The contest between Eldense and Mallorca is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Eldense, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Mallorca, on the road against a weaker side, nets 3.0 and concedes 2.0. The expected total is 2.5 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.1%. Home win probability sits at 34%, draw 29%, and away win 37%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Under 6.5 (98.5% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.4% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.4% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8% with a 4% edge), and Under 5.5 (95.7% with a 3% edge). Eldense’s recent form shows a loss to Leganes, while Mallorca comes off a win over AD Ceuta FC.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Eldense win
33.6%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.44
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.68
1xBet
3.62
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
Dafabet
3.50
Draw
29.4%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.31
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.52
Marathonbet
3.42
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Mallorca win
37.0%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.06
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Dafabet
2.12
10Bet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
SBO
2.08
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Eldense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.70
1.20
1.80
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.92
1.50
1.67
0.33
2.17
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.59
1.00
1.89
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.40
2.07
1.00
0.73
1.80
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.86
1.40
1.40
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.23
2.40
0.80
0.67
1.58
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.8%
@ 1.29+0.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
@ 3.34-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.38
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.98-1.7%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.81+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.6%
@ 3.40-2.8%
Under 3.5
75.4%
@ 1.28+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
52.4%
@ 1.74-0.5%
No
47.6%
@ 1.96+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
No
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 5.88+6.6%
0-0
9.4%@ 9.21+4.6%
0-1
9.2%@ 6.68+2.6%
1-0
8.6%@ 9.11+3.8%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.80+2.6%
2-1
7.8%@ 10.71+3.7%
0-2
6.8%@ 9.14+2.0%
2-0
6.0%@ 16.25+3.3%
Eldense goals ↓
Mallorca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
9.2%
6.8%
2.9%
0.9%
1
8.6%
14%
8.3%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.0%
7.8%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.5%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Eldense goals (down), columns = Mallorca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Eldense is 0.56 points worse than Mallorca in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Eldense is 0.54 goals worse than Mallorca in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Eldense is 0.53 goals worse than Mallorca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Eldense
For 5.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mallorca
For 3.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Eldense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
9.9
4.2
4.3
4.1
24.1
24.0
24.3
vs Stronger (17)
10.0
8.6
11.2
4.5
4.3
4.6
23.8
24.1
23.5
vs Similar (31)
9.3
9.3
9.2
4.3
4.3
4.3
24.3
23.9
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
32%
48%
62%
71%
54%
73%
82%
65%
% under line
60%
68%
52%
38%
29%
46%
27%
18%
35%
This opponent (Mallorca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.7
10.6
4.2
4.3
4.1
24.1
24.4
23.9
vs Stronger (16)
11.2
9.6
12.6
4.0
4.7
3.4
22.9
25.4
21.0
vs Similar (33)
9.6
9.7
9.6
4.3
4.1
4.5
24.6
24.0
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
-
10.0
5.0
-
5.0
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
55%
57%
54%
58%
57%
59%
71%
74%
69%
% under line
45%
43%
46%
42%
43%
41%
29%
26%
31%
This opponent (Eldense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.1
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.1
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Valladolid
5.7
Celta de Vigo II
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Oviedo
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.9
Real Sociedad II
28.8
Valladolid
28.6
Celta de Vigo II
28.3
Castellón
28.1
AD Ceuta FC
27.6
Las Palmas
27.6
FC Andorra
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.4
Tenerife
27.1
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Cadiz
25.6
Eibar
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.5%
@ 1.80-12.1%
Under 9.5
60.5%
@ 1.92+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.0%
Under 3.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.8%
Under 21.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Eldense or Draw
63.0%
Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.71
Edge
+8.5%
34%
29%
37%
covers Eldense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
SBO
1.72
Eldense or Mallorca
70.6%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.1%
34%
29%
37%
covers Eldense + Mallorca
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Mallorca
66.4%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
-6.4%
34%
29%
37%
covers Draw + Mallorca
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Eldense over/under 0.5
Over
70.5%
@ 1.40+4.5%
Under
29.5%
@ 2.73-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Eldense over/under 1.5
Over
34.5%
@ 3.02+3.8%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.34-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.25
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Eldense over/under 2.5
Over
12.5%
@ 7.53+0.1%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.06-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Eldense over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
@ 17.38-2.0%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Mallorca over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
@ 1.21-3.8%
Under
27.4%
@ 3.90+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.18
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Mallorca over/under 1.5
Over
37.1%
@ 2.10-7.4%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.68+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Mallorca over/under 2.5
Over
14.1%
@ 4.54-6.3%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.16+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Mallorca over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
@ 10.59-4.7%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Eldense, so a minus line means Eldense give that many goals of a start and Mallorca receive them. At -1, Eldense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Eldense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Eldense)
Eldense -2
4.9%
@ 21.00+0.5%
Draw -2
9.9%
@ 10.50+1.1%
Mallorca +2
85.2%
@ 1.07-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Eldense)
Eldense -1
14.8%
@ 7.50+2.9%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 5.05+1.0%
Mallorca +1
66.4%
@ 1.28-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Handicap +1 (Eldense)
Eldense +1
63.0%
@ 1.70+10.3%
Draw +1
19.9%
@ 3.73-4.1%
Mallorca -1
17.1%
@ 3.85-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Away
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Handicap +2 (Eldense)
Eldense +2
82.9%
@ 1.20+8.5%
Draw +2
11.1%
@ 5.90-4.1%
Mallorca -2
5.9%
@ 8.64-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Eldense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.27
0.60
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.59
0.22
0.56
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.80
1.20
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.45
0.60
0.40
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.39+3.0%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.79-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.92
William Hil
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.3%
@ 2.83-0.4%
Under 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.38+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.1%
@ 7.40-2.5%
Under 2.5
89.9%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Eldense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.5%
@ 2.39-1.3%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.51+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.50
Eldense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.1%
@ 8.65-4.6%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Eldense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.2%
@ 1.91+5.6%
Under
45.8%
@ 1.80-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Unibet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.78
Mallorca over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.7%
@ 5.70+0.5%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.10-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Mallorca over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 15.25-3.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Eldense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.93
1.20
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.17
1.17
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.76
1.00
0.78
1.33
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
1.40
0.33
0.27
1.27
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.60
0.20
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.77
1.80
0.40
0.25
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Eldense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.23+2.6%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 3.76-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.6%
@ 2.15+2.3%
Under 1.5
54.4%
@ 1.65-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 4.65+0.6%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.16-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Eldense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.4%
@ 1.96-4.8%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.75+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Eldense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.5%
@ 6.06-4.8%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.09+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Eldense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
@ 16.25-4.1%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Mallorca over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.4%
@ 1.61+3.0%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.17-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Mallorca over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.8%
@ 4.01+5.7%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.20-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Mallorca over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.4%
@ 9.50-1.5%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+4.7%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+1.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+2.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.09
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+4.8%
Under 4.5
88.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-0.1%
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.9%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+6.3%
Away +2 handicap
85.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-1.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-0.5%
Home +2 handicap
82.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
+8.5%
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
-
+11.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-0.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+2.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+2.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.8%
1.29
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+0.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-3.8%
Under 10.5 corners
72.2%
1.53
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.48
+12.0%
Over 3.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-5.7%
Home or Away
70.6%
1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
-2.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
70.5%
1.40
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
+4.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Eldense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
David Ruiz Montero0%
Mariano Carmona0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Clemente33%
Guillermo Macho33%
David Ruiz Montero33%
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fidel0%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
David Ruiz Montero0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fidel33%
David Ruiz Montero33%
Jordi Martín0%
Ramon Vila0%
Jorge Rastrojo0%
Jesús Clemente0%
Justin Smith0%
Floris Smand0%
Guillermo Macho0%
Mariano Carmona0%
Mallorca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Fuentes33%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Pablo Torre33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miguel Calatayud67%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Sala67%
Zito Luvumbo33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alex Sala0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Eldense's squad is €40m less valuable than Mallorca's (€7m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Eldense's attack is €20m less valuable than Mallorca's (€3m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Eldense's midfield is €8m less valuable than Mallorca's (€1m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Eldense's defence is €13m less valuable than Mallorca's (€3m vs €16m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Granada CF
Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC