Eibar are the clear favorites, with a 48% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 25% for Granada to win. The model predicts an average of 2.7 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Home side Eibar, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.69 goals scored and 0.94 conceded, while Granada, on the road against a comparable team, averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2% with a 5% edge) and Under 5.5 (94.1% with no edge). Both teams have been on a two-game winning streak, with Eibar’s last win 1-0 over FC Andorra and Granada’s last 3-1 over Córdoba.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Eibar win
48.1%
Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.93
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.99
Dafabet
1.99
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.31
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.44
Pinnacle
3.43
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Granada CF win
24.9%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.94
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.20
10Bet
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Eibar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.73
1.69
0.94
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.27
0.73
1.69
0.94
0.79
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.33
1.13
1.13
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.23
1.30
1.33
1.13
1.13
1.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.8%
@ 1.38+9.4%
Under 1.5
23.2%
@ 2.85-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.95
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.84
BetVictor
2.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 2.20+8.5%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.65-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
@ 4.07+6.2%
Under 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.21-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
Pinnacle
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
54.8%
@ 1.95+7.4%
No
45.2%
@ 1.75-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
No
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 5.91+5.5%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.82+3.9%
1-0
9.4%@ 5.65+1.7%
2-0
8.6%@ 7.69+2.9%
0-0
7.7%@ 7.62+2.0%
1-2
6.5%@ 12.59+3.0%
0-1
6.1%@ 8.81+1.1%
2-2
5.3%@ 15.30+2.4%
Eibar goals ↓
Granada CF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.1%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.4%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.5%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.6%
5.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eibar goals (down), columns = Granada CF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Eibar is 0.45 points better than Granada CF in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Eibar is 0.05 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Eibar is 0.38 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Eibar is 1.1 percentage points worse than Granada CF in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eibar
For 3.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Granada CF
For 4.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 15.4 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eibar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.8
5.0
5.6
4.5
25.4
26.7
24.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.4
9.1
9.8
5.1
5.6
4.7
25.4
26.7
24.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
46%
36%
57%
74%
88%
60%
75%
76%
74%
% under line
54%
64%
43%
26%
12%
40%
25%
24%
26%
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
9.0
5.2
5.2
5.2
27.3
27.0
27.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.2
9.5
9.0
5.3
5.2
5.4
27.3
27.0
27.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
38%
42%
74%
75%
73%
88%
92%
84%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
26%
25%
27%
12%
8%
16%
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.1
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.1
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Valladolid
5.7
Celta de Vigo II
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.9
Real Sociedad II
28.8
Valladolid
28.6
Celta de Vigo II
28.3
Castellón
28.1
AD Ceuta FC
27.6
Las Palmas
27.6
FC Andorra
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.4
Tenerife
27.1
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Cadiz
25.6
Eibar
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.6%
@ 2.15-0.5%
Under 9.5
57.4%
@ 1.62+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Unibet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eibar or Draw
75.1%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.6%
48%
27%
25%
covers Eibar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Eibar or Granada CF
72.9%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.2%
48%
27%
25%
covers Eibar + Granada CF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Granada CF
51.9%
Avg Implied 50.5% · @ 1.85
Edge
+1.4%
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Granada CF
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eibar over/under 0.5
Over
80.2%
@ 1.23+4.9%
Under
19.8%
@ 3.74-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Unibet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Eibar over/under 1.5
Over
48.1%
@ 2.16+4.9%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.64-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Unibet
1.66
Eibar over/under 2.5
Over
22.1%
@ 4.68+2.3%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Eibar over/under 3.5
Over
8.1%
@ 10.50-0.9%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Granada CF over/under 0.5
Over
66.9%
@ 1.55+7.1%
Under
33.1%
@ 2.31-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Under
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.33
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Granada CF over/under 1.5
Over
30.4%
@ 3.75+5.6%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.23-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Granada CF over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
@ 10.18+0.9%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Granada CF over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 34.00-97.4%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Eibar, so a minus line means Eibar give that many goals of a start and Granada CF receive them. At -1, Eibar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eibar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eibar)
Eibar -2
10.8%
@ 7.86-0.6%
Draw -2
15.0%
@ 5.32-1.8%
Granada CF +2
74.2%
@ 1.25+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Unibet
7.00
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Eibar)
Eibar -1
25.8%
@ 3.48+0.3%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.43-3.7%
Granada CF +1
51.9%
@ 1.84+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Away
Unibet
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Handicap +1 (Eibar)
Eibar +1
75.1%
@ 1.21+1.4%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 5.31-2.0%
Granada CF -1
10.0%
@ 9.44+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.20
Handicap +2 (Eibar)
Eibar +2
90.0%
@ 1.04+0.0%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 13.00-0.2%
Granada CF -2
3.0%
@ 32.50+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eibar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.81
0.50
0.43
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.37
0.81
0.50
0.43
0.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
1.07
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.60
1.07
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.45+3.7%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 2.59-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.61
William Hil
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 3.16+3.4%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.32-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 8.53+0.2%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.05-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
William Hil
9.50
BetVictor
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.2%
@ 1.92+2.7%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.80-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Eibar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.3%
@ 5.78+0.3%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.10-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Eibar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 14.25-2.9%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Granada CF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.7%
@ 2.70+0.4%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.41-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
Betano
2.77
Unibet
2.65
1xBet
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Granada CF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 9.58-2.2%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Granada CF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eibar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.88
0.44
0.36
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.37
0.88
0.44
0.36
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.27
0.60
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.47
0.70
0.27
0.60
0.67
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Eibar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.30+4.5%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 3.32-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
William Hil
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 2.36+1.2%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.54-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Under
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 5.42+1.5%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.12-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eibar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.4%
@ 1.68+3.0%
Under
41.6%
@ 2.08-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Eibar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.8%
@ 4.24-1.0%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.18+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Eibar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 10.50-5.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Granada CF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.2%
@ 2.21+2.4%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.59-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Granada CF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.6%
@ 7.25-1.2%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Granada CF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 12.50-5.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.0%
Under 5.5
94.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+0.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+0.9%
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+0.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.9%
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
-0.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+1.2%
Under 4.5
85.9%
1.05
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-2.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-0.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-1.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.2%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+4.9%
Under 11.5 corners
79.3%
1.20
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+1.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-2.3%
Over 3.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.8%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+9.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.30
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+4.5%
Home or Draw
75.1%
1.22
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
-1.6%
Home +1 handicap
75.1%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
+1.4%
Away +2 handicap
74.2%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.4%
Home or Away
72.9%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+0.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.9%
1.21
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-6.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eibar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jon Bautista33%
Aleix Garrido33%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anaitz Arbilla33%
Jon Guruzeta33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Iván Gil33%
Jon Magunazelaia33%
Ander Madariaga33%
Juan Bernat0%
Jon Bautista0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jon Bautista67%
Juan Bernat0%
Anaitz Arbilla0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Javier Martón0%
Iván Gil0%
Jon Guruzeta0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Ander Madariaga0%
Aleix Garrido0%
Granada CF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Alemañ33%
Alejandro Marqués33%
Bourama Dembelé33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Manuel Lama0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Owen Emeka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio López67%
Gerard Gumbau33%
Rubén Alcaraz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Lama33%
Sergio López33%
Baïla Diallo33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Manuel Arnáiz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Eibar's squad is €2m less valuable than Granada CF's (€15m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Eibar's attack is €2m more valuable than Granada CF's (€7m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Eibar and Granada CF have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Eibar's defence is €4m less valuable than Granada CF's (€5m vs €9m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC