBet

1.16

Draw or Asane✓ Hit

48.7%

Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.53

Edge

+12.0%

51%

24%

25%

covers Draw + Asane

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.63

10Bet

2.62

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.55

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Egersund over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

86.1%

@ 1.06-2.5%

Under

13.9%

@ 8.25+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.08

Bet365

1.07

Betfair

1.05

1xBet

1.05

Under

Bet365

9.00

1xBet

8.50

Betfair

8.50

Betano

7.00

Egersund over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

58.7%

@ 1.36-9.1%

Under

41.3%

@ 2.87+9.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.39

Superbet

1.39

BetVictor

1.36

Under

Pinnacle

3.07

Betfair

3.00

Unibet

2.95

BetVictor

2.90

Betano

2.85

Egersund over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

31.6%

@ 2.15-11.6%

Under

68.4%

@ 1.64+11.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.20

Superbet

2.20

Pinnacle

2.20

Betfair

2.20

Marathonbet

2.17

Under

Pinnacle

1.68

1xBet

1.68

Unibet

1.66

Betano

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

Egersund over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

13.8%

@ 3.91-9.9%

Under

86.2%

@ 1.22+9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

4.15

BetVictor

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

Superbet

4.00

Under

1xBet

1.25

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.22

Unibet

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Asane over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.8%

@ 1.38+6.4%

Under

26.2%

@ 2.84-6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.43

Betano

1.40

Marathonbet

1.38

Pinnacle

1.38

Unibet

1.37

Under

Bet365

3.00

Pinnacle

2.97

Superbet

2.90

Betfair

2.88

BetVictor

2.88

Asane over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

38.7%

@ 2.80+5.6%

Under

61.3%

@ 1.39-5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.95

Betfair

2.88

Marathonbet

2.85

1xBet

2.81

BetVictor

2.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.41

Superbet

1.41

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.40

BetVictor

1.40

Asane over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 6.74+1.4%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.08-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

7.00

BetVictor

7.00

Betfair

7.00

Marathonbet

6.95

1xBet

6.50

Under

Betano

1.10

Bet365

1.10

1xBet

1.08

Superbet

1.08

Betfair

1.07

Asane over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.7%

@ 16.12-1.2%

Under

95.3%

@ 1.01+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

21.00

Betano

11.25

Under

Betano

1.02

Bet365

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Egersund, so a minus line means Egersund give that many goals of a start and Asane receive them. At -1, Egersund must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Egersund win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Egersund)Actual: Asane

Egersund -2

14.5%

@ 3.60-10.3%

Draw -2

15.8%

@ 4.45-4.2%

Asane +2

69.7%

@ 1.62+14.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.50

Unibet

3.40

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Betfair

4.50

Marathonbet

4.45

Unibet

4.10

Away

Bet365

1.67

Unibet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.59

Betfair

1.57

Handicap -1 (Egersund)Actual: Asane

Egersund -1

30.3%

@ 2.10-11.9%

Draw -1

21.0%

@ 3.79-2.5%

Asane +1

48.7%

@ 2.59+14.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

2.15

Marathonbet

2.11

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Unibet

2.06

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Unibet

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.74

10Bet

3.70

Away

Betfair

2.63

Bet365

2.62

10Bet

2.62

Unibet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.55

Handicap +1 (Egersund)Actual: Egersund

Egersund +1

75.1%

@ 1.13-2.4%

Draw +1

13.9%

@ 6.42+0.2%

Asane -1

11.0%

@ 9.98+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.17

Unibet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.11

Draw

Bet365

7.50

Unibet

7.00

Marathonbet

4.75

Away

Bet365

13.00

Unibet

10.50

Marathonbet

6.45

Handicap +2 (Egersund)Actual: Egersund

Egersund +2

89.0%

@ 1.04-1.5%

Draw +2

7.3%

@ 15.00+1.0%

Asane -2

3.8%

@ 29.00+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.04

Draw

Bet365

15.00

Away

Bet365

29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.63	0.50	0.50	0.44	0.79	0.57
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (25)	0.64	0.52	0.46	0.54	0.83	0.50
vs Weaker (5)	0.60	0.40	0.67	0.00	0.50	1.00
Clean sheet %	63% (+41pp vs league)

This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Asane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.97	0.87	0.73	0.67	1.20
vs Stronger (10)	0.50	0.70	0.80	0.40	0.20	1.00
vs Similar (19)	0.79	1.16	0.90	0.90	0.67	1.44
vs Weaker (1)	3.00	0.00	-	-	3.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	30% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

71.6%

@ 1.20-5.5%

Under 0.5

28.4%

@ 4.05+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.20

10Bet

1.20

BetVictor

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

BetVictor

4.10

Superbet

4.10

William Hil

4.00

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

35.8%

@ 2.00-10.7%

Under 1.5

64.2%

@ 1.74+10.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

SBO

2.14

Betano

2.07

Pinnacle

2.04

Marathonbet

2.01

William Hil

2.00

Under

Unibet

1.78

Pinnacle

1.78

1xBet

1.76

Superbet

1.75

10Bet

1.75

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

14.9%

@ 4.07-7.9%

Under 2.5

85.1%

@ 1.20+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.40

William Hil

4.20

Betano

4.05

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

Under

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

Betano

1.20

William Hil

1.20

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

54.9%

@ 1.43-9.9%

Under

45.1%

@ 2.64+9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.44

Superbet

1.44

Pinnacle

1.43

Unibet

1.38

Under

Pinnacle

2.80

Unibet

2.70

Superbet

2.60

1xBet

2.60

Betano

2.50

Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.8%

@ 3.07-12.3%

Under

82.2%

@ 1.32+12.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.10

Betano

3.10

1xBet

3.00

Under

Marathonbet

1.32

Betano

1.32

1xBet

1.32

Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.4%

@ 7.45-7.9%

Under

95.6%

@ 1.05+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.10

Betano

6.80

Under

Betano

1.07

1xBet

1.03

Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

38.4%

@ 2.29-2.1%

Under

61.6%

@ 1.56+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.45

Betano

2.32

Marathonbet

2.28

Superbet

2.25

Unibet

2.23

Under

1xBet

1.59

Superbet

1.57

Pinnacle

1.55

Betano

1.55

Unibet

1.55

Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.4%

@ 7.47-3.9%

Under

91.6%

@ 1.05+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

8.10

1xBet

7.50

Betano

6.80

Under

Betano

1.07

1xBet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.04

Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.1%

Under

98.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.80	1.12	0.94	0.93	0.64
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (25)	0.88	0.88	1.00	1.08	0.75	0.67
vs Weaker (5)	1.80	0.40	1.67	0.33	2.00	0.50
Clean sheet %	47% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Asane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Asane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.63	1.00	0.67	1.00	0.60	1.00
vs Stronger (10)	0.50	1.30	0.60	1.40	0.40	1.20
vs Similar (19)	0.74	0.79	0.70	0.80	0.78	0.78
vs Weaker (1)	0.00	2.00	-	-	0.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

80.7%

@ 1.11-2.7%

Under 0.5

19.3%

@ 5.59+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.12

Betano

1.12

Bet365

1.12

Superbet

1.11

1xBet

1.09

Under

1xBet

6.10

Bet365

6.00

Superbet

5.55

Betano

5.30

William Hil

5.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

46.8%

@ 1.59-11.5%

Under 1.5

53.2%

@ 2.22+11.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

William Hil

1.62

Superbet

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Marathonbet

1.60

Under

10Bet

2.30

Unibet

2.28

Betano

2.27

Superbet

2.20

Bet365

2.20

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

22.1%

@ 2.80-10.9%

Under 2.5

77.9%

@ 1.38+10.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.90

1xBet

2.84

Marathonbet

2.84

Superbet

2.82

Bet365

2.75

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Superbet

1.38

1xBet

1.36

Marathonbet

1.36

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

63.2%

@ 1.29-8.7%

Under

36.8%

@ 3.30+8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.29

1xBet

1.29

Under

1xBet

3.30

Betano

3.30

Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

26.3%

@ 2.34-13.2%

Under

73.7%

@ 1.53+13.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.42

Marathonbet

2.36

1xBet

2.34

Betano

2.25

Under

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.53

Marathonbet

1.52

Superbet

1.50

Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.0%

@ 5.03-9.5%

Under

91.0%

@ 1.14+9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.40

Betano

4.65

Under

Betano

1.16

1xBet

1.11

Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

44.6%

@ 1.91-3.9%

Under

55.4%

@ 1.80+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.95

Betano

1.90

Superbet

1.90

1xBet

1.88

Under

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Superbet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.74

Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

10.8%

@ 5.50-6.0%

Under

89.2%

@ 1.11+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.00

1xBet

5.50

Betano

5.00

Under

Betano

1.14

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.09

Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.6%

@ 10.00-6.6%

Under

97.4%

@ 1.02+6.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.00

Under

Betano

1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.4%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	95.6%	1.05	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.3%	1.01	Betano 1.02	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+1.2%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	94.8%	1.05	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.6%	1.05	Betano 1.07	1xBet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-	+3.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	91.0%	1.14	Betano 1.16	1xBet 1.11	-	-	-	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	89.2%	1.11	Betano 1.14	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.09	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	89.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-1.5%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	88.1%	1.12	Pinnacle 1.14	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Superbet 1.12	Bet365 1.12	+5.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	86.2%	1.22	1xBet 1.25	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.22	Unibet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	+9.9%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	86.1%	1.06	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-2.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	85.3%	1.10	Betano 1.12	Pinnacle 1.12	Bet365 1.11	Superbet 1.10	Betfair 1.10	+0.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Superbet 1.21	Betfair 1.20	Betano 1.20	William Hil 1.20	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.8%	1.08	Betano 1.10	Bet365 1.10	1xBet 1.08	Superbet 1.08	Betfair 1.07	-1.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	82.2%	1.32	Marathonbet 1.32	Betano 1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+12.3%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.7%	1.11	William Hil 1.12	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.11	1xBet 1.09	-2.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	77.9%	1.38	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	Superbet 1.38	1xBet 1.36	Marathonbet 1.36	+10.9%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	76.2%	1.16	William Hil 1.20	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.16	1xBet 1.16	-4.1%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	76.0%	1.32	Pinnacle 1.35	Betfair 1.33	10Bet 1.33	Unibet 1.33	Betano 1.33	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	75.1%	1.12	William Hil 1.15	Betano 1.15	BetVictor 1.14	Superbet 1.14	Bet365 1.14	-7.9%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	75.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Unibet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.11	-	-	-2.4%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	73.8%	1.38	1xBet 1.43	Betano 1.40	Marathonbet 1.38	Pinnacle 1.38	Unibet 1.37	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	73.7%	1.53	Betano 1.57	1xBet 1.53	Marathonbet 1.52	Superbet 1.50	-	+13.2%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.6%	1.20	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.20	10Bet 1.20	BetVictor 1.20	-5.5%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Egersund's squad is €1m more valuable than Asane's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Egersund and Asane have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Egersund's midfield is €1m more valuable than Asane's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Egersund and Asane have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings

EGE wins

Draws

ASA wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egersund vs Asane · H/A from EGE

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/07/26	A	Asane Vs EGE	3-3
23/08/25	H	EGE Vs Asane	1-1
05/04/25	A	Asane Vs EGE	0-2
28/09/24	A	Asane Vs EGE	1-2
05/06/24	H	EGE Vs Asane	1-0

Egersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	A	Haugesund Vs EGE	3-0
16/08/26	H	EGE Vs Stabaek	0-4
09/08/26	A	Stromsgodset Vs EGE	0-2
02/08/26	H	EGE Vs Sandnes ULF	2-0
26/07/26	A	Asane Vs EGE	3-3
04/07/26	H	EGE Vs Moss	3-0
09/03/26	H	EGE Vs Aalesund	2-3
26/11/25	A	Aalesund Vs EGE	1-1
22/11/25	H	EGE Vs Ranheim	3-2
15/11/25	H	EGE Vs Lyn	3-2

Asane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/08/26	H	ASA Vs Lyn	1-2
16/08/26	A	Raufoss Vs ASA	1-2
09/08/26	H	ASA Vs Kongsvinger	1-2
02/08/26	A	ODD Ballklubb Vs ASA	4-1
26/07/26	H	ASA Vs Egersund	3-3
08/11/25	H	ASA Vs Kongsvinger	0-0
01/11/25	A	Aalesund Vs ASA	3-0
25/10/25	H	ASA Vs Start	2-2
22/10/25	A	Stabaek Vs ASA	2-0
18/10/25	A	hodd Vs ASA	3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egersund

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWLL	1.72
Home	WLWWL	1.64
Away	WDDWL	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	48%	52%
AVG goals	3.28	3.52	3.04
Over 1.5 %	86%	92%	80%
Over 2.5 %	60%	64%	56%
Over 3.5 %	44%	56%	32%
Scored	1.86	1.84	1.88
Conceded	1.42	1.68	1.16
BTTS	58%	56%	60%
Clean Sheet	28%	28%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Asane

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLWL	1.20
Home	DDDLL	1.09
Away	DLLLW	1.30

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	26%	37%
AVG goals	3.46	3.30	3.59
Over 1.5 %	94%	91%	96%
Over 2.5 %	68%	70%	67%
Over 3.5 %	40%	35%	44%
Scored	1.54	1.48	1.59
Conceded	1.92	1.83	2.00
BTTS	68%	70%	67%
Clean Sheet	10%	13%	7%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Egersund vs Asane Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egersund

Asane

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egersund

Asane

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egersund

Asane

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Egersund

Asane

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature