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Egersund vs Sandnes ULF Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Egersund
Egersund
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Egersund are the clear favourites to win at home against Sandnes ULF, with the model predicting a home win. The recent form of the teams, with Egersund on a 2-game winning run, including a 2-0 victory over Stromsgodset, suggests a strong home side. However, Sandnes ULF have struggled away from home, scoring just 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents.

The model predicts a 52% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 11.6% of the time.

At home, Egersund have scored 1.67 goals per game against weaker opponents, while conceding 0.56 goals. Sandnes ULF, on the other hand, have scored just 0.5 goals per game away against stronger opponents, while conceding 3.17 goals.

The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, which has a high probability of 81.6%. Egersund win 52% of the time, the draw occurs 25% of the time, and Sandnes ULF win 23% of the time.

Results analysis

The win extends Egersund's run to 2 games, following a 2-0 victory over Stromsgodset. The final score was 2-0, with the actual result being a home win. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 52%. The model's call was spot on, as Egersund secured a convincing win. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with an 81.6% probability, hitting the target. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals was successful, while the other selections, such as the most likely total goals and most likely scores, did not materialize.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egersund win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.82
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.84
Dafabet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.72
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Bet365
3.80
Sandnes ULF win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.74
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.85
1xBet
3.82

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D21W32W32W13L23L30W33DH·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.431.811.502.141.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)2.041.581.851.772.271.36
vs Weaker (6)1.670.831.670.331.671.33
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L02L26L13L02L21W62W12L11D16LA·LEV26/10H·MOL30/10H·RAN02/11A·EGE09/11A·VID13/04A·MAD13/08A·DJE27/08H·LIL24/09A·BRY04/07H·KON26/07
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.570.712.570.882.56
vs Stronger (15)0.402.800.382.880.432.71
vs Similar (14)1.142.431.172.171.122.62
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.15+1.1%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 4.75-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.20
Pinnacle
5.04
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.53-2.1%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.34+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Under
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
@ 2.32-4.1%
Under 3.5
64.0%
@ 1.55+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Under
Unibet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
@ 1.50-2.0%
No
40.5%
@ 2.39+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
No
Betfair
2.55
Unibet
2.50
888Sport
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.40

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 6.96+5.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.53+3.8%
2-0 ✓
8.2%@ 9.72+3.7%
1-0
7.9%@ 9.05+2.9%
1-2
6.2%@ 11.15+2.3%
3-1
6.0%@ 11.34+2.1%
0-0
5.9%@ 13.87+2.7%
2-2
5.8%@ 10.88+1.7%
Egersund goals ↓
Sandnes ULF goals →
01234
05.9%4.7%3.4%1.3%0.4%
17.9%12%6.2%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.7%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.1%6.0%3.6%1.4%0.4%
42.3%2.8%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egersund goals (down), columns = Sandnes ULF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Egersund is 0.48 points better than Sandnes ULF in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
Egersund is 0.28 goals better than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
Egersund is 0.40 goals better than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D20W12L11D10W11D20W02LH·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.690.440.860.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.830.500.690.541.000.45
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.670.000.330.67
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L02L01L01L21W11D00D03LA·LEV26/10H·MOL30/10H·RAN02/11A·EGE09/11A·VID13/04A·MAD13/08A·DJE27/08H·LIL24/09A·BRY04/07H·KON26/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.070.290.930.311.19
vs Stronger (15)0.131.200.121.120.141.29
vs Similar (14)0.500.930.500.670.501.12
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D01L20W21W03L12L10W31WH·MOS22/10A·SOG25/10H·HOD01/11A·MJO08/11H·LYN15/11H·RAN22/11A·AAL26/11H·AAL09/03H·MOS04/07A·ASA26/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.971.121.061.290.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.211.081.151.231.270.91
vs Weaker (6)1.170.501.000.331.330.67
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L23L11D01L20W41W01L11D13LA·LEV26/10H·MOL30/10H·RAN02/11A·EGE09/11A·VID13/04A·MAD13/08A·DJE27/08H·LIL24/09A·BRY04/07H·KON26/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.500.431.640.561.38
vs Stronger (15)0.271.600.251.750.291.43
vs Similar (14)0.641.500.671.500.621.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%1.15
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+1.1%✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
Egersund's squad is €2m more valuable than Sandnes ULF's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
EGE wins
0
Draws
0
SU wins

Head-to-head

Egersund vs Sandnes ULF · H/A from EGE
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24HEGE Vs Sandnes ULF3-1
01/04/24ASandnes ULF Vs EGE3-4

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AAsane Vs EGE3-3
04/07/26HEGE Vs Moss3-0
09/03/26HEGE Vs Aalesund2-3
26/11/25AAalesund Vs EGE3-1
22/11/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-2
15/11/25HEGE Vs Lyn3-2
08/11/25AMjondalen Vs EGE1-2
01/11/25HEGE Vs hodd0-0
25/10/25ASogndal Vs EGE0-1
22/10/25HEGE Vs Moss2-0

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HSU Vs Kongsvinger1-6
04/07/26ABryne Vs SU1-1
24/09/25HSU Vs Lillestrom1-2
27/08/25ADjerv Vs SU2-6
13/08/25AMadla Vs SU1-2
13/04/25AVidar Vs SU2-0
09/11/24AEgersund Vs SU3-1
02/11/24HSU Vs Ranheim2-6
30/10/24HSU Vs Molde0-2
26/10/24ALevanger Vs SU4-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.68
HomeDWWLW1.58
AwayWWWLD1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%46%54%
AVG goals3.343.463.23
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored1.861.831.88
Conceded1.481.621.35
BTTS62%58%65%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL0.94
HomeLLLLL1.00
AwayLLWWD0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.683.833.56
Over 1.5 %88%87%89%
Over 2.5 %58%61%56%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.281.431.15
Conceded2.402.392.41
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet12%17%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BryneBryne613
67%
2.2
85+3
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.30.8
-
2StabaekStabaek412
100%
3.0
163+13
4.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0004.00.8
-
3hoddhodd512
80%
2.4
1416-2
6.0
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.83.2
-
4EgersundEgersund510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0002.01.4
-
5HaugesundHaugesund59
60%
1.8
1711+6
5.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0003.42.2
-
6KongsvingerKongsvinger49
75%
2.2
127+5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0003.01.8
-
7LynLyn47
50%
1.8
128+4
5.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0003.02.0
-
8StromsgodsetStromsgodset57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0001.81.6
-
9SogndalSogndal46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb55
20%
1.0
912-3
4.2
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.82.4
-
11StrommenStrommen44
25%
1.0
79-2
4.0
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.82.2
-
12AsaneAsane44
25%
1.0
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.82.5
-
13RanheimRanheim43
25%
0.8
1011-1
5.2
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.52.8
-
14RaufossRaufoss43
25%
0.8
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.23.0
-
15MossMoss51
0%
0.2
612-6
3.6
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.22.4
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF61
0%
0.2
516-11
3.5
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.82.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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