Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë is expected to take the win, with a 47% chance of success, while Tirana trails behind with a 23% chance of victory. The match is likely to be a closely contested draw, with a 29% probability. The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total goals being 2. The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.8%.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2 goals per match and conceding 1.5, especially against weaker opponents. Meanwhile, Tirana has struggled away from home, scoring 1.4 goals per match and conceding 0.8, particularly against stronger opponents.

The model suggests under 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 78.1%, and over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 70.2%.

The win extends Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent form, ending a streak of win-draw-win-loss-draw with a decisive 3-0 triumph over Tirana. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct, matching the final score and the actual result. The prediction’s pre-match probability of 47 % for a home victory was vindicated. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0 %, Under 5.5 hit at 96.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.1 %, while Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 96.1 %. The model’s selections largely came in, confirming its accuracy for this match.