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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vs
44%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D12L11D12L10W00D32W41W12LH·ERZ14/01A·TEU22/01H·FK 26/01A·PAR30/01H·TIR06/02A·LAC11/02H·VLL19/02A·BYL24/02H·KAS05/03A·ERZ10/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.881.330.921.080.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.120.821.250.881.000.78
vs Weaker (8)1.381.001.501.001.251.00
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D20W34L10W11D10W20W11D00DH·KAS14/01H·EGN22/01A·PAR26/01A·LAC30/01H·BYL07/02A·ERZ12/02H·FK 18/02A·TIR25/02H·VLL06/03A·KAS10/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.160.830.831.001.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.420.781.111.101.70
vs Weaker (6)0.830.331.000.000.670.67
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals ↓
Teuta Durrës goals →
01234
010%7.8%4.7%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%8.9%4.6%1.6%0.4%
34.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals (down), columns = Teuta Durrës goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partizani
1.86
Tirana
1.86
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.44
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.39
Laci
1.33
Teuta Durrës
1.33
FK Kukesi
1.25
Erzeni Shijak
1.11
Bylis
1.06
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.97
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.11 points better than Teuta Durrës in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partizani
1.56
Tirana
1.56
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Laci
1.25
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.08
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.92
Bylis
0.86
FK Kukesi
0.86
Kastrioti Krujë
0.72
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.36 goals better than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.89
Tirana
0.92
FK Kukesi
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
1.00
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.03
Partizani
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.11
Bylis
1.17
Laci
1.28
Erzeni Shijak
1.32
Kastrioti Krujë
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.22 goals better than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D11D10W00D00D21W12LH·ERZ14/01A·TEU22/01H·FK 26/01A·PAR30/01H·TIR06/02A·LAC11/02H·VLL19/02A·BYL24/02H·KAS05/03A·ERZ10/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.240.670.250.380.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.120.620.250.330.00
vs Weaker (8)0.620.500.750.250.500.75
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W22D00D10W10W10W11D00DH·KAS14/01H·EGN22/01A·PAR26/01A·LAC30/01H·BYL07/02A·ERZ12/02H·FK 18/02A·TIR25/02H·VLL06/03A·KAS10/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.520.330.420.460.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.580.220.560.500.60
vs Weaker (6)0.500.330.670.000.330.67
Clean sheet %68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D02L11D01L00D00D32W20W00DH·ERZ14/01A·TEU22/01H·FK 26/01A·PAR30/01H·TIR06/02A·LAC11/02H·VLL19/02A·BYL24/02H·KAS05/03A·ERZ10/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.640.670.670.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.710.620.620.670.78
vs Weaker (8)0.750.500.750.750.750.25
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W12L10W01L00D10W00D00DH·KAS14/01H·EGN22/01A·PAR26/01A·LAC30/01H·BYL07/02A·ERZ12/02H·FK 18/02A·TIR25/02H·VLL06/03A·KAS10/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.640.500.420.540.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.840.560.560.601.10
vs Weaker (6)0.330.000.330.000.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
FK (20)
€1m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
ER wins
1
Draws
1
TD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës · H/A from ER
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/23ATeuta Durrës Vs ER1-1
15/10/22HER Vs Teuta Durrës1-2

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23AErzeni Shijak Vs ER2-1
05/03/23HER Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-1
24/02/23ABylis Vs ER2-3
19/02/23HER Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0
11/02/23ALaci Vs ER0-1
06/02/23HER Vs Tirana1-2
30/01/23APartizani Vs ER1-1
26/01/23HER Vs FK Kukesi1-2
22/01/23ATeuta Durrës Vs ER1-1
14/01/23HER Vs Erzeni Shijak1-1

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23AKastrioti Krujë Vs TD0-0
06/03/23HTD Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-1
25/02/23ATirana Vs TD0-2
18/02/23HTD Vs FK Kukesi1-0
12/02/23AErzeni Shijak Vs TD1-1
07/02/23HTD Vs Bylis1-0
30/01/23ALaci Vs TD4-3
26/01/23APartizani Vs TD0-2
22/01/23HTD Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
14/01/23HTD Vs Kastrioti Krujë2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.48
HomeDLLDW1.25
AwayDDWWL1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%33%46%
AVG goals2.082.251.92
Over 1.5 %60%75%46%
Over 2.5 %40%50%31%
Over 3.5 %12%8%15%
Scored1.201.331.08
Conceded0.880.920.85
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet44%42%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDD1.32
HomeWDWWD1.42
AwayWLDWD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.081.672.46
Over 1.5 %60%50%69%
Over 2.5 %32%17%46%
Over 3.5 %20%8%31%
Scored0.920.831.00
Conceded1.160.831.46
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet48%50%46%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TiranaTirana3667
56%
1.9
5633+23
2.5
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
2PartizaniPartizani3667
56%
1.9
5637+19
2.6
78%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
3Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3652
39%
1.4
4632+14
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
4Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3650
36%
1.4
3937+2
2.1
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
5LaciLaci3648
39%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
64%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3648
33%
1.3
3340-7
2.0
61%
31%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.1
-
7FK KukesiFK Kukesi3645
33%
1.2
3135-4
1.8
58%
31%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
8Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3741
22%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
73%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
9BylisBylis3638
25%
1.1
3142-11
2.0
61%
31%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3635
22%
1.0
2649-23
2.1
53%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.71.4
-
11Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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