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Ekranas vs Minija Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-5
Ekranas
Ekranas
Vs
12%
20%
68%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Minija, coming off a 2-game winning run, is the clear favourite to take down Ekranas at home, thanks in part to Ekranas' struggles against stronger opponents, averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.77 conceded at home. The expected total goals is 3.1, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 0-2, with a probability of 11.5%.

Minija's away form suggests they can capitalize on Ekranas' weakness, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded away from home against weaker opponents. The model's selection is an Away win, with a 68% chance of success. Ekranas' home win percentage is 12%, while the draw percentage is 20% and the away win percentage is 68%.

The model's selection for the match result is an Away win. The model also selects Over 1.5, with a probability of 82.3% and a 6% edge.

Results analysis

The win extends Ekranas' recent form woes, as they suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat at home to Minija. The away team's 3-game winning run came to an end, but they still secured a convincing away win. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 68%. The model's call was spot on, as Minija dominated the match. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 82.3% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ekranas win✗ Miss
11.6%
Avg Implied 8.4% · @ 10.61
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
13.40
Betfair
13.00
William Hil
13.00
Marathonbet
12.75
10Bet
11.00
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 16.7% · @ 5.37
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Pinnacle
5.61
Dafabet
5.60
Minija win✓ Hit
68.5%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.23
Dafabet
1.21
William Hil
1.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L13L20W03L20W00D14L02L11D21WA·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04H·BFA19/07A·BAB25/07H·ŽAL01/08A·JON07/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.931.002.071.191.81
vs Stronger (26)1.231.731.081.831.361.64
vs Similar (4)0.253.250.503.500.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1210W05L03L120W22D11D21W01L40W30WA·ŽAL24/10H·TRA31/10H·BE109/11A·GEL12/04H·SUD28/04A·PEM19/05H·PAN23/06A·ŽAL28/07A·HEG31/07H·BE108/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.300.931.602.071.00
vs Stronger (13)1.461.461.121.622.001.20
vs Similar (14)1.711.070.831.672.380.62
vs Weaker (3)0.671.670.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.3%
@ 1.16+1.9%
Under 1.5
17.7%
@ 4.75-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.00
Unibet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.52-0.4%
Under 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.29+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.65
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.3%
@ 2.25-2.8%
Under 3.5
62.7%
@ 1.51+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
@ 2.08+8.1%
No
48.3%
@ 1.60-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
William Hil
1.95
No
William Hil
1.70
Unibet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.5%@ 5.67+4.1%
1-2
9.7%@ 8.17+4.5%
1-1
9.5%@ 10.33+5.4%
0-1
9.4%@ 7.17+3.5%
0-3
8.7%@ 6.62+2.3%
1-3
7.3%@ 9.92+3.0%
0-0
5.4%@ 14.67+2.5%
0-4
4.9%@ 9.50+0.5%
Ekranas goals ↓
Minija goals →
01234
05.4%9.4%12%8.7%4.9%
13.0%9.5%9.7%7.3%4.1%
21.6%3.6%4.1%3.0%1.7%
30.4%1.0%1.1%0.9%0.5%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ekranas goals (down), columns = Minija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Žalgiris II
2.71
Minija
2.40
Babrungas
2.29
BFA
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.50
Jonava
1.50
Dainava
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.17
Hegelmann II
0.86
Atmosfera
0.83
Ekranas
0.57
Transinvest 2
0.57
Garliava
0.00
Ekranas is 1.83 points worse than Minija in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 2.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Minija
2.80
BFA
2.14
Žalgiris II
2.14
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.83
Babrungas
1.71
Be1 NFA
1.67
Transinvest 2
1.57
Tauras
1.50
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Atmosfera
1.33
Jonava
1.17
Dainava
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.14
FA Šiauliai II
1.00
Ekranas
0.86
Garliava
0.17
Ekranas is 1.94 goals worse than Minija in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 2.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Minija
0.40
Babrungas
0.43
Dainava
0.83
Žalgiris II
0.86
Jonava
1.00
BFA
1.00
Tauras
1.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.43
Be1 NFA
1.50
Garliava
1.50
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.67
Atmosfera
1.83
Transinvest 2
2.29
Hegelmann II
2.57
Ekranas
3.00
Ekranas is 2.60 goals worse than Minija in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D01L00D00D03L01L10W10WA·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04H·BFA19/07A·BAB25/07H·ŽAL01/08A·JON07/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.360.930.500.75
vs Stronger (26)0.460.730.330.750.570.71
vs Similar (4)0.251.500.502.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W03L00D80W10W00D10W01L10W10WA·ŽAL24/10H·TRA31/10H·BE109/11A·GEL12/04H·SUD28/04A·PEM19/05H·PAN23/06A·ŽAL28/07A·HEG31/07H·BE108/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.330.671.200.47
vs Stronger (13)0.540.540.380.500.800.60
vs Similar (14)1.000.640.331.001.500.38
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L20W02L20W00D11D01L01L11DA·NEP03/10H·TAU17/10A·NEV24/10H·ATM01/11A·JON09/11A·TAU11/04H·BFA19/07A·BAB25/07H·ŽAL01/08A·JON07/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.641.140.691.06
vs Stronger (26)0.771.000.751.080.790.93
vs Similar (4)0.001.750.001.500.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L03L40W12L11D11D00D30W20WA·ŽAL24/10H·TRA31/10H·BE109/11A·GEL12/04H·SUD28/04A·PEM19/05H·PAN23/06A·ŽAL28/07A·HEG31/07H·BE108/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.600.930.870.53
vs Stronger (13)0.920.920.751.121.200.60
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.500.670.880.25
vs Weaker (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.3%1.16
Unibet
1.19
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
--+1.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
T2 (3)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Ekranas and Minija have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
T2 (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and Minija have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
T2 (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and Minija have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
T2 (2)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Ekranas and Minija have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
EKR wins
4
Draws
1
MIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ekranas vs Minija · H/A from EKR
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/25HEKR Vs Minija3-0
26/04/25AMinija Vs EKR1-3
24/08/24AMinija Vs EKR0-0
30/03/24HEKR Vs Minija1-1
21/10/23HEKR Vs Minija2-1
03/06/23AMinija Vs EKR1-1
17/09/22AMinija Vs EKR3-0
21/05/22HEKR Vs Minija1-1

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AJonava Vs EKR1-2
01/08/26HEKR Vs Žalgiris II1-1
25/07/26ABabrungas Vs EKR2-0
19/07/26HEKR Vs BFA1-4
11/04/26ATauras Vs EKR0-0
09/11/25AJonava Vs EKR0-2
01/11/25HEKR Vs Atmosfera0-3
24/10/25ANevėžis Vs EKR0-2
17/10/25HEKR Vs Tauras1-3
03/10/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs EKR2-1

MinijaMinija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HMIN Vs Be1 NFA3-0
31/07/26AHegelmann II Vs MIN0-4
28/07/26AŽalgiris II Vs MIN1-0
23/06/26HMIN Vs Panevėžys2-1
19/05/26APempininkai Gargždai Vs MIN1-1
28/04/26HMIN Vs Suduva Marijampole2-2
12/04/26AGeležinis Vilkas Vs MIN0-12
09/11/25HMIN Vs Be1 NFA0-3
31/10/25HMIN Vs TransINVEST Vilnius0-5
24/10/25AŽalgiris II Vs MIN0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.10
HomeLLLLD0.88
AwayWWDLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%25%38%
AVG goals3.263.003.50
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.501.171.81
Conceded1.761.831.69
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.24
HomeLLDWW1.04
AwayWWDLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%42%
AVG goals2.702.462.92
Over 1.5 %68%71%65%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.260.881.62
Conceded1.441.581.31
BTTS36%33%38%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II719
86%
2.7
156+9
3.0
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.10.9
-
2BabrungasBabrungas716
71%
2.3
123+9
2.1
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.4
-
3BFABFA714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
57%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda713
57%
1.9
1010+0
2.9
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
5MinijaMinija512
80%
2.4
142+12
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
6DainavaDainava69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
7Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II69
50%
1.5
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Be1 NFABe1 NFA69
50%
1.5
109+1
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9TaurasTauras69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
10JonavaJonava69
50%
1.5
76+1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
11FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II76
29%
0.9
818-10
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.6
-
13AtmosferaAtmosfera65
17%
0.8
811-3
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14Transinvest 2Transinvest 274
14%
0.6
1116-5
3.9
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
15EkranasEkranas74
14%
0.6
621-15
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.0
-
16GarliavaGarliava60
0%
0.0
19-8
1.7
33%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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