This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.05
1.89
0.89
1.78
1.20
2.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.78
1.00
1.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
1.40
2.00
0.67
2.00
1.71
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
5% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
Eibar goals ↓
Granada CF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
6.0%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.2%
13%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.5%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.6%
5.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Granada CF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.39
Real Madrid
2.37
Atletico Madrid
2.32
Villarreal
1.68
Athletic Club
1.63
Celta Vigo
1.58
Sevilla
1.37
Real Sociedad
1.26
Malaga
1.26
Real Betis
1.18
Las Palmas
1.16
Valencia
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Eibar
1.13
Deportivo La Coruna
1.11
Sporting Gijon
1.03
Granada CF
1.03
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Getafe
0.95
Levante
0.84
Eibar is 0.11 points better than Granada CF in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.95
Real Madrid
2.89
Atletico Madrid
1.66
Athletic Club
1.53
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Celta Vigo
1.34
Sevilla
1.34
Eibar
1.29
Granada CF
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.18
Deportivo La Coruna
1.18
Las Palmas
1.18
Villarreal
1.16
Sporting Gijon
1.05
Espanyol
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
0.97
Levante
0.97
Real Betis
0.89
Eibar is 0.08 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Atletico Madrid
0.47
Barcelona
0.76
Real Madrid
0.89
Malaga
0.92
Villarreal
0.92
Athletic Club
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.26
Valencia
1.26
Sevilla
1.32
Real Betis
1.37
Las Palmas
1.39
Celta Vigo
1.55
Deportivo La Coruna
1.61
Eibar
1.61
Sporting Gijon
1.63
Getafe
1.76
Granada CF
1.82
Levante
1.84
Rayo Vallecano
1.92
Espanyol
1.95
Eibar is 0.21 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 5.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Granada CF
For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.2 · Against 13.7 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
10.2
9.9
10.6
6.1
6.0
6.2
27.7
28.5
26.8
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
9.5
10.2
6.7
6.5
7.0
28.5
29.0
27.8
vs Similar (9)
10.7
10.5
10.8
5.4
5.2
5.6
26.8
27.8
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
56%
89%
90%
89%
79%
90%
67%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
11%
10%
11%
21%
10%
33%
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
9.5
10.1
8.9
6.5
6.2
6.7
31.2
29.4
32.7
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
10.2
10.7
5.9
6.3
5.0
30.1
29.2
32.0
vs Similar (10)
8.7
10.0
8.1
7.0
6.0
7.4
32.1
30.0
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
56%
50%
95%
89%
100%
89%
78%
100%
% under line
47%
44%
50%
5%
11%
0%
11%
22%
0%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valencia
11.5
Villarreal
11.4
Real Madrid
11.3
Sevilla
11.0
Athletic Club
10.8
Espanyol
10.7
Celta Vigo
10.6
Rayo Vallecano
10.5
Deportivo La Coruna
10.5
Malaga
10.4
Barcelona
10.3
Eibar
10.2
Real Sociedad
10.1
Real Betis
10.1
Getafe
9.9
Levante
9.5
Granada CF
9.5
Sporting Gijon
9.4
Atletico Madrid
8.4
Las Palmas
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.5
Granada CF
6.5
Levante
6.4
Real Betis
6.4
Malaga
6.3
Real Sociedad
6.3
Eibar
6.1
Sevilla
6.1
Celta Vigo
6.0
Valencia
6.0
Athletic Club
5.7
Villarreal
5.5
Sporting Gijon
5.4
Las Palmas
5.3
Getafe
5.2
Rayo Vallecano
5.2
Atletico Madrid
5.0
Barcelona
4.9
Real Madrid
4.8
Deportivo La Coruna
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valencia
34.4
Espanyol
33.1
Granada CF
31.2
Levante
30.2
Malaga
29.4
Las Palmas
29.4
Sevilla
29.3
Celta Vigo
28.9
Villarreal
28.3
Rayo Vallecano
28.1
Real Betis
27.8
Eibar
27.7
Real Sociedad
27.6
Athletic Club
27.4
Getafe
26.8
Barcelona
25.9
Atletico Madrid
25.7
Sporting Gijon
25.4
Real Madrid
24.6
Deportivo La Coruna
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.1%
Under 3.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.1%
Under 21.5
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
0.32
0.80
0.30
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.30
0.67
0.17
1.25
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
68% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.95
0.44
1.11
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.67
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.67
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
32% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.74
0.50
0.60
0.56
0.89
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.44
1.00
0.00
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.95
0.44
0.67
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.89
0.33
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.33
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eibar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Granada CF · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Alemañ33%
Alejandro Marqués33%
Bourama Dembelé33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Manuel Lama0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Owen Emeka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio López67%
Gerard Gumbau33%
Rubén Alcaraz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Lama33%
Sergio López33%
Baïla Diallo33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Manuel Arnáiz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
RV (23)
€76m
MAL (27)
€41m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
GC (18)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
Eibar's squad is €2m less valuable than Granada CF's (€15m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
Eibar's attack is €2m more valuable than Granada CF's (€7m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Eibar and Granada CF have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
EIB (10)
€5m
Eibar's defence is €4m less valuable than Granada CF's (€5m vs €9m).
Spain: La Liga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Malaga
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
Valencia
Las Palmas
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
Sporting Gijon
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Levante