Ekranas faces a clear outsider in FA Šiauliai II, and the model rates the away side as the favourite with a 69 % chance of victory, a stark contrast to Ekranas’ 13 % home win probability and 18 % draw likelihood. The 3.6 expected total goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-2 for the visitors, a 9.3 % chance. Ekranas, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only one goal scored and concedes 2.17, while FA Šiauliai II, on the road against a weaker side, also nets one goal on average but gives up 2.5. The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (97.7 %), Under 7.5 (96.9 %), Away +2 handicap (95.3 %), Under 6.5 (92.5 %), Away over 0.5 goals (92.3 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.9 %), Over 1.5 (88.3 %) and Draw or Away (87.2 %). The recent form shows Ekranas struggling after two straight defeats, while FA Šiauliai II comes off a win, reinforcing the model’s confidence in an away triumph.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ekranas win
10.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II win
74.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ekranas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.23
0.87
2.53
1.40
1.93
vs Stronger (27)
1.22
2.04
0.92
2.38
1.50
1.71
vs Similar (3)
0.33
4.00
0.50
3.50
0.00
5.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FA Šiauliai II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.97
1.33
2.07
1.60
1.87
vs Stronger (15)
1.53
1.73
1.14
1.71
1.88
1.75
vs Similar (11)
1.55
2.00
1.67
2.17
1.40
1.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
2.75
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.3%
Under 2.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-4
5.7%
Ekranas goals ↓
FA Šiauliai II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
5.9%
9.0%
8.3%
5.8%
1
1.7%
7.0%
8.9%
8.2%
5.7%
2
1.1%
3.1%
4.4%
4.0%
2.8%
3
0.4%
1.0%
1.4%
1.3%
0.9%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekranas goals (down), columns = FA Šiauliai II goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Ekranas is 0.60 points worse than FA Šiauliai II in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Ekranas is 0.14 goals worse than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Ekranas is 1.50 goals worse than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ekranas or Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied -
10%
16%
74%
covers Ekranas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekranas or FA Šiauliai II
84.1%
Avg Implied -
10%
16%
74%
covers Ekranas + FA Šiauliai II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FA Šiauliai II
89.9%
Avg Implied -
10%
16%
74%
covers Draw + FA Šiauliai II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ekranas over/under 0.5
Over
62.6%
Under
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5
Over
93.7%
Under
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5
Over
76.4%
Under
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5
Over
52.3%
Under
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 3.5
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ekranas, so a minus line means Ekranas give that many goals of a start and FA Šiauliai II receive them. At -1, Ekranas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ekranas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ekranas)
Ekranas -2
0.9%
Draw -2
2.6%
FA Šiauliai II +2
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ekranas)
Ekranas -1
3.5%
Draw -1
6.6%
FA Šiauliai II +1
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ekranas)
Ekranas +1
26.0%
Draw +1
19.8%
FA Šiauliai II -1
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ekranas)
Ekranas +2
45.8%
Draw +2
20.5%
FA Šiauliai II -2
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ekranas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.33
0.93
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (27)
0.48
0.78
0.31
0.77
0.64
0.79
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FA Šiauliai II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.60
0.73
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.64
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.75
0.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ekranas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.37
0.53
1.60
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (27)
0.74
1.26
0.62
1.62
0.86
0.93
vs Similar (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
4.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FA Šiauliai II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.17
0.73
1.33
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (15)
0.80
1.07
0.43
1.14
1.12
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.36
1.00
1.50
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Ekranas and FA Šiauliai II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and FA Šiauliai II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and FA Šiauliai II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and FA Šiauliai II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Žalgiris II
Babrungas
BFA
Neptūną Klaipėda
Minija
Dainava
Kauno Žalgiris II
Be1 NFA
Tauras
Jonava
Hegelmann II
Atmosfera
Transinvest 2
Garliava