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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 31/05/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vs
46%
31%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.93 goals conceded at home, while Dinamo Tirana’s away form sees them conceding 1.07. The model projects a tight contest with a 46 % chance of a home win, 31 % draw, and 23 % away win, making a home victory the most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a low-scoring affair, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 14.2 %. Egnatia’s home scoring average of 1.6 goals per match contrasts with Dinamo’s 0.93 away goals, reinforcing the home advantage. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 carries an 82.9 % probability. The match’s probabilities are 46 % home win, 31 % draw, and 23 % away win. This concise preview underscores defensive strengths, the projected 1-1 draw, and the strong likelihood of a low-scoring home win.

Results analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent form, highlighted by a win over Tirana, set the stage for a strong home display. The model predicted a home win with a 46 % probability, and the result confirmed this, as the team secured a 2-0 victory. The favored outcome landed, and the model’s selection proved correct. The suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals, with an 82.9 % probability, also hit, as the match saw only two goals. All other selections were settled, and the final score of 2-0 matched the expected total of 2 goals. The prediction model delivered a clean sweep of accurate calls.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W13L02L02L02L20W23L40W21WA·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05H·PAR06/05A·TEU10/05A·AF 17/05A·VLL23/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.031.600.931.131.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.371.031.600.931.131.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W11D11D13L20W22D12L20W03LA·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04H·TIR18/04A·FLA27/04H·EGN02/05H·VOR06/05A·PAR10/05A·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.071.471.070.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.201.071.471.070.931.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.3%
Under 2.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.0%
2-0 ✓
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.2%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals ↓
Dinamo Tirana goals →
01234
013%8.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
114%14%5.5%1.6%0.3%
29.8%8.3%3.6%1.0%0.2%
34.2%3.6%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.4%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals (down), columns = Dinamo Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pogradeci
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Besa Kavajë
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.36 points better than Dinamo Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Pogradeci
1.33
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.13 goals better than Dinamo Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pogradeci
0.33
Besa Kavajë
0.50
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.08 goals better than Dinamo Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L01L02L02L10W11D30W10WA·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05H·PAR06/05A·TEU10/05A·AF 17/05A·VLL23/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.470.530.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.500.470.530.600.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L00D11D20W20W02L00D03LA·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04H·TIR18/04A·FLA27/04H·EGN02/05H·VOR06/05A·PAR10/05A·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.670.600.130.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.700.670.600.130.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W12L01L00D00D10W12L10W11DA·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05H·PAR06/05A·TEU10/05A·AF 17/05A·VLL23/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.130.400.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.531.130.400.530.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W11D02L00D02L10W20W00DA·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04H·TIR18/04A·FLA27/04H·EGN02/05H·VOR06/05A·PAR10/05A·VLL16/05A·AF 24/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.370.800.470.800.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.800.370.800.470.800.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (29)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
ER wins
2
Draws
2
DT wins

Head-to-head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Dinamo Tirana · H/A from ER
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26ADinamo Tirana Vs ER2-0
20/02/26HER Vs Dinamo Tirana1-0
14/12/25ADinamo Tirana Vs ER1-2
18/10/25HER Vs Dinamo Tirana0-0
05/03/25HER Vs Dinamo Tirana2-0
21/12/24ADinamo Tirana Vs ER2-1
25/10/24HER Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1
18/08/24ADinamo Tirana Vs ER0-2

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs ER1-2
17/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs ER0-4
10/05/26ATeuta Durrës Vs ER3-2
06/05/26HER Vs Partizani2-0
02/05/26ADinamo Tirana Vs ER2-0
26/04/26HER Vs Vora0-2
18/04/26HER Vs Flamurtari0-2
12/04/26ATirana Vs ER3-1
04/04/26HER Vs Bylis3-0
20/03/26AAF Elbasani Vs ER0-0

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs DT3-0
16/05/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs DT0-2
10/05/26APartizani Vs DT2-1
06/05/26HDT Vs Vora2-2
02/05/26HDT Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-0
27/04/26AFlamurtari Vs DT3-1
18/04/26HDT Vs Tirana1-1
13/04/26ABylis Vs DT1-1
04/04/26HDT Vs AF Elbasani4-1
21/03/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs DT0-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.56
HomeDWLLW1.67
AwayLLLWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.182.212.15
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %36%33%38%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.201.331.08
Conceded0.980.881.08
BTTS32%33%31%
Clean Sheet46%50%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.22
HomeLWDWD1.42
AwayDLLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.242.462.04
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %40%33%46%
Over 3.5 %14%21%8%
Scored1.121.420.85
Conceded1.121.041.19
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci36
67%
2.0
41+3
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë23
50%
1.5
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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