This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
1.20
1.33
2.07
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.24
1.08
1.31
1.83
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
2.60
1.20
2.00
1.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
Egersund goals ↓
Lyn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
8.8%
6.4%
2.7%
0.8%
1
8.8%
14%
8.1%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.4%
8.0%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.7%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egersund goals (down), columns = Lyn goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
Træff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Førde
0.92
Madla
0.92
Vigør
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Råde
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Eik-Tønsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Egersund is 0.25 points worse than Lyn in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Førde
1.44
Madla
1.44
Vigør
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
Råde
1.00
Eik-Tønsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
Kjelsås
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Egersund is 1.08 goals better than Lyn in terms of goals scored per game (2.75 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
Træff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Råde
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Flekkerøy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
Førde
2.68
Madla
2.68
Vigør
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Egersund is 0.50 goals worse than Lyn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Egersund or Draw✓ Hit
64.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
35%
covers Egersund + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund or Lyn✓ Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
35%
covers Egersund + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lyn✗ Miss
64.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
35%
covers Draw + Lyn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Egersund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.7%
Under
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.9%
Under
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.7%
Under
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Egersund, so a minus line means Egersund give that many goals of a start and Lyn receive them. At -1, Egersund must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Egersund win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Egersund)Actual: Lyn
Egersund -2
5.4%
Draw -2
10.5%
Lyn +2
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Egersund)Actual: Draw
Egersund -1
15.9%
Draw -1
19.3%
Lyn +1
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Egersund)Actual: Egersund
Egersund +1
64.7%
Draw +1
19.3%
Lyn -1
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Egersund)Actual: Egersund
Egersund +2
84.0%
Draw +2
10.5%
Lyn -2
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Egersund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.50
0.43
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.48
0.42
0.50
0.80
0.47
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.53
0.87
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.68
0.54
0.92
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Egersund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.93
0.86
1.14
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.89
1.00
0.75
1.25
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
0.67
0.47
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.56
0.54
0.38
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.40
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Egersund and Lyn have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Egersund and Lyn have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Egersund and Lyn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Egersund and Lyn have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Asane
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Raufoss
Moss