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Elgin vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 11/10/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✓ Hit
46.2%
Avg Implied 50.2% · @ 1.83
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.60
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.77
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L13L22D22D22D12L20W33D51W32WA·STR30/04H·EAS30/07A·STI06/08A·FOR13/08H·STR20/08A·DUM27/08H·BON03/09A·STE17/09H·ANN01/10A·STR08/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.531.331.201.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.561.171.330.002.00
vs Weaker (21)1.621.481.781.331.501.58
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L01L20W22D11D02L12L21WA·COW30/04A·STE30/07H·DUM06/08H·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.570.731.601.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.731.180.400.601.001.67
vs Weaker (19)1.001.790.902.101.111.44
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.73+1.0%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.01-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
Elgin goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.8%5.8%4.2%1.7%0.5%
18.2%13%7.0%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin is 0.03 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Elgin is 0.08 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Elgin is 0.39 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 3.4 · Against 7.5 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

18021246312571461211044335514101512518118610A·STRH·ANNA·STEH·BONA·DUMH·STRA·FORA·STIH·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100322241114614342113154521057314A·STRH·ANNA·STEH·BONA·DUMH·STRA·FORA·STIH·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001213998897141110201591214111220525181616253024262325A·STRH·ANNA·STEH·BONA·DUMH·STRA·FORA·STIH·EASA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1303556310366341542252378111399594710H·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EASH·DUMA·STEA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7033423312211123434136454423774H·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EASH·DUMA·STEA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

33071513208916111012913514916151651122331727222219253116H·BONA·STRH·FORA·STIH·ANNA·BONH·EASH·DUMA·STEA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.68.84.04.03.922.522.922.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.79.08.33.02.93.121.321.121.6
vs Weaker (34)8.78.49.04.44.74.223.124.022.3
% over line32%25%38%54%62%46%57%58%56%
% under line68%75%62%46%38%54%43%42%44%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.49.13.43.82.921.020.122.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.88.69.02.93.42.420.921.220.6
vs Weaker (33)8.78.49.13.64.13.221.119.522.8
% over line30%19%42%44%46%42%52%38%67%
% under line70%81%58%56%54%58%48%62%33%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Dumbarton
10.1
Forfar
9.5
Stranraer
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.2
East Fife
8.8
Albion Rvs
8.7
Elgin
8.7
Stirling
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.3
Dumbarton
4.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.0
Annan Athletic
4.0
Elgin
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Stirling
3.8
Albion Rvs
3.4
East Fife
3.3
Forfar
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.5
Stranraer
22.4
Forfar
22.4
Stirling
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.1
Stenhousemuir
21.7
Dumbarton
21.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.2
Albion Rvs
21.0
East Fife
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.9%
Under 9.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.6%
Under 21.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W11D21W10W10W11D20W22DA·STR30/04H·EAS30/07A·STI06/08A·FOR13/08H·STR20/08A·DUM27/08H·BON03/09A·STE17/09H·ANN01/10A·STR08/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.800.670.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (21)0.860.671.000.780.750.58
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D00D10W11D00D00D11D21WA·COW30/04A·STE30/07H·DUM06/08H·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.400.670.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.640.400.400.500.83
vs Weaker (19)0.420.840.400.800.440.89
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D02L11D01L02L10W22D31W10WA·STR30/04H·EAS30/07A·STI06/08A·FOR13/08H·STR20/08A·DUM27/08H·BON03/09A·STE17/09H·ANN01/10A·STR08/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.730.670.601.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.890.670.830.001.00
vs Weaker (21)0.760.810.780.560.751.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L10W11D11D02L01L00DA·COW30/04A·STE30/07H·DUM06/08H·EAS13/08A·BON20/08H·ANN27/08A·STI03/09H·FOR17/09A·STR01/10H·BON08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.330.930.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.270.550.000.200.500.83
vs Weaker (19)0.580.950.501.300.670.56
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls76.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards72.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ELG wins
3
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Albion Rvs · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/22AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-0
15/01/22HELG Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/10/21AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG2-0
14/08/21HELG Vs Albion Rvs3-0
17/04/21HELG Vs Albion Rvs2-5
12/12/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG3-1
29/02/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG1-2
14/12/19HELG Vs Albion Rvs2-2

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AStranraer Vs ELG2-3
01/10/22HELG Vs Annan Athletic5-1
17/09/22AStenhousemuir Vs ELG3-3
03/09/22HELG Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-0
27/08/22ADumbarton Vs ELG2-1
20/08/22HELG Vs Stranraer2-2
13/08/22AForfar Vs ELG2-2
06/08/22AStirling Vs ELG2-2
30/07/22HELG Vs East Fife1-3
30/04/22AStranraer Vs ELG2-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22HAR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
01/10/22AStranraer Vs AR2-1
17/09/22HAR Vs Forfar0-2
03/09/22AStirling Vs AR1-1
27/08/22HAR Vs Annan Athletic2-2
20/08/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-2
13/08/22HAR Vs East Fife0-1
06/08/22HAR Vs Dumbarton1-2
30/07/22AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
30/04/22ACowdenbeath Vs AR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.20
HomeLLDWW1.54
AwayDDLDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.762.752.77
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.281.501.08
Conceded1.481.251.69
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners8.728.628.81
Cards3.964.043.88
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.08
HomeLLDLW1.08
AwayWLWDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%27%29%
AVG goals2.482.352.62
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored0.980.921.04
Conceded1.501.421.58
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners8.748.429.08
Cards3.403.852.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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