This highly anticipated matchup between Eldense and Cadiz in the Spain: Segunda División is finely balanced, with Cadiz coming off a 1-4 defeat to Racing Santander and Eldense having suffered a 2-3 loss to Huesca. The model predicts a 37% chance of an away win, with the most likely match result being a draw at 29%. The expected total goals is 2.6, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 13.7%.
Cadiz has struggled at home, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 2 against stronger opponents. Eldense, meanwhile, has averaged 1.21 goals at home and 1.5 conceded against stronger opponents. The model's selection is the away win, with a 37% chance of victory.
The model also suggests several other selections, including Over 21.5 fouls at 80.3%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.9%, and Under 3.5 at 73.2%. The home win percentage is 35%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 37%.
Results analysis
The 2-2 draw stunned the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, the away win, failed to materialise. The model had given the away side a 37 % chance of triumph, but the match settled in a stalemate, leaving the favourite’s call wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, confirming the draw. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 at 99.4 % hit; Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 % hit; Under 6.5 at 98.2 % hit; Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 % hit; Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2 % hit; Home under 3.5 goals at 95.8 % hit; Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5 % hit; and Away under 3.5 goals at 95.4 % hit. Both teams entered the match coming off a draw, and the result reflected their recent form, extending Eldense’s run of draws and keeping Cadiz’s streak of draws intact.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Eldense win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.25
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.32
Dafabet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.07
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.22
Pinnacle
3.18
Dafabet
3.15
BetVictor
3.13
Marathonbet
3.12
Cadiz win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.29
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.46
Marathonbet
3.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Eldense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.63
1.07
1.67
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.83
1.29
1.43
0.40
2.40
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.53
0.88
1.88
1.11
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cadiz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.73
1.00
1.60
1.13
1.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.07
1.73
1.00
1.60
1.13
1.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
@ 1.35+5.4%
Under 1.5
25.1%
@ 3.06-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 2.11+4.1%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.70-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
@ 3.76+1.9%
Under 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.24-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
@ 1.80+3.2%
No
45.5%
@ 1.90-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betfair
1.80
No
Betano
2.00
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
888Sport
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 5.47+5.7%
0-0
8.5%@ 7.85+2.9%
0-1
8.4%@ 8.22+3.1%
1-2
8.3%@ 10.36+4.1%
1-0
8.2%@ 6.52+1.4%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.29+2.8%
0-2
6.4%@ 14.76+3.5%
2-0
6.1%@ 9.94+1.6%
Eldense goals ↓
Cadiz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
8.4%
6.4%
2.9%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.3%
3.7%
1.2%
2
6.1%
8.1%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.6%
3.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eldense goals (down), columns = Cadiz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Eldense is 0.11 points better than Cadiz in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Eldense is 0.11 goals better than Cadiz in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Eldense is 0.14 goals worse than Cadiz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eldense
For 6.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cadiz
For 3.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eldense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.1
10.0
4.3
4.4
4.2
24.5
24.7
24.3
vs Stronger (16)
10.1
8.6
11.7
4.7
4.3
5.1
23.9
24.1
23.6
vs Similar (32)
9.3
9.4
9.2
4.4
4.4
4.3
24.8
24.9
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
30%
50%
64%
72%
56%
76%
87%
64%
% under line
60%
70%
50%
36%
28%
44%
24%
13%
36%
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cadiz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
4.8
5.4
4.2
25.8
26.1
25.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
9.7
10.2
9.2
4.9
5.4
4.5
25.8
26.1
25.6
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
-
10.0
0.5
-
0.5
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
50%
54%
46%
64%
75%
54%
83%
88%
79%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
36%
25%
46%
17%
12%
21%
This opponent (Eldense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Eldense
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Real Sociedad II
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Girona
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.4
Celta de Vigo II
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Leganes
5.3
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Girona
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.9
Valladolid
28.5
Castellón
28.1
Sabadell
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
AD Ceuta FC
27.7
Granada CF
27.3
Tenerife
27.1
Las Palmas
27.0
Burgos
26.6
Almeria
26.5
Leganes
26.4
Cadiz
25.8
Eibar
25.7
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.8
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.2
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 2.05-4.5%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.69+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.7%
@ 1.28+7.0%
Under 3.5
23.3%
@ 2.95-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Under
Superbet
2.95
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
80.9%
Under 21.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eldense or Draw✓ Hit
63.4%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
-7.9%
35%
29%
37%
covers Eldense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Eldense or Cadiz✗ Miss
71.2%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.33
Edge
+1.0%
35%
29%
37%
covers Eldense + Cadiz
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Draw or Cadiz✓ Hit
65.3%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.59
Edge
+6.8%
35%
29%
37%
covers Draw + Cadiz
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.65
SBO
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eldense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
@ 1.26-1.0%
Under
27.6%
@ 3.50+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.84
Marathonbet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Eldense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.9%
@ 2.35-2.7%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.55+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.41
888Sport
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
Under
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Eldense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 5.40-3.1%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.12+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
5.75
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Eldense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 13.62-2.8%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Cadiz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.5%
@ 1.41+7.6%
Under
26.5%
@ 2.73-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Unibet
2.75
Betano
2.75
888Sport
2.75
Cadiz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.4%
@ 3.01+7.5%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.34-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Under
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Cadiz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 7.76+2.9%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.06-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.20
888Sport
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Cadiz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 21.19+0.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Eldense, so a minus line means Eldense give that many goals of a start and Cadiz receive them. At -1, Eldense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eldense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eldense)Actual: Cadiz
Eldense -2
5.5%
@ 9.88-3.5%
Draw -2
10.3%
@ 6.19-4.0%
Cadiz +2
84.2%
@ 1.16+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.30
Marathonbet
6.10
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Handicap -1 (Eldense)Actual: Cadiz
Eldense -1
15.8%
@ 4.50-4.1%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 3.83-4.6%
Cadiz +1
65.3%
@ 1.58+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
10Bet
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Handicap +1 (Eldense)Actual: Eldense
Eldense +1
63.4%
@ 1.31-4.9%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 4.74+0.6%
Cadiz -1
17.1%
@ 7.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Eldense)Actual: Eldense
Eldense +2
82.9%
@ 1.07-2.0%
Draw +2
11.0%
@ 9.17+1.1%
Cadiz -2
6.1%
@ 17.67+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Unibet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eldense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.27
0.60
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.75
0.29
0.57
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.59
0.25
0.62
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cadiz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.97
0.47
0.80
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.40
0.97
0.47
0.80
0.33
1.13
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.44+2.3%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.63-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 3.04+1.3%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.35-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.00
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 8.31-0.9%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.05+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
9.00
William Hil
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eldense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.1%
@ 2.03+0.5%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.71-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Eldense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.28-2.0%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.09+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.20
10Bet
6.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Eldense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 18.00-3.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Cadiz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.1%
@ 2.39+1.2%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.52-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Cadiz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 8.60-1.0%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Cadiz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 33.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eldense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.80
1.07
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.08
1.00
0.86
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.94
0.62
1.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cadiz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cadiz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.53
0.80
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.77
0.53
0.80
0.80
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
Under 0.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.1%
Under 1.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.0%
Under 2.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eldense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.4%
Under
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eldense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eldense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cadiz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.5%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.0%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
888Sport
1.13
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
84.2%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
82.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.23
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.7%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.9%
1.35
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.5%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
72.4%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.2%
1.33
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.40
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
+5.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eldense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
David Ruiz Montero0%
Mariano Carmona0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Clemente33%
Guillermo Macho33%
David Ruiz Montero33%
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
David Ruiz Montero0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fidel33%
David Ruiz Montero33%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Cadiz · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iuri Tabatadze28%
Brian Ocampo17%
Lucas Pérez14%
Sergio Arribas12%
Pelayo Fernández10%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual10%
Antonio Cordero10%
Joaquín González9%
Efe Ugiagbe9%
Dawda Camara9%
Roger Martí7%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa7%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Moussa Diakité6%
Jorge Moreno5%
Suso4%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Álex Fernández3%
Sergio Ortuño3%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Iza Carcelén0%
Iker Recio0%
Mario Climent0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rominigue Kouamé50%
Mario Climent43%
Iker Recio38%
Alfred Caicedo36%
David Gil25%
Jeronimo Domina25%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa24%
Brian Ocampo23%
Moussa Diakité22%
Jorge Moreno21%
Iza Carcelén20%
Joaquín González18%
Bojan Kovačević17%
Iuri Tabatadze17%
Sergio Ortuño16%
Suso15%
Lucas Pérez14%
Roger Martí14%
Youssouf Diarra14%
Dawda Camara12%
Pelayo Fernández10%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual10%
Raúl Pereira10%
Antonio Cordero10%
Efe Ugiagbe9%
Juan Díaz9%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Álex Fernández3%
Sergio Arribas0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergio Arribas12%
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual12%
Suso11%
Sergio Ortuño11%
Iza Carcelén10%
Mario Climent10%
Joaquín González9%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa7%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Brian Ocampo7%
Jorge Moreno5%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Álex Fernández3%
Iker Recio3%
Lucas Pérez0%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Roger Martí0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Dawda Camara0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Moussa Diakité0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Antonio Cordero0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual20%
Dawda Camara12%
Antonio Cordero10%
Javier Ontiveros7%
Brian Ocampo7%
Iuri Tabatadze6%
Roger Martí4%
Youssouf Diarra4%
Jose Antonio de la Rosa3%
Moussa Diakité3%
Suso0%
Lucas Pérez0%
Rominigue Kouamé0%
David Gil0%
Álex Fernández0%
Iza Carcelén0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Iker Recio0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Arribas0%
Joaquín González0%
Mario Climent0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Victor Wehbi Aznar0%
Jeronimo Domina0%
Efe Ugiagbe0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Raúl Pereira0%
Juan Díaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Eldense's squad is €19m less valuable than Cadiz's (€7m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Eldense's attack is €8m less valuable than Cadiz's (€3m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Eldense's midfield is €2m less valuable than Cadiz's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Eldense's defence is €9m less valuable than Cadiz's (€3m vs €12m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Mallorca
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cordoba
Valladolid
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC