This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.31
1.15
1.71
0.86
0.83
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
0.57
1.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
1.83
2.00
1.50
0.75
2.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
Elche goals ↓
Alaves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.6%
8.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elche goals (down), columns = Alaves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Alaves
1.79
Leganes
1.76
Gimnastic
1.69
Girona
1.57
Cordoba
1.55
Alcorcon
1.52
Zaragoza
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Oviedo
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Elche
1.36
Tenerife
1.31
Huesca
1.31
Lugo
1.29
Mirandes
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Mallorca
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Ponferradina
1.12
Llagostera
1.05
Albacete
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.76
Elche is 0.43 points worse than Alaves in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cordoba
1.40
Leganes
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Gimnastic
1.36
Mirandes
1.31
Oviedo
1.24
Zaragoza
1.19
Alaves
1.17
Huesca
1.14
Alcorcon
1.14
Valladolid
1.12
Osasuna
1.12
Girona
1.10
Tenerife
1.07
Llagostera
1.05
Lugo
1.05
Almeria
1.05
Elche
0.95
Ponferradina
0.93
Albacete
0.93
Mallorca
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.83
Elche is 0.21 goals worse than Alaves in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Girona
0.67
Leganes
0.81
Alaves
0.83
Osasuna
0.95
Gimnastic
0.98
Alcorcon
1.05
Zaragoza
1.05
Mallorca
1.07
Tenerife
1.10
Elche
1.10
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.19
Numancia
1.21
Oviedo
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Valladolid
1.24
Cordoba
1.24
Llagostera
1.29
Ponferradina
1.29
Mirandes
1.33
Ath Bilbao B
1.40
Albacete
1.45
Elche is 0.26 goals worse than Alaves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Elche
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Alaves
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Elche
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elche
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.38
0.50
0.17
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.43
0.50
0.00
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.62
0.86
0.71
0.33
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.50
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
54% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elche
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.08
0.67
1.00
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.50
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
0.54
0.86
0.14
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.14
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elche over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Elche · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando Niño33%
Marc Aguado33%
Buba Sangaré33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Ali Houary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gonzalo Villar33%
Ali Houary33%
Matías Dituro0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gonzalo Villar33%
Tete Morente33%
Lucas Cepeda33%
Matías Dituro0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando Niño33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Alaves · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mariano Díaz67%
Nahuel Tenaglia33%
Denis Suárez0%
Jonny Otto0%
Toni Martínez0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Ville Koski0%
Pablo Ibáñez0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Abderrahman Rebbach0%
Ángel Pérez0%
Youssef Enriquez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mariano Díaz67%
Abderrahman Rebbach67%
Denis Suárez33%
Nahuel Tenaglia33%
Antonio Sivera33%
Antonio Blanco33%
Jonny Otto0%
Toni Martínez0%
Ville Koski0%
Pablo Ibáñez0%
Ángel Pérez0%
Youssef Enriquez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mariano Díaz33%
Ángel Pérez33%
Denis Suárez0%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Jonny Otto0%
Toni Martínez0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Ville Koski0%
Pablo Ibáñez0%
Antonio Blanco0%
Abderrahman Rebbach0%
Youssef Enriquez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toni Martínez67%
Antonio Blanco33%
Mariano Díaz0%
Denis Suárez0%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Jonny Otto0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Ville Koski0%
Pablo Ibáñez0%
Abderrahman Rebbach0%
Ángel Pérez0%
Youssef Enriquez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Elche's squad is €11m more valuable than Alaves's (€79m vs €68m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Elche's attack is €10m more valuable than Alaves's (€34m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Elche's midfield is €10m less valuable than Alaves's (€12m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Elche's defence is €11m more valuable than Alaves's (€33m vs €22m).
Spain: Segunda División 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leganes
Gimnastic
Girona
Cordoba
Osasuna
Zaragoza
Alcorcon
Oviedo
Numancia
Huesca
Tenerife
Lugo
Mirandes
Valladolid
Mallorca
Almeria
Ponferradina
Albacete