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Elgin vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 04/02/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Elgin
Elgin
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.21
Edge
-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.30
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
40.0%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.95
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L32W04L31W21W12L10W12L11D02LA·EAS29/10A·BON05/11H·DUM12/11A·ANN19/11H·STE03/12H·STI23/12A·FOR02/01H·EAS07/01H·ANN14/01A·STE28/01
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.271.531.471.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.441.001.501.331.33
vs Weaker (21)1.481.521.441.561.501.50
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D11D32W10W01L15L01L40W40W01LH·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.300.671.271.601.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.330.560.500.502.000.60
vs Weaker (21)1.051.620.731.551.401.70
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.83+5.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.91-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
Elgin goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.5%7.1%6.3%3.3%1.3%
16.3%13%8.8%4.5%1.7%
25.1%7.9%6.1%3.1%1.2%
32.4%3.7%2.8%1.5%0.6%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin is 0.03 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Elgin is 0.08 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Elgin is 0.39 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 3.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1402426589521015673321032681314126136125A·STEH·ANNH·EASA·FORH·STIH·STEA·ANNH·DUMA·BONA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80421532311223213626063524548A·STEH·ANNH·EASA·FORH·STIH·STEA·ANNH·DUMA·BONA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

280149811101791011157975118615151323192719261612192128A·STEH·ANNH·EASA·FORH·STIH·STEA·ANNH·DUMA·BONA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 6.1 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1604411365124556107623365881411161016135913H·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90133134533222522214349064743H·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 14.4 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

340819713111817178129115141515131141427202934202019302418H·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANNA·FORH·STRA·EASH·STIH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.69.14.24.14.322.422.622.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)8.89.38.03.73.44.222.722.323.3
vs Weaker (35)8.98.29.44.44.44.422.222.821.8
% over line36%28%44%58%60%56%57%56%58%
% under line64%72%56%42%40%44%43%44%42%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.33.84.33.422.021.322.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)8.38.08.63.74.23.322.522.222.7
vs Weaker (35)9.79.79.73.94.43.421.821.122.4
% over line40%26%52%50%52%48%54%43%63%
% under line60%74%48%50%48%52%46%57%37%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.4
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Forfar
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.5
Stranraer
9.4
Albion Rvs
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.2
East Fife
9.2
Elgin
8.8
Stirling
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Stranraer
4.3
Dumbarton
4.3
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Albion Rvs
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.6
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.4
Stirling
22.1
Albion Rvs
22.0
Forfar
21.9
Stranraer
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.2
Annan Athletic
20.8
East Fife
20.8
Dumbarton
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.2%
Under 21.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L20W21W01L00D02L10W01LA·EAS29/10A·BON05/11H·DUM12/11A·ANN19/11H·STE03/12H·STI23/12A·FOR02/01H·EAS07/01H·ANN14/01A·STE28/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.670.670.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.560.170.671.000.33
vs Weaker (21)0.860.521.000.670.750.42
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W21W00D01L10W00D30W10W00DH·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.400.330.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.220.500.251.200.20
vs Weaker (21)0.520.620.360.360.700.90
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L03L11D00D11D10W10W01L01LA·EAS29/10A·BON05/11H·DUM12/11A·ANN19/11H·STE03/12H·STI23/12A·FOR02/01H·EAS07/01H·ANN14/01A·STE28/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.600.870.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.890.830.830.331.00
vs Weaker (21)0.621.000.440.890.751.08
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L11D10W00D05L01L10W30W01LH·STE29/10H·STI05/11A·EAS12/11H·STR19/11A·FOR03/12A·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.270.930.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.330.000.250.800.40
vs Weaker (21)0.521.000.361.180.700.80
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls74.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ELG wins
2
Draws
3
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Albion Rvs · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/22HELG Vs Albion Rvs1-0
02/04/22AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-0
15/01/22HELG Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/10/21AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG2-0
14/08/21HELG Vs Albion Rvs3-0
17/04/21HELG Vs Albion Rvs2-5
12/12/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG3-1
29/02/20AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG1-2

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23AStenhousemuir Vs ELG2-0
14/01/23HELG Vs Annan Athletic1-1
07/01/23HELG Vs East Fife1-2
02/01/23AForfar Vs ELG0-1
23/12/22HELG Vs Stirling1-2
03/12/22HELG Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
19/11/22AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-3
12/11/22HELG Vs Dumbarton0-4
05/11/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs ELG2-3
29/10/22AEast Fife Vs ELG2-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23HAR Vs Forfar0-1
14/01/23AStranraer Vs AR0-4
07/01/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-4
31/12/22HAR Vs Dumbarton0-1
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1
03/12/22AForfar Vs AR1-0
19/11/22HAR Vs Stranraer1-0
12/11/22AEast Fife Vs AR2-3
05/11/22HAR Vs Stirling1-1
29/10/22HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.20
HomeLWLLD1.32
AwayLWWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.742.602.88
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.221.241.20
Conceded1.521.361.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners8.848.609.08
Cards4.204.084.32
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.10
HomeDDWLL0.96
AwayWLLWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%33%
AVG goals2.582.262.85
Over 1.5 %64%57%70%
Over 2.5 %44%39%48%
Over 3.5 %34%26%41%
Scored1.120.871.33
Conceded1.461.391.52
BTTS48%43%52%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners9.289.269.30
Cards3.804.303.37

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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