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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vs
57%
25%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win✗ Miss
57.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës win✓ Hit
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L11D22D01L40W43W11D21W20WA·TEU25/05H·FK 29/05A·ARA13/07H·ARA20/07H·SKE26/08A·FK 03/09H·ERZ13/09A·PAR18/09H·LAC23/09A·VLL27/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.101.531.271.730.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.320.951.111.001.500.90
vs Weaker (11)2.181.362.171.672.201.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W01L10W10W02L22D16L10W02L00DH·TIR06/05A·VLL17/05H·KAS21/05H·EGN25/05A·PAR29/05H·TIR02/09A·LAC15/09H·SKE19/09A·VLL23/09H·FK 27/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.131.120.690.931.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.131.481.170.921.092.09
vs Weaker (7)0.710.001.000.000.330.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals ↓
Teuta Durrës goals →
01234
07.1%4.7%2.8%0.9%0.2%
110%12%5.1%1.6%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
36.3%6.1%2.9%0.9%0.2%
42.9%2.8%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals (down), columns = Teuta Durrës goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.76
Partizani
1.74
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Skenderbeu Korce
1.42
Teuta Durrës
1.39
Tirana
1.39
Dinamo Tirana
1.31
Laci
1.27
Flamurtari
1.00
Erzeni Shijak
0.89
FK Kukesi
0.75
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.37 points better than Teuta Durrës in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tirana
1.56
Partizani
1.37
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.37
Dinamo Tirana
1.17
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Skenderbeu Korce
1.05
Laci
1.03
Teuta Durrës
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.86
Erzeni Shijak
0.81
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.37 goals better than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Partizani
0.79
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.97
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.97
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.00
Flamurtari
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
1.11
Dinamo Tirana
1.19
Tirana
1.36
FK Kukesi
1.56
Erzeni Shijak
1.58
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 0.03 goals worse than Teuta Durrës in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L21W00D20W41W11D10W00DA·TEU25/05H·FK 29/05A·ARA13/07H·ARA20/07H·SKE26/08A·FK 03/09H·ERZ13/09A·PAR18/09H·LAC23/09A·VLL27/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.930.400.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.420.560.440.400.40
vs Weaker (11)1.270.451.500.331.000.60
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W10W01L21W02L10W02L00DH·TIR06/05A·VLL17/05H·KAS21/05H·EGN25/05A·PAR29/05H·TIR02/09A·LAC15/09H·SKE19/09A·VLL23/09H·FK 27/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.500.190.500.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.520.650.420.250.641.09
vs Weaker (7)0.430.000.750.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W01L01L20W02L00D11D20WA·TEU25/05H·FK 29/05A·ARA13/07H·ARA20/07H·SKE26/08A·FK 03/09H·ERZ13/09A·PAR18/09H·LAC23/09A·VLL27/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.600.871.130.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.530.560.561.100.50
vs Weaker (11)0.910.910.671.331.200.40
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Teuta Durrës) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D00D00D01L01L14L00D00D00DH·TIR06/05A·VLL17/05H·KAS21/05H·EGN25/05A·PAR29/05H·TIR02/09A·LAC15/09H·SKE19/09A·VLL23/09H·FK 27/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.620.500.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.610.830.750.670.451.00
vs Weaker (7)0.290.000.250.000.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Teuta Durrës over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
FK (20)
€1m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
FK (4)
€0m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
ER wins
2
Draws
2
TD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës · H/A from ER
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23ATeuta Durrës Vs ER1-0
19/03/23HER Vs Teuta Durrës1-1
22/01/23ATeuta Durrës Vs ER1-1
15/10/22HER Vs Teuta Durrës1-2

Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs ER0-2
23/09/23HER Vs Laci2-1
18/09/23APartizani Vs ER1-1
13/09/23HER Vs Erzeni Shijak4-3
03/09/23AFK Kukesi Vs ER0-4
26/08/23HER Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
20/07/23HER Vs Ararat-Armenia2-2
13/07/23AArarat-Armenia Vs ER1-1
29/05/23HER Vs FK Kukesi0-1
25/05/23ATeuta Durrës Vs ER1-0

Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23HTD Vs FK Kukesi0-0
23/09/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD2-0
19/09/23HTD Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-0
15/09/23ALaci Vs TD6-1
02/09/23HTD Vs Tirana2-2
29/05/23APartizani Vs TD2-0
25/05/23HTD Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-0
21/05/23HTD Vs Kastrioti Krujë1-0
17/05/23AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TD1-0
06/05/23HTD Vs Tirana2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.52
HomeLDLWW1.41
AwayLDWDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%36%45%
AVG goals2.342.552.14
Over 1.5 %68%77%59%
Over 2.5 %41%45%36%
Over 3.5 %18%18%18%
Scored1.411.451.36
Conceded0.931.090.77
BTTS48%55%41%
Clean Sheet36%27%45%
Corners9.5013.006.00
Cards5.005.005.00
Teuta Durrës
Teuta Durrës
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.29
HomeWWDWD1.62
AwayDLLLL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%43%20%
AVG goals2.121.762.50
Over 1.5 %61%52%70%
Over 2.5 %32%24%40%
Over 3.5 %20%10%30%
Scored0.900.950.85
Conceded1.220.811.65
BTTS39%38%40%
Clean Sheet44%52%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3867
50%
1.8
5238+14
2.4
66%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.41.0
-
2PartizaniPartizani3866
47%
1.7
5230+22
2.2
63%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.40.8
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
4337+6
2.1
58%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.11.0
-
4Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3854
42%
1.4
4042-2
2.2
53%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
5TiranaTirana3650
36%
1.4
5649+7
2.9
78%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3650
36%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.0
-
7LaciLaci3747
27%
1.3
3832+6
1.9
59%
24%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
8Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3647
36%
1.3
4243-1
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.2
-
9Erzeni ShijakErzeni Shijak3632
19%
0.9
2957-28
2.4
61%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3627
17%
0.8
3156-25
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.6
-
11FlamurtariFlamurtari11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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