Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Result & Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.75 goals per game against teams of similar strength, while Partizani’s away form shows a higher average of 1.12 goals conceded. The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance, a draw at 33% and an away win at 24%. The expected total of 2.0 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, a 15% probability. The suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, with an 85.9% chance of hitting. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have been unbeaten in their last five, while Partizani are coming off a defeat. The match is projected to be a defensive stalemate, with the home side’s 1.19 goals scored per game against similar opposition and the away side’s 0.88 goals scored per game. The model’s selection remains Under 3.5 goals at 85.9%.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s unbeaten run of five games carried them into the match, yet the pre-match favourite, the home win at 43 percent, failed to deliver as the game finished 0-0, a draw. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The only other selection made by the model, Under 3.5 goals, was hit, with an 85.9 percent probability. The match saw no goals, matching the most likely scoreline of 0-0 at 15 percent, and the total goals stayed below the expected 2.0. Partizani, coming off a recent defeat, could not overturn the stalemate, leaving the pre-match expectation unmet.