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Egersund vs Moss Result & Analysis

Date: 04/07/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
Egersund
Egersund
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egersund win✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Moss win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W40W20W10W00D21W32W32W11D23LA·RAN04/10H·RAU18/10H·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.371.621.621.861.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.671.481.501.791.851.15
vs Weaker (3)2.330.332.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L15L04L24L02L11D12L11D21W12LA·HOD20/09H·LIL29/09A·LYN05/10H·KON18/10A·EGE22/10H·AAL25/10A·STA01/11H·RAU08/11H·BRA23/11A·BRA29/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.901.671.870.871.93
vs Stronger (3)0.672.670.503.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.331.811.851.690.861.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
Egersund goals ↓
Moss goals →
01234
05.5%4.2%3.1%1.2%0.4%
17.6%11%5.9%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.4%6.3%3.7%1.5%0.4%
42.6%3.1%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egersund goals (down), columns = Moss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Egersund is 1.29 points better than Moss in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Egersund is 0.43 goals better than Moss in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Egersund is 0.57 goals better than Moss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 2.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D00D20W12L11D10W11DA·RAN04/10H·RAU18/10H·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.560.500.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.670.520.500.570.850.46
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L03L12L00D11D12L00D11D00DA·HOD20/09H·LIL29/09A·LYN05/10H·KON18/10A·EGE22/10H·AAL25/10A·STA01/11H·RAU08/11H·BRA23/11A·BRA29/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.800.730.330.87
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.700.920.620.290.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W20W10W00D01L20W21W01L12LA·RAN04/10H·RAU18/10H·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.901.061.121.000.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.000.961.001.211.000.69
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L01L12L02L00D00D11D10W12LA·HOD20/09H·LIL29/09A·LYN05/10H·KON18/10A·EGE22/10H·AAL25/10A·STA01/11H·RAU08/11H·BRA23/11A·BRA29/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.871.130.531.07
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.741.110.921.080.571.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Egersund and Moss have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Egersund and Moss have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Egersund and Moss have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Egersund and Moss have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
4
EGE wins
0
Draws
0
MOS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egersund vs Moss · H/A from EGE
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/25HEGE Vs Moss2-0
28/06/25AMoss Vs EGE2-4
26/08/24HEGE Vs Moss3-2
27/04/24AMoss Vs EGE1-2

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26HEGE Vs Aalesund2-3
26/11/25AAalesund Vs EGE1-1
22/11/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-2
15/11/25HEGE Vs Lyn3-2
08/11/25AMjondalen Vs EGE1-2
01/11/25HEGE Vs hodd0-0
25/10/25ASogndal Vs EGE0-1
22/10/25HEGE Vs Moss2-0
18/10/25HEGE Vs Raufoss4-0
04/10/25ARanheim Vs EGE0-4

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25ABrattvåg Vs MOS2-1
23/11/25HMOS Vs Brattvåg2-1
08/11/25HMOS Vs Raufoss1-1
01/11/25AStart Vs MOS2-1
25/10/25HMOS Vs Aalesund1-1
22/10/25AEgersund Vs MOS2-0
18/10/25HMOS Vs Kongsvinger2-4
05/10/25ALyn Vs MOS4-0
29/09/25HMOS Vs Lillestrom1-5
20/09/25Ahodd Vs MOS2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.64
HomeWDWWL1.52
AwayLWWWD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%44%52%
AVG goals3.203.403.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.761.721.80
Conceded1.441.681.20
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.24
HomeLLDDW1.83
AwayLLLLL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%54%15%
AVG goals3.263.622.92
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %64%67%62%
Over 3.5 %40%50%31%
Scored1.482.080.92
Conceded1.781.542.00
BTTS64%75%54%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners7.005.009.00
Cards4.504.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek615
83%
2.5
217+14
4.7
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5233.51.2
-
2HaugesundHaugesund715
71%
2.1
2211+11
4.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3243.11.6
-
3hoddhodd715
71%
2.1
1720-3
5.3
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.42.9
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger613
67%
2.2
1711+6
4.7
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.81.8
-
5StromsgodsetStromsgodset713
57%
1.9
1511+4
3.7
100%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.6
-
6BryneBryne713
57%
1.9
87+1
2.1
86%
29%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
7LynLyn611
50%
1.8
1813+5
5.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1213.02.2
-
8EgersundEgersund711
43%
1.6
1212+0
3.4
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.7
-
9StrommenStrommen610
50%
1.7
1211+1
3.8
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb78
29%
1.1
1416-2
4.3
71%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3332.02.3
-
11SogndalSogndal67
33%
1.2
1112-1
3.8
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.82.0
-
12AsaneAsane65
17%
0.8
1014-4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.72.3
-
13Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF74
14%
0.6
816-8
3.4
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.3
-
14RanheimRanheim63
17%
0.5
1520-5
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.53.3
-
15RaufossRaufoss63
17%
0.5
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.03.0
-
16MossMoss72
0%
0.3
916-7
3.6
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.32.3
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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