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Ekranas vs BFA Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-4
Ekranas
Ekranas
Vs
33%
26%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BFA
BFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ekranas win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BFA win✓ Hit
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W14L13L02L12L13L20W03L20W00DA·ŽAL29/08H·TRA12/09H·BE121/09H·BAB26/09A·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.831.231.922.241.76
vs Stronger (26)2.041.621.361.642.531.60
vs Similar (4)0.253.250.503.500.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFABFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D13L15L32W20W22D70W10W21W03LA·BE126/09A·BAB04/10H·NEP18/10A·TAU25/10H·NEV31/10A·ATM09/11A·VGT10/04H·BAB28/04H·GAR19/05H·KAU23/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.301.591.061.771.62
vs Stronger (16)1.691.381.561.221.861.57
vs Similar (9)1.671.441.801.201.501.75
vs Weaker (5)1.600.801.330.332.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
Ekranas goals ↓
BFA goals →
01234
05.9%6.6%6.3%3.4%1.4%
15.7%12%8.9%4.8%1.9%
24.8%7.8%6.3%3.4%1.4%
32.3%3.7%3.0%1.6%0.7%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekranas goals (down), columns = BFA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Ekranas is 1.43 points worse than BFA in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Ekranas is 1.29 goals worse than BFA in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 2.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Ekranas is 2.00 goals worse than BFA in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L00D00D11D11D00D01L00D00DA·ŽAL29/08H·TRA12/09H·BE121/09H·BAB26/09A·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.540.770.820.76
vs Stronger (26)0.770.650.550.550.930.73
vs Similar (4)0.251.500.502.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFABFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L13L01L00D10W20W00D11D01LA·BE126/09A·BAB04/10H·NEP18/10A·TAU25/10H·NEV31/10A·ATM09/11A·VGT10/04H·BAB28/04H·GAR19/05H·KAU23/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.590.470.850.62
vs Stronger (16)0.500.690.440.440.571.00
vs Similar (9)1.000.440.800.601.250.25
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D13L02L01L02L20W02L20W00DA·ŽAL29/08H·TRA12/09H·BE121/09H·BAB26/09A·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.070.691.151.411.00
vs Stronger (26)1.270.960.821.091.600.87
vs Similar (4)0.001.750.001.500.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFABFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L02L31W20W12L50W10W10W02LA·BE126/09A·BAB04/10H·NEP18/10A·TAU25/10H·NEV31/10A·ATM09/11A·VGT10/04H·BAB28/04H·GAR19/05H·KAU23/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.000.590.921.00
vs Stronger (16)1.190.691.110.781.290.57
vs Similar (9)0.671.001.000.600.251.50
vs Weaker (5)0.800.600.670.001.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Ekranas and BFA have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and BFA have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and BFA have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
EKR wins
2
Draws
4
BFA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ekranas vs BFA · H/A from EKR
DateH/AGameScore
23/07/25ABFA Vs EKR1-0
09/03/25HEKR Vs BFA0-2
04/08/24HEKR Vs BFA1-1
09/03/24ABFA Vs EKR1-1
12/08/23HEKR Vs BFA1-0
26/03/23ABFA Vs EKR2-1
10/09/22ABFA Vs EKR4-1
14/05/22HEKR Vs BFA2-0

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26ATauras Vs EKR0-0
09/11/25AJonava Vs EKR0-2
01/11/25HEKR Vs Atmosfera0-3
24/10/25ANevėžis Vs EKR0-2
17/10/25HEKR Vs Tauras1-3
03/10/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs EKR2-1
26/09/25HEKR Vs Babrungas0-2
21/09/25HEKR Vs Be1 NFA1-3
12/09/25HEKR Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-4
29/08/25AŽalgiris II Vs EKR2-4

BFABFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/26HBFA Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-3
19/05/26HBFA Vs Garliava2-1
28/04/26HBFA Vs Babrungas1-0
10/04/26AVGTU Vilkai Vs BFA0-7
09/11/25AAtmosfera Vs BFA2-2
31/10/25HBFA Vs Nevėžis2-0
25/10/25ATauras Vs BFA2-3
18/10/25HBFA Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-5
04/10/25ABabrungas Vs BFA3-1
26/09/25ABe1 NFA Vs BFA0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.16
HomeLLLLL1.00
AwayWLWWD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%29%38%
AVG goals3.242.883.58
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.561.211.88
Conceded1.681.671.69
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---
BFA
BFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.56
HomeLWWWL1.79
AwayDLWDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals2.902.623.15
Over 1.5 %76%62%88%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored1.501.381.62
Conceded1.401.251.54
BTTS52%38%65%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II719
86%
2.7
156+9
3.0
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.9
-
2BabrungasBabrungas716
71%
2.3
123+9
2.1
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.4
-
3BFABFA714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda713
57%
1.9
1010+0
2.9
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5MinijaMinija512
80%
2.4
142+12
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
6DainavaDainava69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
7Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Be1 NFABe1 NFA69
50%
1.5
109+1
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9TaurasTauras69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
10JonavaJonava69
50%
1.5
76+1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
11FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II76
29%
0.9
818-10
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.6
-
13AtmosferaAtmosfera65
17%
0.8
811-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14Transinvest 2Transinvest 274
14%
0.6
1116-5
3.9
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
15EkranasEkranas74
14%
0.6
621-15
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
16GarliavaGarliava60
0%
0.0
19-8
1.7
33%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.5
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Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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