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Elgin vs Kelty Hearts Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Elgin
Elgin
vs
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elgin win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L22D11D01L13L13L01L05L50W11DH·ANN11/04A·STI18/04A·SPA25/04H·STR02/05A·RAI11/07H·PET14/07H·KIL18/07A·HAM25/07A·EDI01/08H·FOR08/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.771.271.671.601.87
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.902.901.403.200.402.60
vs Weaker (19)1.631.211.200.902.111.56
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W01L02L20W11D02L03L01L32WH·QUE04/04H·MON11/04A·INV18/04H·COV25/04A·PET02/05A·QUE11/07H·QUE14/07A·ABE25/07A·FOR01/08H·STI08/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.531.001.470.871.60
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.091.551.001.501.201.60
vs Weaker (7)0.571.291.001.330.251.25
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Elgin is 1.00 points better than Kelty Hearts in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Elgin is 2.00 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals scored per game (3.40 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Elgin is 1.00 goals better than Kelty Hearts in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ElginElgin

For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1303934345246495133673312777101366136A·HAMA·SPAA·STIH·ANNA·FORH·CLYH·FORA·EDIH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

60113211332422122411212526643623A·HAMA·SPAA·STIH·ANNA·FORH·CLYH·FORA·EDIH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

35010131419981591718101016915125910923331724352025271419A·HAMA·SPAA·STIH·ANNA·FORH·CLYH·FORA·EDIH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

For 5.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

22013913825442726114738541322109691711119A·ABEA·PETH·COVA·INVH·MONH·QUEA·HAMA·STEH·EASA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

702113211312513611312252474714A·ABEA·PETH·COVA·INVH·MONH·QUEA·HAMA·STEH·EASA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

380131112161311614152191010131820515111424282420361923382025A·ABEA·PETH·COVA·INVH·MONH·QUEA·HAMA·STEH·EASA·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.310.83.03.02.922.821.623.8
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (17)9.711.08.62.42.32.423.721.225.6
vs Weaker (32)10.910.111.63.43.53.322.521.723.2
% over line61%59%63%42%50%33%61%53%68%
% under line39%41%37%58%50%67%39%47%32%
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.99.83.73.44.024.023.624.4
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.02.0-2.024.0-24.0
vs Similar (38)9.39.39.33.83.44.423.823.424.2
vs Weaker (11)9.17.510.83.33.63.024.824.225.2
% over line42%45%40%58%58%58%62%50%75%
% under line58%55%60%42%42%42%38%50%25%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.2%
Under 9.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.8%
Under 21.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D00D02L10W00D02L30W11DH·ANN11/04A·STI18/04A·SPA25/04H·STR02/05A·RAI11/07H·PET14/07H·KIL18/07A·HAM25/07A·EDI01/08H·FOR08/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.730.600.731.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.501.101.001.000.001.20
vs Weaker (19)0.840.630.600.401.110.89
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L00D11D00D02L01L20WH·QUE04/04H·MON11/04A·INV18/04H·COV25/04A·PET02/05A·QUE11/07H·QUE14/07A·ABE25/07A·FOR01/08H·STI08/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.330.670.470.60
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.410.550.250.670.600.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.670.670.250.75
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L11D01L11D03L01L03L20W00DH·ANN11/04A·STI18/04A·SPA25/04H·STR02/05A·RAI11/07H·PET14/07H·KIL18/07A·HAM25/07A·EDI01/08H·FOR08/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.531.070.870.87
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.401.800.402.200.401.40
vs Weaker (19)0.790.580.600.501.000.67
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kelty Hearts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W01L00D20W00D02L01L00D12LH·QUE04/04H·MON11/04A·INV18/04H·COV25/04A·PET02/05A·QUE11/07H·QUE14/07A·ABE25/07A·FOR01/08H·STI08/08← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.670.800.401.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.681.000.750.830.601.20
vs Weaker (7)0.140.570.330.670.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kelty Hearts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.9%--------
Over 19.5 fouls79.1%--------
Under 5.5 cards71.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
ELG wins
3
Draws
1
KH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Elgin vs Kelty Hearts · H/A from ELG
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HELG Vs Kelty Hearts3-2
16/07/24HELG Vs Kelty Hearts1-1
19/03/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts0-0
05/02/22AKelty Hearts Vs ELG4-0
25/01/22HELG Vs Kelty Hearts2-0
11/09/21AKelty Hearts Vs ELG1-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HELG Vs Forfar1-1
01/08/26AEdinburgh City Vs ELG0-5
25/07/26AHamilton Academical Vs ELG5-0
18/07/26HELG Vs Kilmarnock0-1
14/07/26HELG Vs Peterhead1-3
11/07/26ARaith Rovers Vs ELG3-1
02/05/26HELG Vs Stranraer0-1
25/04/26ASpartans Vs ELG1-1
18/04/26AStirling Vs ELG2-2
11/04/26HELG Vs Annan Athletic0-3

Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HKH Vs Stirling3-2
01/08/26AForfar Vs KH1-0
25/07/26AAberdeen Vs KH3-0
14/07/26HKH Vs Queen's Park0-2
11/07/26AQueen of the South Vs KH1-1
02/05/26APeterhead Vs KH0-2
25/04/26HKH Vs Cove Rangers0-2
18/04/26AInverness CT Vs KH1-0
11/04/26HKH Vs Montrose3-1
04/04/26HKH Vs Queen of Sth1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.10
HomeLLLLD1.23
AwayDDLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals3.283.233.33
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %62%58%67%
Over 3.5 %38%35%42%
Scored1.401.461.33
Conceded1.881.772.00
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners10.5610.2910.79
Cards4.144.653.68
Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW0.84
HomeDWLLW0.81
AwayLWDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%15%21%
AVG goals2.642.422.88
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored0.900.771.04
Conceded1.741.651.83
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners9.358.959.75
Cards4.604.454.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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