Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Result & Analysis

The contest between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 39%. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. Home-side Egnatia, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Partizani, on the road, nets 1.08 and concedes 0.85 against comparable opponents. The probabilities for the match result are 31% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an away win. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 80%, Under 3.5 at 77.3% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 74.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 72.9%, and Over 1.5 at 71.0% (hit). Recent form shows Egnatia unbeaten in five games, while Partizani has just suffered a defeat.

The pre-match favourite, Partizani, fell short in a 1-1 draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. The win had been expected with a 39% chance, but the match finished as a stalemate, extending Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s unbeaten run of five games. The model’s other selections proved accurate: the Under 3.5 goal market hit with a 77.3% probability, and the Over 1.5 goal market also hit, backed by a 71.0% chance. Egnatia’s home form remains solid, while Partizani’s recent loss has dampened their confidence. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the model’s total-goals prediction of two, yet the outcome for the favourite was a miss.