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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partizani
Partizani
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are favoured to win, with a 45% chance of taking the match home, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 26% chance of Partizani triumphing. The model expects 2.4 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.9% chance. Egnatia’s home form shows they average 1.47 goals scored and 0.93 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Partizani, on the road, average 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 77% probability and Over 1.5 with a 71.3% probability. The home win percentage is 45%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 26%. The model’s selections are Under 3.5 (77%) and Over 1.5 (71.3%).

Results analysis

The Pythia model’s prediction proved spot on as Egnatia Rrogozhinë secured a 2-0 victory over Partizani, extending their unbeaten run to five matches. The model had named a home win as the favourite, assigning it a 45% probability, and the result matched the actual outcome. The suggested selections also performed well: the Under 3.5 goals pick, given a 77% chance, hit, as did the Over 1.5 goals pick, with a 71.3% probability. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 13.9% chance, did not materialise, but the 2-0 result still fell within the model’s expected total of 2.4 goals. Overall, the model’s forecast was accurate and the key picks delivered.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partizani win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L42W00D00D30W13L02L02L02LH·DIN20/02A·PAR28/02H·TEU09/03H·VLL13/03A·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.931.470.930.800.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.130.931.470.930.800.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W20W22D22D02L03L11D12L14LA·FLA22/02H·EGN28/02A·DIN09/03A·VOR15/03A·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.071.361.191.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.331.071.361.191.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals ↓
Partizani goals →
01234
010.0%7.6%4.5%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.4%2.2%0.6%
28.8%9.0%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.2%4.3%2.2%0.7%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals (down), columns = Partizani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.36 points better than Partizani in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Flamurtari
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Tirana
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.23 goals better than Partizani in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.44 goals better than Partizani in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L21W00D00D00D01L01L02L02LH·DIN20/02A·PAR28/02H·TEU09/03H·VLL13/03A·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.400.530.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.470.400.530.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartizaniPartizani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W12L11D00D00D11D10W12LA·FLA22/02H·EGN28/02A·DIN09/03A·VOR15/03A·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.790.430.440.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.600.530.790.430.440.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D21W00D00D30W12L01L00D00DH·DIN20/02A·PAR28/02H·TEU09/03H·VLL13/03A·AF 20/03H·BYL04/04A·TIR12/04H·FLA18/04H·VOR26/04A·DIN02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.471.070.400.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.471.070.400.400.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartizaniPartizani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W10W11D02L03L00D02L02LA·FLA22/02H·EGN28/02A·DIN09/03A·VOR15/03A·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.290.930.750.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.800.290.930.750.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's squad is €1m more valuable than Partizani's (€7m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's defence is €1m more valuable than Partizani's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ER wins
3
Draws
3
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani · H/A from ER
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26APartizani Vs ER2-0
19/12/25HER Vs Partizani2-1
25/10/25APartizani Vs ER0-0
05/05/25HER Vs Partizani0-0
12/04/25APartizani Vs ER1-0
15/02/25HER Vs Partizani2-0
05/12/24APartizani Vs ER1-1
27/09/24HER Vs Partizani0-2

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26ADinamo Tirana Vs ER2-0
26/04/26HER Vs Vora0-2
18/04/26HER Vs Flamurtari0-2
12/04/26ATirana Vs ER3-1
04/04/26HER Vs Bylis3-0
20/03/26AAF Elbasani Vs ER0-0
13/03/26HER Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0
09/03/26HER Vs Teuta Durrës4-2
28/02/26APartizani Vs ER2-0
20/02/26HER Vs Dinamo Tirana1-0

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HPAR Vs Flamurtari1-4
25/04/26ATirana Vs PAR2-1
19/04/26HPAR Vs Bylis1-1
13/04/26AAF Elbasani Vs PAR3-0
04/04/26HPAR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-2
21/03/26ATeuta Durrës Vs PAR2-2
15/03/26AVora Vs PAR2-2
09/03/26ADinamo Tirana Vs PAR0-2
28/02/26HPAR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-0
22/02/26AFlamurtari Vs PAR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.52
HomeWDWLL1.60
AwayDLDLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.062.201.92
Over 1.5 %58%60%56%
Over 2.5 %32%36%28%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.121.320.92
Conceded0.940.881.00
BTTS34%40%28%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Partizani
Partizani
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.28
HomeWWLDL1.48
AwayWDDLL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%39%30%
AVG goals2.181.962.37
Over 1.5 %66%57%74%
Over 2.5 %40%30%48%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.940.960.93
Conceded1.241.001.44
BTTS40%35%44%
Clean Sheet34%48%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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