Egersund are the clear favourites to win at home against Sandnes ULF, with the model predicting a home win. The recent form of the teams, with Egersund on a 2-game winning run, including a 2-0 victory over Stromsgodset, suggests a strong home side. However, Sandnes ULF have struggled away from home, scoring just 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents.
The model predicts a 52% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 11.6% of the time.
At home, Egersund have scored 1.67 goals per game against weaker opponents, while conceding 0.56 goals. Sandnes ULF, on the other hand, have scored just 0.5 goals per game away against stronger opponents, while conceding 3.17 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, which has a high probability of 81.6%. Egersund win 52% of the time, the draw occurs 25% of the time, and Sandnes ULF win 23% of the time.
The win extends Egersund's run to 2 games, following a 2-0 victory over Stromsgodset. The final score was 2-0, with the actual result being a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 52%. The model's call was spot on, as Egersund secured a convincing win. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with an 81.6% probability, hitting the target. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals was successful, while the other selections, such as the most likely total goals and most likely scores, did not materialize.
Egersund| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 1.43 | 1.81 | 1.50 | 2.14 | 1.36 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 2.04 | 1.58 | 1.85 | 1.77 | 2.27 | 1.36 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.67 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Sandnes ULF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 2.57 | 0.71 | 2.57 | 0.88 | 2.56 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 0.40 | 2.80 | 0.38 | 2.88 | 0.43 | 2.71 |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.14 | 2.43 | 1.17 | 2.17 | 1.12 | 2.62 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 10% (-12pp vs league) | |||||
| Sandnes ULF goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Egersund| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
Sandnes ULF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.30 | 1.07 | 0.29 | 0.93 | 0.31 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 0.13 | 1.20 | 0.12 | 1.12 | 0.14 | 1.29 |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.50 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 1.12 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
Egersund| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 0.97 | 1.12 | 1.06 | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.17 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Sandnes ULF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.43 | 1.64 | 0.56 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (15) | 0.27 | 1.60 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 0.29 | 1.43 |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.64 | 1.50 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.62 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | +1.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 01/04/24 | A | 3-4 |
Egersund| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 04/07/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 09/03/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 26/11/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 15/11/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/11/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 22/10/25 | H | 2-0 |
Sandnes ULF| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 1-6 | |
| 04/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 24/09/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 27/08/25 | A | 2-6 | |
| 13/08/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 13/04/25 | A | 2-0 | |
| 09/11/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 02/11/24 | H | 2-6 | |
| 30/10/24 | H | 0-2 | |
| 26/10/24 | A | 4-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Bryne | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 2.2 | 83% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | - |
| 2 | Stabaek | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 4.8 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | hodd | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 6.0 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 3.2 | - |
| 4 | Egersund | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 5 | Haugesund | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 5.6 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 6 | Kongsvinger | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Lyn | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 5.0 | 100% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 8 | Stromsgodset | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 9 | Sogndal | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | - |
| 10 | ODD Ballklubb | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | - |
| 11 | Strommen | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4.0 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 12 | Asane | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | - |
| 13 | Ranheim | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | - |
| 14 | Raufoss | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4.2 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | - |
| 15 | Moss | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |
| 16 | Sandnes ULF | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3.5 | 83% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | - |