Kilmarnock are the clear favourites, with a 60% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of an Elgin win. The model predicts an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.4% probability. Elgin, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, have scored an average of 1.75 goals and conceded 3.75. Kilmarnock, on the road against a similar side, have scored 1.18 and conceded 1.82. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away +2 handicap (94.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.6%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.3%) and Away over 0.5 goals (85.2%).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction was spot on: Kilmarnock secured a 0-1 away win, extending their unbeaten run at home and confirming the favoured result. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 60% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well. Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.5%, Away +2 handicap at 94.4%, Home under 2.5 goals at 93.6%, Under 5.5 at 93.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 87.3%, and Away over 0.5 goals at 85.2% all landed. The match finished 0-1, matching the model’s predicted outcome and confirming the accuracy of the overall forecast.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Elgin win✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.67
1.47
1.67
1.53
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.12
2.88
1.75
3.75
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.57
1.24
1.36
0.91
1.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.83
1.60
1.47
1.00
2.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.75
1.00
2.25
0.50
3.25
vs Similar (22)
1.50
1.50
1.82
1.18
1.18
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.9%
0-1 ✓
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
Elgin goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
10%
11%
7.0%
3.3%
1
4.4%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
2.5%
4.7%
4.5%
2.8%
1.4%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Elgin goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Motherwell
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Elgin is 2.20 points worse than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Falkirk
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Ross County
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin is 1.30 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Ross County
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Elgin is 4.15 goals worse than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (4.75 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Elgin
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kilmarnock
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.1
10.8
3.2
3.3
3.1
22.6
21.8
23.3
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.0
9.8
8.2
2.6
2.7
2.4
23.1
22.8
23.4
vs Weaker (32)
11.0
10.2
11.7
3.7
3.7
3.6
22.4
21.4
23.3
% over line
62%
58%
65%
46%
54%
38%
59%
53%
65%
% under line
38%
42%
35%
54%
46%
62%
41%
47%
35%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
10.0
4.0
4.1
3.8
25.0
26.2
23.7
vs Stronger (13)
10.8
10.0
11.7
4.0
4.4
3.5
22.5
24.4
20.2
vs Similar (37)
9.0
8.7
9.3
4.0
4.0
3.9
26.1
27.1
25.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
36%
57%
58%
61%
55%
72%
82%
62%
% under line
53%
64%
43%
42%
39%
45%
28%
18%
38%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.8%
Under 21.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Elgin or Draw✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Elgin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin or Kilmarnock✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Elgin + Kilmarnock
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kilmarnock✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied -
16%
24%
60%
covers Draw + Kilmarnock
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.9%
Under
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.8%
Under
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Elgin, so a minus line means Elgin give that many goals of a start and Kilmarnock receive them. At -1, Elgin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Elgin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Elgin)Actual: Kilmarnock
Elgin -2
1.4%
Draw -2
4.2%
Kilmarnock +2
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Elgin)Actual: Kilmarnock
Elgin -1
5.6%
Draw -1
10.6%
Kilmarnock +1
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Elgin)Actual: Draw
Elgin +1
40.1%
Draw +1
23.6%
Kilmarnock -1
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Elgin)Actual: Elgin
Elgin +2
63.7%
Draw +2
18.7%
Kilmarnock -2
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.12
1.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.62
0.57
0.55
0.27
0.70
0.90
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.87
0.40
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.68
0.91
0.36
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.73
1.13
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
1.75
0.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.95
0.67
0.82
0.64
1.10
0.70
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.13
0.73
1.07
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.00
0.25
1.75
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
0.91
0.82
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Greg Kiltie25%
M. Schjønning-Larsen25%
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Hugill50%
B. Rice50%
Tyreece John-Jules25%
J. Brandon25%
Greg Kiltie25%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
G. Stanger0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Lowery50%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
Joe Hugill0%
B. Rice0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Hugill25%
Tyreece John-Jules0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Tom Lowery0%
M. Stryjek0%
A. Tshibola0%
J. Brandon0%
G. Stanger0%
Greg Kiltie0%
M. Schjønning-Larsen0%
E. Ring0%
B. Rice0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Stirling
Dumbarton
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Dundee
Rangers
Hibernian
ST Johnstone
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Falkirk